MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 29, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Houston Astros (70-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Hayden Wesneski
Grayson Rodriguez
53.8%
46.2%
-127
+115
-125
+117
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-140
4.83
4.44
9.27
o9-128
u9½-115
o9½-110
u9½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Patrick Sandoval
Jacob Lopez
46.9%
53.1%
-147
+133
-144
+135
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+102
+1½-120
4.96
5.28
10.24
o10½-120
u10½+100
o10½-115
u10½+105
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Emerson Hancock
Eric Lauer
34.4%
65.6%
+154
-171
+155
-155
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+135
3.90
5.53
9.43
o9½-111
u9½-105
o9-120
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 28, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
34.2%
65.8%
+128
-141
+130
-137
+1½-170
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+158
9.82
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-105
u8-120
6th
BOT
0
3
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
43.0%
57.0%
-135
+122
-130
+122
-1½+120
+1½-139
-1½+122
+1½-140
9.38
o8½-110
u8½-110
o9-105
u8½-105
4th
TOP
0
0
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
49.5%
50.5%
-169
+153
-160
+160
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+115
+1½-115
8.86
o7-118
u7-102
o7-120
u7½-120
5th
TOP
0
0
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
47.7%
52.3%
-139
+126
-135
+131
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-135
9.80
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
2nd
TOP
4
0
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
42.2%
57.8%
+174
-193
+175
-178
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-125
-1½+115
10.47
o9-105
u9-114
o9-105
u9-110
2nd
TOP
0
0
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
44.7%
55.3%
-103
-107
-103
+100


8.81
o7½-117
u7½+100
o8+105
u8-110
2nd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
40.5%
59.5%
+146
-156
+150
-150
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+120
12
3
-0.91592-0.91629-0.90481
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
46.4%
53.6%
+195
-214
+197
-215
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-102
-1½-110
1
3
-0.40372-0.40099-0.62332
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
58.2%
41.8%
+104
-114
+108
-114
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+155
8
1
-0.73560-0.74575-0.54165
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
41.9%
58.1%
+136
-146
+138
-144
+1½-140
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+125
6
4
-0.87575-0.87738-0.86988
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
48.6%
51.4%
+148
-161
+147
-155
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+141
4
5
-0.50301-0.51046-0.66472
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
44.4%
55.6%
-219
+199
-210
+200
-1½-137
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+120
17
4
-0.39687-0.40015-0.81144
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
48.0%
52.0%
-172
+158
-167
+161
-1½-117
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½+105
17
0
-0.47807-0.47783-0.73449
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
63.0%
37.0%
-133
+123
-128
+126
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-130
1
2
-0.82107-0.81923-0.99371
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.8%
45.2%
-131
+121
-128
+127
-1½+120
+1½-137
-1½+122
+1½-140
7
6
-0.58663-0.57925-0.60217
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
48.7%
51.3%
+203
-220
+201
-210
+1½-121
-1½+101
+1½-118
-1½+105
1
4
-0.39207-0.39906-0.66686
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
47.2%
52.8%
+185
-201
+185
-200
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
1
2
-0.42230-0.42286-0.63805
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
52.1%
47.9%
+251
-283
+250
-269
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-130
2
7
-0.32612-0.33069-0.73572
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
47.6%
52.4%
-182
+167
-180
+172
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-115
+1½+105
10
2
-0.45763-0.45229-0.74188
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
49.6%
50.4%
-113
+103
-113
+104
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+131
+1½-145
5
2
-0.65676-0.65441-0.70041
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
47.3%
52.7%
-262
+234
-258
+233
-1½-174
+1½+155
-1½-165
+1½+155
10
0
-0.34619-0.34832-0.74925
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
48.5%
51.5%
-151
+141
-147
+140
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
6
3
-0.52457-0.53071-0.72439
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks126-6 (0.500)0-0.74088 
Sportsbooks124-7 (0.375)1-0.75168 
DRatings127-5 (0.583)0-0.68849
0.05239
0.06318

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.