MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 29, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Jesus Luzardo
Ryan Gusto
51.7%
48.3%
-170
+154
-165
+152
-1½-105
+1½-112
-1½-105
+1½-110
4.56
4.39
8.95
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Jared Jones
48.0%
52.0%
+118
-130
+120
-130
+1½-175
-1½+156
+1½-178
-1½+160
4.37
4.57
8.94
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-105
u8½+100
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Trey Yesavage
Zack Littell
54.5%
45.5%
-112
+102
-115
+108
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+135
+1½-150
5.06
4.58
9.64
o9½+103
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-120
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
AJ Smith-Shawver
Sean Manaea
49.5%
50.5%
-109
-101
-108
+100

-1½+158
+1½-170
4.40
4.46
8.86
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Trevor Rogers
Tarik Skubal
45.1%
54.9%
+156
-173
+160
-171
+1½-140
-1½+124
+1½-140
-1½+125
4.78
5.30
10.08
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½-105
u8-125
Overall Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Shane Drohan
Logan Webb
47.8%
52.2%
-121
+110
-120
+111
-1½+136
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-159
4.20
4.44
8.64
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Gabriel Hughes
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
38.3%
61.7%
+141
-156
+145
-140
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+150
4.20
5.43
9.63
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8-115
u8½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
MacKenzie Gore
Casey Legumina
34.2%
65.8%
+129
-142
+130
-140
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-174
-1½+158
4.09
5.73
9.82
o8+100
u8-115
o7½-105
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Joey Cantillo
Brady Singer
43.0%
57.0%
-133
+121
-129
+120
-1½+121
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.32
5.06
9.38
o9-105
u8½+100
o9-105
u9-115
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Chris Sale
Christian Scott
49.5%
50.5%
-145
+131
-147
+140
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
4.40
4.46
8.86
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7-120
u7½-120
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cam Schlittler
Davis Martin
47.7%
52.3%
-142
+129
-140
+130
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-140
4.78
5.02
9.80
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Randy Dobnak
Joe Ryan
42.2%
57.8%
+172
-191
+171
-178
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
4.95
5.78
10.73
o9+100
u8½+100
o8½-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Matthew Boyd
Dustin May
44.7%
55.3%
-105
-105
-103
+100
-1½+155
+1½-177

4.13
4.68
8.81
o8-105
u8-113
o8-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Hayden Wesneski
Grayson Rodriguez
53.8%
46.2%
-127
+115
-125
+115
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-140
4.83
4.44
9.27
o9½-115
u10-115
o9½-110
u9½-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Patrick Sandoval
Jacob Lopez
46.9%
53.1%
-146
+132
-144
+135
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+102
+1½-120
4.96
5.28
10.24
o10½-110
u10½-110
o10½-115
u10½+100
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Emerson Hancock
Eric Lauer
34.4%
65.6%
+145
-160
+150
-155
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
3.94
5.56
9.50
o9½-110
u9½-105
o9-120
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 28, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
45.3%
54.7%
+113
-123
+114
-121
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+163
4
6
-0.61582-0.61706-0.60312
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
47.4%
52.6%
-107
-103
-101
-102
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+192
5
1
-0.68389-0.69559-0.74714
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
46.6%
53.4%
+101
-111
+103
-110
-1½+155
+1½-175

1
2
-0.66563-0.66291-0.62674
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.1%
51.9%
+106
-116
+108
-116
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
5
6
-0.64392-0.63934-0.65614
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
27.4%
72.6%
+257
-289
+258
-290
+1½+145
-1½-159
+1½+145
-1½-154
4
8
-0.31993-0.31893-0.32059
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Indians
49.2%
50.8%
+111
-120
+110
-116
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-170
-1½+164
0
3
-0.62534-0.63482-0.67714
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.3%
62.7%
+163
-177
+165
-174
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
7
2
-0.98602-0.98687-0.98674
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
46.3%
53.7%
-110
+100
-114
+110
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-159
2
1
-0.67015-0.63864-0.77003
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
39.6%
60.4%
+148
-161
+146
-153
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+135
7
4
-0.92814-0.91135-0.92523
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
42.9%
57.1%
+165
-179
+165
-175
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-105
-1½-105
8
4
-0.99331-0.98819-0.84618
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
43.1%
56.9%
+102
-112
+104
-110
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+175
9
1
-0.72619-0.72685-0.84067
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
38.4%
61.6%
+210
-233
+210
-230
+1½+103
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-118
0
3
-0.37914-0.38037-0.48509
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
38.0%
62.0%
+177
-193
+178
-190
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-105
6
3
-1.03837-1.03722-0.96685
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
41.2%
58.8%
+201
-222
+200
-218
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-115
3
7
-0.39331-0.39625-0.53096
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
42.3%
57.7%
+110
-120
+110
-112
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
0
9
-0.62755-0.64257-0.55009
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
44.5%
55.5%
+121
-131
+120
-128
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+149
1
3
-0.58663-0.59314-0.58848
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.70252 
Sportsbooks157-7 (0.500)1-0.70693 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.73228
-0.02976
-0.02535

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.