Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners (65-56) Houston Astros (70-50) | George Kirby Yusei Kikuchi | 39.5% 60.5% | -135 +124 -128 +125 | -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+132 +1½-145 | 4.02 5.12 | 9.14 | o7-110 u7-105 o7-105 u7-115 | Overall Bet Value Active All Bet Values Active | ||
| Chicago Cubs (54-69) Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) | Javier Assad Cristopher Sanchez | 42.1% 57.9% | +167 -183 +170 -184 | +1½-132 -1½+115 +1½-130 -1½+115 | 4.14 4.98 | 9.12 | o7½-124 u8-110 o8+100 u8-110 | |||
| Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) | Freddy Peralta Luis Ortiz | 56.8% 43.2% | -150 +138 -144 +140 | -1½+110 +1½-127 -1½+112 +1½-125 | 4.95 4.25 | 9.20 | o7½-120 u7½+100 o7½-115 u7½-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Zack Littell Keider Montero | 58.4% 41.6% | +109 -119 +113 -117 | +1½-197 -1½+175 +1½-190 -1½+185 | 4.63 3.75 | 8.38 | o7½-125 u8-110 o7½-120 u7½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Jakob Junis Joey Cantillo | 50.7% 49.3% | +127 -138 +130 -138 | +1½-164 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+152 | 4.42 4.35 | 8.77 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o7½-115 u8-120 | |||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Michael Lorenzen DJ Herz | 44.4% 55.6% | -115 +105 -115 +105 | -1½+145 +1½-162 -1½+145 +1½-160 | 4.62 5.21 | 9.83 | o7½-110 u7½+105 o7½-115 u7½+100 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) New York Yankees (69-52) | Zach Eflin Nestor Cortes | 32.4% 67.6% | +125 -135 +138 -135 | +1½-170 -1½+153 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 4.05 5.87 | 9.92 | o7½-120 u8-115 o7½-115 u8-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Richard Fitts Kevin Gausman | 42.6% 57.4% | +125 -136 +130 -135 | +1½-173 -1½+155 +1½-167 -1½+150 | 4.51 5.28 | 9.79 | o8-110 u8-105 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | David Peterson Chris Sale | 44.1% 55.9% | +152 -166 +160 -170 | +1½-145 -1½+128 +1½-143 -1½+130 | 4.15 4.77 | 8.92 | o7½-105 u7+111 o7½-105 u7½-115 | |||
| Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Chicago White Sox (71-50) | Jose Suarez Davis Martin | 37.1% 62.9% | -113 +103 -110 +102 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+148 +1½-160 | 4.62 5.98 | 10.60 | o8-106 u8-105 o8-105 u8-110 | |||
| Miami Marlins (51-70) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Edward Cabrera Simeon Woods-Richardson | 44.8% 55.2% | +166 -182 +170 -185 | +1½-130 -1½+115 +1½-128 -1½+110 | 4.63 5.18 | 9.81 | o8-120 u8+102 o8-115 u8+100 | |||
| St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Erick Fedde Austin Gomber | 48.7% 51.3% | -122 +112 -120 +115 | -1½+120 +1½-137 -1½+127 +1½-145 | 4.89 5.03 | 9.92 | o10½+100 u10+100 o10-115 u10+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Mason Black Zac Gallen | 55.5% 44.5% | +191 -212 +198 -210 | +1½-114 -1½-105 +1½-108 -1½-105 | 4.00 3.43 | 7.43 | o8½-104 u8½-115 o8½-105 u8½-105 | |||
| Texas Rangers (42-78) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Cody Bradford Brady Basso | 35.8% 64.2% | +104 -114 +102 -110 | +1½-210 -1½+192 | 4.53 6.02 | 10.55 | o7½+100 u7+107 o7½+105 u7½-120 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Dylan Cease Jack Flaherty | 36.0% 64.0% | +117 -127 +125 -132 | +1½-178 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 3.48 4.94 | 8.42 | o7½-115 u7½-102 o7½-115 u7½-105 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays Texas Rangers | 59.9% 40.1% | -111 +101 -102 +100 | +1½-200 -1½+184 | 0 3 | -0.72144-0.69808 | -0.91320 | |
| San Francisco Giants Cleveland Indians | 54.9% 45.1% | +163 -178 +165 -176 | +1½-133 -1½+115 +1½-130 -1½+115 | 4 2 | -0.98730-0.98948 | -0.60039 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves | 42.0% 58.0% | +122 -133 +122 -130 | +1½-178 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 8 6 | -0.81855-0.81306 | -0.86779 | |
| Detroit Tigers Cincinnati Reds | 39.5% 60.5% | +117 -127 +117 -122 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 5 4 | -0.79483-0.78504 | -0.92859 | |
| Chicago White Sox Miami Marlins | 55.3% 44.7% | +128 -139 +129 -130 | +1½-170 -1½+151 +1½-164 -1½+160 | 3 2 | -0.84416-0.83046 | -0.59267 | |
| Boston Red Sox New York Yankees | 46.1% 53.9% | +124 -135 +129 -129 | +1½-171 -1½+155 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 5 3 | -0.82716-0.82855 | -0.77527 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals | 45.7% 54.3% | -149 +137 -150 +144 | -1½+100 +1½-119 -1½+105 +1½-115 | 7 6 | -0.53363-0.52062 | -0.78404 | |
| New York Mets Pittsburgh Pirates | 57.1% 42.9% | +127 -138 +125 -129 | +1½-168 -1½+148 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 2 14 | -0.56518-0.58164 | -0.84714 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Chicago Cubs | 50.8% 49.2% | +174 -190 +170 -180 | +1½-111 -1½-105 +1½-110 -1½+100 | 1 5 | -0.44279-0.45497 | -0.71017 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers | 33.5% 66.5% | -104 -105 +107 -110 | +1½-200 -1½+175 +1½-180 -1½+180 | 9 3 | -0.69549-0.73443 | -1.09327 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Kansas City Royals | 57.2% 42.8% | -108 -102 -106 +100 | -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-165 | 10 8 | -0.67930-0.67889 | -0.55813 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Colorado Rockies | 55.0% 45.0% | -130 +120 -130 +128 | -1½+112 +1½-130 -1½+110 +1½-120 | 3 4 | -0.80802-0.82798 | -0.79944 | |
| San Francisco Giants Atlanta Braves | 47.1% 52.9% | +110 -120 +116 -120 | +1½-193 -1½+168 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 4 2 | -0.76336-0.77849 | -0.75345 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners | 43.4% 56.6% | -146 +134 -146 +137 | -1½+120 +1½-140 -1½+120 +1½-138 | 3 7 | -0.87079-0.87822 | -0.56849 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Oakland Athletics | 43.1% 56.9% | -102 -108 +103 -110 | +1½-198 -1½+175 +1½-197 -1½+180 | 0 5 | -0.67930-0.66291 | -0.56442 | |
| San Diego Padres Texas Rangers | 57.0% 43.0% | +100 -110 +107 -110 | +1½-215 -1½+185 +1½-210 -1½+190 | 3 1 | -0.71668-0.73443 | -0.56231 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-7 (0.500) | 1 | -0.68969 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-8 (0.467) | 0 | -0.68956 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71361 | -0.02392 -0.02405 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.