MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Patrick Corbin
Shane McClanahan
48.8%
51.2%
+128
-140
+130
-134
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.25
4.38
8.63
o7½-110
u7½-106
o7½-115
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%
-101
-109
+100
-105


4.45
4.14
8.59
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Tyler Glasnow
Lance McCullers Jr.
51.3%
48.7%
-206
+187
-210
+189
-1½-128
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+115
4.33
4.20
8.53
o8½-120
u8½+105
o9+100
u8½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Matt Waldron
Adrian Houser
46.6%
53.4%
-108
-102
-109
+100
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
3.89
4.24
8.13
o8½-110
u8½-101
o8½-115
u8½-105
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Noah Schultz
Walbert Urena
51.7%
48.3%
-104
-105
-110
+101
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
5.11
4.94
10.05
o9-105
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Martin Perez
Bryan Woo
52.7%
47.3%
+120
-132
+124
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+155
4.90
4.62
9.52
o8-115
u8-101
o8-120
u8+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Sonny Gray
Jack Flaherty
53.5%
46.5%
+103
-113
+105
-113

+1½-200
-1½+180
5.18
4.81
9.99
o8+110
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Brandon Young
Eury Perez
41.1%
58.9%
+112
-123
+116
-124
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+162
4.38
5.30
9.68
o9+105
u8½-103
o8½-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Jeffrey Springs
Zack Wheeler
49.2%
50.8%
+153
-169
+155
-166
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+120
4.95
5.03
9.98
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Bailey Ober
Miles Mikolas
47.8%
52.2%
-130
+118
-128
+125
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-130
5.21
5.43
10.64
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Nathan Eovaldi
Will Warren
33.9%
66.1%
+172
-190
+175
-190
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
5.02
6.69
11.71
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Brady Singer
Colin Rea
52.8%
47.2%
+154
-171
+152
-165
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+125
4.78
4.48
9.26
o8-105
u7½+110
o8+100
u7½+105
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joey Cantillo
Cole Ragans
49.3%
50.7%
+118
-130
+120
-123
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.44
4.51
8.95
o8+104
u7½+100
o8+100
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-160
+145
-155
+150
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½-110
5.41
5.76
11.17
o9½-110
u9½-109
o9½-110
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Paul Skenes
Michael Soroka
45.6%
54.4%
-140
+127
-145
+135
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+118
+1½-125
4.15
4.61
8.76
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-115
Games for May 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
59.8%
40.2%
-140
+127
-133
+133
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+116
+1½-125
3
2
-0.56258-0.56068-0.51333
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
58.2%
41.8%
+137
-151
+134
-145
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
3
4
-0.53144-0.54352-0.87235
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
54.8%
45.2%
-147
+133
-153
+140
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
3
4
-0.86991-0.89664-0.79465
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
54.0%
46.0%
-125
+116
-117
+108
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
12
1
-0.60613-0.63747-0.61648
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
38.7%
61.3%
+248
-280
+235
-260
+1½+120
-1½-138
+1½+122
-1½-128
2
11
-0.32930-0.34595-0.48947
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.0%
66.0%
+161
-179
+170
-180
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+115
3
6
-0.46825-0.45497-0.41506
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
37.3%
62.7%
-126
+114
-124
+116
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
6
7
-0.78531-0.78651-0.46643
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
-147
+133
-143
+139
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
5
-0.86991-0.87815-0.47957
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
+107
-118
+101
-108
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-210
-1½+185
7
6
-0.75162-0.71474-0.63866
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
36.8%
63.2%
+302
-345
+311
-350
+1½+145
-1½-165
+1½+150
-1½-160
6
1
-1.41502-1.43431-1.00079
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
52.2%
47.8%
-101
-109
-105
-103

-1½+150
+1½-170
3
7
-0.67472-0.69788-0.73810
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
37.7%
62.3%
+108
-119
+111
-118
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
8
3
-0.75624-0.76179-0.97652
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
37.2%
62.8%
-115
+104
-115
+110
-1½+138
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-155
5
4
-0.65049-0.63673-0.98822
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
34.3%
65.7%
+153
-169
+156
-165
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+125
8
9
-0.48805-0.48696-0.41940
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
47.2%
52.8%
-102
-108
-105
-105

-1½+165
+1½-175
5
6
-0.67930-0.69315-0.63923
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
40.2%
59.8%
+173
-192
+180
-190
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
7
5
-1.02786-1.04185-0.91148
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.70776 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.71407 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.68574
0.02202
0.02833

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.