Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seattle Mariners (65-56) Houston Astros (70-50) | George Kirby Yusei Kikuchi | 39.5% 60.5% | -121 +111 -128 +120 | -1½+140 +1½-150 -1½+132 +1½-150 | 4.02 5.12 | 9.14 | o7-108 u7-110 o7-105 u7-115 | |||
Chicago Cubs (54-69) Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) | Javier Assad Cristopher Sanchez | 42.1% 57.9% | +160 -175 +170 -180 | +1½-135 -1½+117 +1½-130 -1½+120 | 4.14 4.98 | 9.12 | o8-105 u8-110 o8+100 u8-110 | |||
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) | Freddy Peralta Luis Ortiz | 56.8% 43.2% | -139 +128 -144 +134 | -1½+120 +1½-133 -1½+112 +1½-125 | 4.95 4.25 | 9.20 | o7½-115 u7½+100 o7½-115 u7½-105 | |||
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Zack Littell Keider Montero | 58.4% 41.6% | +103 -113 +108 -115 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+185 | 4.63 3.75 | 8.38 | o7½-110 u7½-108 o7½-110 u7½-105 | |||
Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Jakob Junis Joey Cantillo | 50.7% 49.3% | +125 -136 +130 -138 | +1½-168 -1½+150 +1½-155 -1½+152 | 4.42 4.35 | 8.77 | o8+100 u8-120 o8+100 u8½-120 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Kansas City Royals (52-67) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Michael Lorenzen DJ Herz | 44.4% 55.6% | -115 +105 -115 +105 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+145 +1½-162 | 4.62 5.21 | 9.83 | o8-105 u7½+103 o7½-115 u7½+100 | |||
Baltimore Orioles (38-81) New York Yankees (69-52) | Zach Eflin Nestor Cortes | 32.4% 67.6% | +136 -148 +135 -144 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+147 | 4.05 5.87 | 9.92 | o7½-120 u7½+100 o7½-115 u8-115 | |||
Boston Red Sox (69-54) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Richard Fitts Kevin Gausman | 42.6% 57.4% | +124 -135 +130 -131 | +1½-176 -1½+156 +1½-167 -1½+150 | 4.51 5.28 | 9.79 | o8-113 u8-105 o8-110 u8-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
New York Mets (60-60) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | David Peterson Chris Sale | 44.1% 55.9% | +160 -175 +163 -173 | +1½-140 -1½+123 +1½-140 -1½+122 | 4.15 4.77 | 8.92 | o7½-105 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-115 | |||
Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Chicago White Sox (71-50) | Jose Suarez Davis Martin | 37.1% 62.9% | -113 +103 -110 +107 | -1½+145 +1½-157 -1½+148 +1½-145 | 4.62 5.98 | 10.60 | o8-115 u8½-120 o8-110 u8½-120 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Miami Marlins (51-70) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Edward Cabrera Simeon Woods-Richardson | 44.8% 55.2% | +169 -185 +170 -175 | +1½-127 -1½+110 +1½-128 -1½+110 | 4.63 5.18 | 9.81 | o8-115 u8+105 o8-115 u8-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Erick Fedde Austin Gomber | 48.7% 51.3% | -118 +108 -120 +115 | -1½+120 +1½-138 -1½+127 +1½-145 | 4.89 5.03 | 9.92 | o10½-105 u10½-115 o10-115 u10+100 | |||
San Francisco Giants (78-43) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Mason Black Zac Gallen | 55.5% 44.5% | +191 -212 +198 -210 | +1½-114 -1½-105 +1½-108 -1½-105 | 4.00 3.43 | 7.43 | o8½-105 u8½-110 o8½-105 u8½+100 | |||
