MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 29, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Jesus Luzardo
Ryan Gusto
51.7%
48.3%
-175
+158
-168
+155
-1½+100
+1½-109
-1½-108
+1½-110
4.56
4.39
8.95
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Jared Jones
48.0%
52.0%
+115
-127
+115
-120
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-178
-1½+165
4.35
4.57
8.92
o8½-104
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Trey Yesavage
Zack Littell
54.5%
45.5%
-116
+105
-117
+110
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+130
+1½-150
5.05
4.57
9.62
o9½+102
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-120
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
AJ Smith-Shawver
Sean Manaea
49.5%
50.5%
-125
+113
-114
+105
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+158
+1½-160
4.38
4.43
8.81
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8-110
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Trevor Rogers
Tarik Skubal
45.1%
54.9%
+154
-171
+160
-173
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
4.78
5.30
10.08
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u8-125
Overall Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Shane Drohan
Logan Webb
47.8%
52.2%
-121
+110
-120
+111
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-159
4.20
4.44
8.64
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Gabriel Hughes
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
38.3%
61.7%
+125
-149
+130
-139
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.20
5.43
9.63
o8-110
u8-110
o8-115
u8½-120
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
MacKenzie Gore
Casey Legumina
34.2%
65.8%
+125
-138
+130
-140
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-174
-1½+158
4.09
5.73
9.82
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Joey Cantillo
Brady Singer
43.0%
57.0%
-128
+116
-130
+120
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.32
5.06
9.38
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Chris Sale
Christian Scott
49.5%
50.5%
-145
+131
-155
+145

-1½+115
+1½-125
4.34
4.39
8.73
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7-120
u7½-120
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cam Schlittler
Davis Martin
47.7%
52.3%
-140
+127
-140
+130
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-140
4.78
5.02
9.80
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-110
u7½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Randy Dobnak
Joe Ryan
42.2%
57.8%
+154
-170
+155
-170
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
4.82
5.65
10.47
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Matthew Boyd
Dustin May
44.7%
55.3%
-115
+104
-115
+105
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.13
4.68
8.81
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Hayden Wesneski
Grayson Rodriguez
53.8%
46.2%
-130
+118
-125
+116
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-140
4.83
4.44
9.27
o9½-115
u10-110
o9½-115
u9½-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Patrick Sandoval
Jacob Lopez
46.9%
53.1%
-146
+132
-145
+135
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-120
4.96
5.28
10.24
o10½-105
u10½-105
o10½-115
u10½+100
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Emerson Hancock
Eric Lauer
34.4%
65.6%
+131
-145
+140
-145
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
3.90
5.53
9.43
o9½-115
u9½-105
o9-120
u9½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 28, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.4%
44.6%
-181
+166
-180
+170
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
13
0
-0.45972-0.45497-0.59092
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
58.0%
42.0%
-191
+175
-183
+175
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-120
+1½+115
3
2
-0.44085-0.44619-0.54430
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
49.2%
50.8%
-105
-105
-102
-104
-1½+154
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
1
6
-0.69315-0.68838-0.67659
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
37.6%
62.4%
+166
-175
+165
-175
+1½-123
-1½+109
+1½-125
-1½+110
0
7
-0.46421-0.46561-0.47193
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
41.9%
58.1%
+141
-151
+143
-149
+1½-151
-1½+135
+1½-147
-1½+135
4
2
-0.89602-0.89776-0.86996
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
48.2%
51.8%
+114
-118
+114
-122
+1½-182
-1½+165

2
3
-0.62235-0.61535-0.65807
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Indians
59.3%
40.7%
-132
+125
-131
+126
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+117
+1½-125
5
3
-0.57725-0.57675-0.52265
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
44.1%
55.9%
+161
-175
+165
-170
+1½-129
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
8
7
-0.97867-0.98152-0.81787
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.9%
65.1%
+233
-260
+234
-260
+1½+115
-1½-134
+1½+115
-1½-130
4
2
-1.22523-1.22738-1.05303
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
53.5%
46.5%
-174
+160
-164
+155
-1½-105
+1½-111
-1½+100
+1½-115
8
2
-0.47353-0.48937-0.62562
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Angels
52.2%
47.8%
-195
+179
-195
+181
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+115
5
0
-0.43323-0.43072-0.65085
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
35.9%
64.1%
+190
-208
+196
-200
+1½+105
-1½-116
+1½+105
-1½-110
13
17
-0.41252-0.40996-0.44496
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
49.4%
50.6%
-128
+118
-122
+121
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
0
2
-0.79924-0.79502-0.68207
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
61.3%
38.7%
-181
+166
-177
+172
-1½-117
+1½+110
-1½-117
+1½+110
5
4
-0.45972-0.45448-0.49012
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
43.4%
56.6%
+170
-185
+176
-185
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
1
-1.01255-1.02661-0.83425
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
32.5%
67.5%
+233
-260
+225
-247
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+105
-1½-121
6
7
-0.34770-0.35925-0.39278
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.70252 
Sportsbooks157-7 (0.500)1-0.70693 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.73228
-0.02976
-0.02535

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.