MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 26, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Corbin Burnes
Gerrit Cole
31.0%
69.0%
+142
-155
+142
-152
+1½-156
-1½+136
+1½-159
-1½+140
3.42
5.37
8.79
o8-112
u8½-110
o8-110
u8-110
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Sean Manaea
Max Fried
37.0%
63.0%




3.09
4.46
7.55


Miami Marlins (51-70)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Valente Bellozo
David Festa
44.8%
55.2%
+228
-258
+220
-240
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+102
-1½-115
4.62
5.17
9.79
o8½-115
u8½-102
o8½-120
u8½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Joe Musgrove
Walker Buehler
41.7%
58.3%
-103
-107
+100
-106
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-210
-1½+185
3.88
4.74
8.62
o8½-110
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
45.9%
54.1%
-108
-102
-105
+100

-1½+143
+1½-150
10.35
o10½-112
u10½-105
o10½-115
u10½+100
8th
BOT
8
6
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
35.8%
64.2%
+104
-114
+105
-110

-1½+165
+1½-175
10.65
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-110
8th
TOP
2
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
40.8%
59.2%
+117
-127
+114
-120
+1½-193
-1½+175

3
5
-0.60086-0.61880-0.52487
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
52.7%
47.3%
+172
-188
+176
-187
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
5
3
-1.02085-1.02901-0.64016
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
49.0%
51.0%
-102
-108
+100
-107
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+176
6
7
-0.67930-0.67666-0.67295
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
42.4%
57.6%
+191
-212
+190
-210
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
5
4
-1.09103-1.08672-0.85727
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
50.9%
49.1%
-130
+121
-138
+132
-1½+113
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
7
2
-0.58810-0.55582-0.67505
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
54.2%
45.8%
-152
+139
-152
+145
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-120
8
3
-0.52690-0.51683-0.61328
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
54.2%
45.8%
+191
-212
+190
-200
+1½+100
-1½-114
+1½-110
-1½-105
6
7
-0.40928-0.41690-0.78180
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.9%
47.1%
+109
-119
+110
-116
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
7
4
-0.75877-0.75509-0.63663
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
55.0%
45.0%
-142
+130
-140
+138
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-115
7
8
-0.85426-0.87060-0.79944
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
50.2%
49.8%
-113
+103
-114
+106
-1½+142
+1½-162
-1½+140
+1½-154
9
7
-0.65676-0.64777-0.68880
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
48.6%
51.4%
-124
+114
-117
+114
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+139
+1½-145
3
1
-0.61201-0.62416-0.72165
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
50.4%
49.6%
+149
-163
+155
-167
+1½-145
-1½+126
+1½-140
-1½+122
11
2
-0.93344-0.95355-0.68613
Oakland Athletics
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.7%
41.3%
+175
-192
+176
-190
+1½-117
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
1
5
-0.44021-0.44020-0.88479
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
45.9%
54.1%
-110
+100
-105
+102
-1½+160
+1½-174
-1½+160
+1½-175
5
3
-0.67015-0.67627-0.77871
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
39.3%
60.7%
-102
-108
-102
-105
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
7
6
-0.70719-0.70029-0.93303
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
52.0%
48.0%
-105
-105
-105
+109
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-145
4
10
-0.69315-0.72778-0.73395
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1712-5 (0.706)0-0.61258 
Sportsbooks1712-5 (0.706)0-0.61456 
DRatings177-10 (0.412)0-0.72073
-0.10815
-0.10617

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.