MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Griffin Canning
Chris Sale
48.5%
51.5%
+205
-228
+205
-230
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
4.14
4.29
8.43
o8-108
u8-105
o8-105
u8-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Taj Bradley
Gavin Williams
47.8%
52.2%
+122
-135
+121
-130
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.60
4.83
9.43
o7½-115
u7½+102
o7½-120
u7½+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Ian Seymour
Shane Bieber
41.8%
58.2%
-101
-109
-105
-101
+1½-215
-1½+183

3.64
4.51
8.15
o8½-110
u8½-103
o8½-110
u8½-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+107
-118
+115
-119
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.72
4.76
8.48
o8-110
u8-105
o8-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+176
-193
+176
-190
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-125
-1½+105
4.37
4.71
9.08
o8-120
u8+107
o8-120
u8+105
Games for Jul 22, 2026
Games for Jul 24, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
50.4%
49.6%
-122
+114
-120
+118
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+134
+1½-145
3
5
-0.77751-0.78347-0.70128
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
46.5%
53.5%
-165
+155
-157
+157
-1½-105
+1½+100
-1½-107
+1½+100
7
4
-0.48848-0.49284-0.76503
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
62.8%
37.2%
-178
+172
-180
+170
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
3
8
-1.00854-1.00641-0.98959
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
35.3%
64.7%
+233
-235
+216
-240
+1½+123
-1½-125
+1½+130
-1½-130
6
7
-0.35633-0.37040-0.43609
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
42.4%
57.6%
+130
-133
+136
-140
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+138
2
5
-0.56627-0.54604-0.55186
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
48.5%
51.5%
+105
-114
+110
-114
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+170
0
4
-0.65009-0.63864-0.66437
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
51.8%
48.2%
-139
+135
-132
+136
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
1
4
-0.86152-0.85132-0.72944
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
48.9%
51.1%
-105
-104
-102
-101
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
6
7
-0.69549-0.69559-0.67221
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
45.1%
54.9%
+103
-113
+105
-107

-1½+160
+1½-170
3
2
-0.73091-0.72256-0.79651
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
45.4%
54.6%
+150
-156
+154
-160
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-138
-1½+130
0
4
-0.50464-0.49456-0.60506
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
54.9%
45.1%
+128
-137
+133
-136
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+171
1
2
-0.56460-0.55661-0.79584
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.6%
62.4%
+183
-195
+181
-195
+1½-118
-1½+110
+1½-110
-1½+110
4
2
-1.05455-1.04994-0.97729
Chicago White Sox
San Francisco Giants
49.5%
50.5%
+122
-130
+122
-130
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-177
-1½+165
13
4
-0.81306-0.81306-0.70281
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
46.1%
53.9%
-110
+102
-106
+105
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
6
-0.72177-0.72021-0.61802
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
54.0%
46.0%
+102
-110
+108
-112
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
4
2
-0.72177-0.74139-0.61633
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
39.2%
60.8%
+137
-145
+140
-150
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-140
-1½+135
3
1
-0.87659-0.89199-0.93705
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks179-8 (0.529)0-0.70952 
Sportsbooks179-7 (0.559)1-0.69898 
DRatings178-9 (0.471)0-0.71558
-0.00606
-0.01660

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.