Texas Rangers (42-78) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Cody Bradford Brady Basso | 35.8% 64.2% | -113 +103 -110 +103 | -1½+150 +1½-168 -1½+150 +1½-160 | 4.53 6.02 | 10.55 | o7½+105 u7½-115 o7½+105 u7½-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
San Diego Padres (67-56) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Dylan Cease Jack Flaherty | 36.0% 64.0% | +117 -127 +125 -130 | +1½-178 -1½+160 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 3.48 4.94 | 8.42 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o7½-115 u7½-105 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago White Sox Miami Marlins | 55.3% 44.7% | -147 +135 -148 +138 | -1½+112 +1½-130 -1½+118 +1½-135 | 3 4 | -0.87488-0.88390 | -0.80486 | |
San Francisco Giants Cleveland Indians | 54.9% 45.1% | +115 -125 +118 -125 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-170 -1½+157 | 4 5 | -0.60825-0.60195 | -0.79540 | |
Toronto Blue Jays Seattle Mariners | 54.2% 45.8% | -107 -103 -102 -105 | +1½-200 -1½+188 | 5 4 | -0.68389-0.70029 | -0.61195 | |
Baltimore Orioles Oakland Athletics | 34.3% 65.7% | -156 +143 -145 +142 | -1½+100 +1½-116 -1½+110 +1½-115 | 8 19 | -0.90857-0.88882 | -0.41960 | |
Tampa Bay Rays Texas Rangers | 58.1% 41.9% | -105 -105 +100 -107 | -1½+160 +1½-175 | 3 4 | -0.69315-0.67666 | -0.86979 | |
St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals | 47.9% 52.1% | +110 -117 +119 -126 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-172 -1½+155 | 6 14 | -0.63297-0.59829 | -0.65262 | |
New York Mets Pittsburgh Pirates | 57.1% 42.9% | -126 +116 -123 +118 | -1½+121 +1½-140 -1½+121 +1½-139 | 5 2 | -0.60453-0.60523 | -0.56017 | |
Los Angeles Angels Chicago Cubs | 47.5% 52.5% | +136 -148 +135 -144 | +1½-156 -1½+136 +1½-160 -1½+145 | 7 0 | -0.87895-0.86998 | -0.74398 | |
Houston Astros Minnesota Twins | 55.3% 44.7% | +120 -130 +124 -130 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 3 9 | -0.59012-0.58212 | -0.80569 | |
Boston Red Sox New York Yankees | 39.7% 60.3% | +151 -165 +158 -165 | +1½-130 -1½+111 +1½-130 -1½+115 | 4 14 | -0.49462-0.48397 | -0.50547 | |
Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers | 42.2% 57.8% | +186 -205 +185 -200 | +1½-117 -1½+105 +1½-115 -1½+105 | 5 8 | -0.41885-0.42286 | -0.54790 | |
Toronto Blue Jays Seattle Mariners | 55.5% 44.5% | +117 -127 +120 -125 | +1½-185 -1½+165 +1½-185 -1½+165 | 1 2 | -0.60086-0.59784 | -0.81045 | |
Baltimore Orioles Oakland Athletics | 34.3% 65.7% | -159 +146 -151 +145 | -1½-105 +1½-112 -1½+100 +1½-110 | 3 2 | -0.50811-0.51788 | -1.07093 | |
Arizona Diamondbacks San Diego Padres | 33.8% 66.2% | -116 +106 -111 +112 | +1½-210 -1½+205 | 8 10 | -0.74492-0.74919 | -0.41244 | |
Kansas City Royals Colorado Rockies | 45.7% 54.3% | -176 +161 -170 +155 | -1½-120 +1½+104 -1½-118 +1½+105 | 2 4 | -0.97995-0.95763 | -0.60976 | |
Houston Astros Minnesota Twins | 55.3% 44.7% | +130 -142 +132 -140 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+145 | 13 12 | -0.85426-0.85583 | -0.59200 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-7 (0.500) | 1 | -0.68969 | |
Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-8 (0.467) | 0 | -0.68956 | |
DRatings | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71361 | -0.02392 -0.02405 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.