Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners (65-56) Houston Astros (70-50) | George Kirby Yusei Kikuchi | 39.5% 60.5% | -137 +126 -132 +128 | -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+128 +1½-145 | 4.02 5.12 | 9.14 | o7-127 u7½-115 o7-120 u7+105 | Overall Bet Value Active All Bet Values Active | ||
| Chicago Cubs (54-69) Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) | Javier Assad Cristopher Sanchez | 42.1% 57.9% | +172 -188 +170 -185 | +1½-125 -1½+106 +1½-130 -1½+115 | 4.14 4.98 | 9.12 | o8-105 u7½+104 o8+100 u8-110 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) | Freddy Peralta Luis Ortiz | 56.8% 43.2% | -152 +139 -144 +140 | -1½+110 +1½-127 -1½+112 +1½-125 | 5.07 4.36 | 9.43 | o7½-125 u8-110 o7½-115 u7½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Zack Littell Keider Montero | 58.4% 41.6% | +111 -121 +112 -120 | +1½-198 -1½+173 +1½-190 -1½+185 | 4.63 3.75 | 8.38 | o8-114 u8-105 o7½-120 u8-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Jakob Junis Joey Cantillo | 50.7% 49.3% | +127 -138 +130 -138 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+152 | 4.44 4.36 | 8.80 | o7½-115 u7½+100 o7½-115 u8-120 | |||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Michael Lorenzen DJ Herz | 44.4% 55.6% | -128 +118 -125 +118 | -1½+133 +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-147 | 4.62 5.21 | 9.83 | o7½-115 u8-120 o7½-105 u7½-105 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) New York Yankees (69-52) | Zach Eflin Undecided Undecided | 32.4% 67.6% | +113 -135 +125 -130 | +1½-180 -1½+155 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 4.05 5.87 | 9.92 | o8-115 u8-105 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Richard Fitts Kevin Gausman | 42.6% 57.4% | +125 -136 +130 -135 | +1½-173 -1½+153 +1½-167 -1½+150 | 4.51 5.28 | 9.79 | o8-110 u8-105 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | David Peterson Chris Sale | 44.1% 55.9% | +154 -168 +160 -170 | +1½-141 -1½+125 +1½-143 -1½+130 | 4.12 4.74 | 8.86 | o7½+100 u7+107 o7½-105 u7½-115 | |||
| Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Chicago White Sox (71-50) | Jose Suarez Davis Martin | 37.1% 62.9% | -115 +105 -110 +102 | -1½+140 +1½-158 -1½+148 +1½-160 | 4.63 5.97 | 10.60 | o7½-110 u7½+100 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
| Miami Marlins (51-70) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Edward Cabrera Simeon Woods-Richardson | 44.8% 55.2% | +166 -182 +170 -185 | +1½-130 -1½+115 +1½-128 -1½+110 | 4.63 5.18 | 9.81 | o8-127 u8+107 o8-115 u8+100 | |||
| St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Erick Fedde Austin Gomber | 48.7% 51.3% | -122 +112 -120 +115 | -1½+120 +1½-139 -1½+127 +1½-145 | 4.89 5.03 | 9.92 | o10½-110 u10+108 o10-115 u10+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Mason Black Zac Gallen | 55.5% 44.5% | +193 -214 +198 -216 | +1½-110 -1½-106 +1½-108 -1½-105 | 4.00 3.43 | 7.43 | o8½-104 u8½-105 o8½-105 u8½-105 | |||
| Texas Rangers (42-78) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Cody Bradford Brady Basso | 35.8% 64.2% | +101 -111 +102 -110 | +1½-210 -1½+192 | 4.52 6.01 | 10.53 | o7½+100 u7+107 o7½+105 u7½-120 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Dylan Cease Jack Flaherty | 36.0% 64.0% | +121 -132 +123 -130 | +1½-179 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 3.50 4.97 | 8.47 | o8+100 u7½-102 o7½-115 u7½-105 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies Chicago Cubs | 51.5% 48.5% | -120 +110 -120 +111 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-155 | 2 10 | -0.76336-0.76589 | -0.72453 | |
| Boston Red Sox Miami Marlins | 47.8% 52.2% | -148 +136 -150 +142 | -1½+110 +1½-126 -1½+105 +1½-123 | 6 5 | -0.53652-0.52396 | -0.73787 | |
| Detroit Tigers Minnesota Twins | 42.3% 57.7% | +160 -175 +164 -170 | +1½-123 -1½+115 +1½-125 -1½+117 | 3 12 | -0.47276-0.47101 | -0.55057 | |
| Chicago White Sox Cleveland Indians | 54.2% 45.8% | +195 -217 +200 -220 | +1½-105 -1½-115 +1½+100 -1½-115 | 4 8 | -0.40226-0.39531 | -0.78180 | |
| Houston Astros Toronto Blue Jays | 48.4% 51.6% | -107 -103 -107 +103 | -1½+145 +1½-165 | 5 3 | -0.68389-0.66935 | -0.72551 | |
| Cincinnati Reds New York Yankees | 43.1% 56.9% | +157 -172 +160 -167 | +1½-120 -1½+104 +1½-120 -1½+110 | 8 4 | -0.96511-0.96553 | -0.84183 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Pittsburgh Pirates | 54.9% 45.1% | -103 -107 -105 +100 | -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+148 +1½-165 | 3 2 | -0.70249-0.68116 | -0.60044 | |
| New York Mets Washington Nationals | 50.2% 49.8% | -103 -107 -105 -105 | -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-165 | 0 1 | -0.68389-0.69315 | -0.69802 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners | 39.4% 60.6% | +131 -143 +133 -133 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-170 -1½+170 | 4 1 | -0.85840-0.84588 | -0.93102 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers | 27.8% 72.2% | +182 -200 +182 -190 | +1½-115 -1½-103 +1½-110 -1½+102 | 12 4 | -1.05780-1.04646 | -1.28186 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Oakland Athletics | 43.1% 56.9% | -107 -103 -105 -101 | -1½+153 +1½-173 -1½+160 +1½-165 | 0 5 | -0.70249-0.70275 | -0.56442 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Colorado Rockies | 53.7% 46.3% | -166 +152 -165 +153 | -1½-120 +1½+100 -1½-114 +1½-104 | 3 0 | -0.49218-0.49153 | -0.62209 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Kansas City Royals | 57.2% 42.8% | -109 -101 -108 +102 | +1½-200 -1½+192 | 2 4 | -0.71192-0.71728 | -0.84929 | |
| Detroit Tigers Minnesota Twins | 45.5% 54.5% | +156 -170 +155 -165 | +1½-135 -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 9 2 | -0.96006-0.95078 | -0.78834 | |
| San Diego Padres Texas Rangers | 59.7% 40.3% | +144 -157 +143 -153 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-155 -1½+138 | 6 4 | -0.91250-0.90402 | -0.51570 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Chicago Cubs | 51.5% 48.5% | -108 -102 -107 +101 | -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-175 | 5 3 | -0.67930-0.67421 | -0.66271 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-7 (0.500) | 1 | -0.68969 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-8 (0.467) | 0 | -0.68956 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71361 | -0.02392 -0.02405 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.