MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Patrick Corbin
Shane McClanahan
48.8%
51.2%
+128
-141
+127
-137
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.25
4.38
8.63
o7½-114
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%
-107
-103
+100
-110
+1½-220
-1½+186

4.45
4.14
8.59
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Tyler Glasnow
Lance McCullers Jr.
51.3%
48.7%
-204
+185
-200
+185
-1½-131
+1½+120
-1½-128
+1½+110
4.33
4.20
8.53
o9+100
u8½+105
o9+100
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Matt Waldron
Adrian Houser
46.6%
53.4%
-105
-105
-105
-103
-1½+153
+1½-174
-1½+155
+1½-170
3.87
4.22
8.09
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Noah Schultz
Walbert Urena
51.7%
48.3%
-109
-101
-109
+101
-1½+146
+1½-166
-1½+150
+1½-165
5.11
4.94
10.05
o9+100
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Martin Perez
Bryan Woo
52.7%
47.3%
+118
-130
+120
-127
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.90
4.62
9.52
o8-115
u8-101
o8½+105
u8+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Sonny Gray
Jack Flaherty
53.5%
46.5%
-101
-109
+100
-105
+1½-215
-1½+183
+1½-210
-1½+190
5.11
4.75
9.86
o8½-105
u8½-105
o8-110
u8½-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Brandon Young
Eury Perez
41.1%
58.9%
+119
-131
+120
-126
+1½-180
-1½+159
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.38
5.30
9.68
o8½-117
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-105
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Jeffrey Springs
Zack Wheeler
49.2%
50.8%
+151
-167
+150
-160
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
5.00
5.07
10.07
o8½+104
u8½-115
o8-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Bailey Ober
Miles Mikolas
47.8%
52.2%
-129
+117
-127
+120
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
5.21
5.43
10.64
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-115
Texas Rangers (42-78)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Nathan Eovaldi
Will Warren
33.9%
66.1%
+172
-191
+175
-190
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
4.94
6.62
11.56
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Brady Singer
Colin Rea
52.8%
47.2%
+154
-170
+155
-167
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+125
4.78
4.48
9.26
o8-115
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joey Cantillo
Cole Ragans
49.3%
50.7%
+119
-131
+120
-128
+1½-185
-1½+164
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.54
4.62
9.16
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½-105
u8-120
New York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-161
+146
-160
+150
-1½-105
+1½-112
-1½-105
+1½-110
5.41
5.76
11.17
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Paul Skenes
Michael Soroka
45.6%
54.4%
-122
+111
-120
+122
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
4.15
4.61
8.76
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-120
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
50.2%
49.8%
-180
+162
-185
+170
-1½-120
+1½+103
-1½-120
+1½+100
8
1
-0.46608-0.45144-0.68880
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.5%
37.5%
-135
+122
-136
+130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
7
3
-0.57893-0.56217-0.46965
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
49.0%
51.0%
+123
-136
+130
-135
+1½-176
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
7
4
-0.82640-0.84211-0.71368
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
55.0%
45.0%
+137
-151
+137
-148
+1½-171
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+160
4
6
-0.53144-0.53476-0.79906
Cleveland Indians
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.5%
52.5%
+105
-116
+110
-115
+1½-200
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
1
-0.74238-0.75294-0.74434
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
47.0%
53.0%
+121
-132
+135
-140
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
3
-0.81423-0.86325-0.75449
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Angels
48.2%
51.8%
-112
+102
-110
+104
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
4
1
-0.66116-0.66054-0.73033
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
61.1%
38.9%
-274
+243
-290
+258
-1½-181
+1½+165
-1½-175
+1½+165
3
4
-1.25642-1.29803-0.94520
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
44.1%
55.9%
+110
-120
+112
-120
+1½-178
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
4
-0.62755-0.62315-0.58182
Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves
48.1%
51.9%
+184
-205
+181
-200
+1½-110
-1½-107
+1½-110
-1½-105
13
9
-1.06775-1.05547-0.73135
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
34.1%
65.9%
+101
-110
+108
-116
+1½-198
-1½+173
+1½-190
-1½+175
6
3
-0.71924-0.75001-1.07526
Seattle Mariners
Philadelphia Phillies
43.3%
56.7%
+106
-117
+104
-109

+1½-210
-1½+185
7
12
-0.64204-0.66266-0.56690
Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.2%
38.8%
+102
-112
-104
-101
+1½-230
-1½+195
+1½-235
-1½+205
2
5
-0.66116-0.70039-0.94801
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
56.7%
43.3%
+132
-146
+135
-148
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-160
-1½+140
0
10
-0.54595-0.53828-0.83628
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
49.0%
51.0%
+122
-135
+126
-136
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+160
8
3
-0.82212-0.83393-0.71368
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
50.7%
49.3%
+103
-113
+106
-114
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+178
7
0
-0.73091-0.74068-0.67851
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.70776 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.71407 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.68574
0.02202
0.02833

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.