MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 29, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Thomas Pannone
Logan Webb
47.8%
52.2%
-104
-106
-107
+105

-1½+155
+1½-165
4.20
4.44
8.64
o8+105
u8-120
o7½-110
u8-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Gabriel Hughes
Kyle Hart
38.3%
61.7%
+145
-160
+145
-140
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+150
4.20
5.43
9.63
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8-115
u8½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
MacKenzie Gore
Casey Legumina
34.2%
65.8%
+128
-141
+130
-140
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-174
-1½+158
4.09
5.73
9.82
o8+110
u7½-105
o7½-105
u8-120
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Joey Cantillo
Brady Singer
43.0%
57.0%
-135
+122
-130
+120
-1½+120
+1½-137
-1½+122
+1½-140
4.32
5.06
9.38
o9+100
u9-117
o9-105
u9-115
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Chris Sale
Christian Scott
49.5%
50.5%
-147
+133
-147
+140
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
4.40
4.46
8.86
o7½+103
u7½-123
o7-120
u7½-120
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cam Schlittler
Davis Martin
47.7%
52.3%
-142
+129
-140
+130
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-140
4.78
5.02
9.80
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Randy Dobnak
Joe Ryan
42.2%
57.8%
+175
-195
+171
-178
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
4.95
5.78
10.73
o9-108
u9-110
o8½-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Matthew Boyd
Dustin May
44.7%
55.3%
-103
-107
-103
+100


4.13
4.68
8.81
o8+100
u8-120
o8-105
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Hayden Wesneski
Grayson Rodriguez
53.8%
46.2%
-127
+115
-125
+115
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-140
4.83
4.44
9.27
o9½-115
u9½-105
o9½-110
u9½-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Patrick Sandoval
Jacob Lopez
46.9%
53.1%
-145
+131
-144
+135
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+102
+1½-120
4.96
5.28
10.24
o10½-108
u10½-110
o10½-115
u10½+100
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Emerson Hancock
Eric Lauer
34.4%
65.6%
+148
-164
+150
-155
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
3.94
5.56
9.50
o9½-111
u9½-105
o9-120
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 28, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
54.5%
45.5%
-115
+104
-115
+108
-1½+135
+1½-149
-1½+135
+1½-150
9.64
o9-120
u9½-125
o9½+100
u9½-120
7th
TOP
1
1
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
49.5%
50.5%
-106
-104
-110
+101
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+158
+1½-170
8.86
o8½-110
u8½-103
o8½-105
u8½-110
7th
TOP
2
2
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
45.1%
54.9%
+165
-183
+175
-178
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+122
10.08
o7½-103
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-105
7th
TOP
1
7

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
39.6%
60.4%
+225
-250
+220
-230
+1½+125
-1½-141
+1½+122
-1½-130
2
10
-0.35820-0.37044-0.50421
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
48.9%
51.1%
-108
-101
-102
-105
-1½+150
+1½-168

6
2
-0.67690-0.70029-0.71588
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.4%
62.6%
+178
-194
+181
-194
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
1
4
-0.43512-0.43134-0.46871
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
56.5%
43.5%
-195
+179
-190
+180
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
4
8
-1.04529-1.04185-0.83138
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
40.4%
59.6%
+266
-300
+271
-290
+1½+135
-1½-153
+1½+131
-1½-150
1
6
-0.31064-0.30931-0.51773
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
39.6%
60.4%
+220
-230
+210
-230
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-138
5
7
-0.37044-0.38037-0.50421
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.8%
41.2%
-199
+183
-195
+183
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
2
6
-1.05901-1.05455-0.88697
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
55.2%
44.8%
-165
+155
-163
+155
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+105
6
3
-0.48848-0.49027-0.59493
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
48.2%
51.8%
+138
-148
+142
-146
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+125
5
4
-0.88390-0.89048-0.73014
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
55.1%
44.9%
-133
+123
-131
+130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-135
9
8
-0.57975-0.56909-0.59566
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
28.1%
71.9%
+294
-333
+310
-340
+1½+165
-1½-178
+1½+170
-1½-170
2
7
-0.28521-0.27432-0.32925
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
49.7%
50.3%
-111
+101
-105
+100
-1½+135
+1½-152
-1½+140
+1½-150
13
10
-0.66563-0.68116-0.69870
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
21.0%
79.0%
+268
-295
+265
-290
+1½+145
-1½-156
+1½+140
-1½-148
0
9
-0.31031-0.31367-0.23630
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
45.3%
54.7%
-169
+156
-168
+159
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-109
+1½-105
2
4
-0.95870-0.96454-0.60279
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
59.4%
40.6%
-175
+162
-174
+165
-1½-129
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
2
3
-0.98104-0.98687-0.90017
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
47.7%
52.3%
+188
-205
+189
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-103
2
3
-0.41647-0.41806-0.64762
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.71385 
Sportsbooks167-8 (0.469)1-0.71678 
DRatings168-8 (0.500)0-0.72513
-0.01128
-0.00836

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.