MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 24, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Tomoyuki Sugano
Shane Drohan
38.8%
61.2%
+212
-230
+205
-230
+1½-105
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.32
5.50
9.82
o8½-103
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Matthew Boyd
Jared Jones
52.9%
47.1%
+112
-123
+108
-115

+1½-190
-1½+170
4.69
4.39
9.08
o8-115
u8½-120
o8-110
u8-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Tarik Skubal
49.5%
50.5%
+235
-300

+1½+100
-1½-120

4.47
4.52
8.99
o7½-120
u7½+100

Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Carson Palmquist
41.1%
58.9%
-123
+103
-115
+105
-1½+135
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-155
4.11
5.04
9.15
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-110
New York Yankees (69-52)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Will Warren
Jesus Luzardo
51.3%
48.7%
+115
-121
+115
-125

+1½-185
-1½+165
4.79
4.66
9.45
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Grant Holmes
Trevor Rogers
59.7%
40.3%
+103
-113
+105
-115


5.30
4.27
9.57
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Mets (60-60)
Roki Sasaki
Sean Manaea
56.6%
43.4%
-142
+135
-145
+135
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
4.94
4.25
9.19
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
German Marquez
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
55.7%
44.3%
+115
-138
+115
-135
+1½-195
-1½+165
+1½-178
-1½+150
4.53
3.94
8.47
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Joey Cantillo
Shane McClanahan
39.0%
61.0%
+122
-135
+120
-130
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+170
3.66
4.82
8.48
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Trey Yesavage
Patrick Sandoval
48.2%
51.8%
+111
-122
+111
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+165
5.03
5.23
10.26
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Spencer Arrighetti
Davis Martin
48.8%
51.2%
+129
-138
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+155
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.23
4.35
8.58
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Bryce Miller
MacKenzie Gore
52.2%
47.8%
-115
+104
-115
+105
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
5.43
5.19
10.62
o7½-110
u7½-108
o7½-110
u7½-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Jacob Lopez
Zebby Matthews
52.1%
47.9%
+126
-138
+125
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
5.24
5.01
10.25
o9½-105
u9½+100
o9½-105
u9½-110
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Rhett Lowder
Dustin May
49.5%
50.5%
+143
-158
+145
-155
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
4.37
4.42
8.79
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Grayson Rodriguez
Logan Webb
43.0%
57.0%
+150
-165
+150
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
4.36
5.09
9.45
o8-105
u8-115
o8-110
u8-105
Games for Jul 23, 2026
Games for Jul 25, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
46.7%
53.3%
+193
-215
+205
-210
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
9.13
o8½+100
u8½-112
o8½-110
u8½-110
7th
TOP
2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.0%
50.0%
+109
-117
+111
-115
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+175
3
1
-0.75464-0.75547-0.69381
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
41.2%
58.8%
+224
-240
+221
-245
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+110
-1½-125
5
3
-1.19000-1.18771-0.88625
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
38.9%
61.1%
+124
-129
+118
-127
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
0
7
-0.58361-0.59878-0.49192
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
55.7%
44.3%
-132
+123
-127
+122
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-145
6
5
-0.58118-0.59064-0.58515
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.6%
51.4%
+121
-130
+126
-132
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+160
5
3
-0.81054-0.82675-0.72120
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago White Sox
52.6%
47.4%
-121
+116
-124
+117
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
0
4
-0.78054-0.78902-0.74699
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
30.4%
69.6%
+240
-260
+234
-255
+1½+115
-1½-132
+1½+115
-1½-130
1
4
-0.34163-0.34841-0.36255
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
53.3%
46.7%
-215
+197
-205
+200
-1½-145
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+130
7
0
-0.40099-0.40275-0.62882
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+104
-114
+107
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+175
3
2
-0.73560-0.73443-0.83575
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Indians
41.7%
58.3%
+116
-123
+116
-124
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
6
3
-0.78454-0.78651-0.87412
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
54.2%
45.8%
-165
+156
-163
+155
-1½-105
+1½-109
-1½+100
+1½-110
10
4
-0.48696-0.49027-0.61310
Oakland Athletics
Atlanta Braves
47.8%
52.2%
+235
-255
+235
-260
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-125
2
3
-0.34753-0.34595-0.65045
St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays
41.4%
58.6%
+133
-142
+132
-140
+1½-160
-1½+146
+1½-160
-1½+147
2
4
-0.54894-0.55326-0.53375
Chicago Cubs
Baltimore Orioles
52.8%
47.2%
-108
-101
-106
+100
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
3
9
-0.70966-0.70761-0.75054
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
+160
-170
+162
-167
+1½-125
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+110
2
12
-0.47678-0.47638-0.65137
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
37.5%
62.5%
+141
-145
+140
-145
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-147
-1½+135
8
14
-0.53128-0.53299-0.46924
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-3 (0.250)0-0.67109 
Sportsbooks41-3 (0.250)0-0.66267 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.71470
-0.04361
-0.05203

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.