MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Bradgley Rodriguez
Adrian Houser
46.6%
53.4%
-102
-108
-105
-105

-1½+155
+1½-170
3.85
4.20
8.05
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Noah Schultz
Walbert Urena
51.7%
48.3%
-113
+103
-110
+101
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-165
5.11
4.94
10.05
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Martin Perez
Bryan Woo
52.7%
47.3%
+113
-125
+120
-127
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+155
4.90
4.62
9.52
o8-105
u8-113
o8+100
u8+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Sonny Gray
Jack Flaherty
53.5%
46.5%
-103
-107
+100
-105
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
5.18
4.81
9.99
o8½-105
u8½-105
o8-110
u8½-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Brandon Young
Eury Perez
41.1%
58.9%
+118
-130
+120
-127
+1½-181
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.38
5.30
9.68
o8½-117
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½+100
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Jeffrey Springs
Zack Wheeler
49.2%
50.8%
+147
-163
+150
-160
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+120
4.71
4.80
9.51
o8-115
u8-105
o8-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Bailey Ober
Miles Mikolas
47.8%
52.2%
-128
+116
-129
+120
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
5.12
5.35
10.47
o9½-105
u9½-114
o9½-105
u9½-115
Texas Rangers (42-78)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Nathan Eovaldi
Will Warren
33.9%
66.1%
+167
-185
+175
-190
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
4.93
6.59
11.52
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Brady Singer
Colin Rea
52.8%
47.2%
+152
-168
+155
-167
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
4.78
4.48
9.26
o8-115
u8-105
o7½-125
u8-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joey Cantillo
Cole Ragans
49.3%
50.7%
+120
-132
+120
-130
+1½-185
-1½+164
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.42
4.49
8.91
o7½-103
u7½-110
o7½-105
u8-120
New York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-159
+144
-160
+150
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
5.41
5.76
11.17
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Paul Skenes
Michael Soroka
45.6%
54.4%
-123
+112
-120
+122
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
4.15
4.61
8.76
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-120
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
48.8%
51.2%
+112
-122
+118
-124
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+170
8.63
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½+100
7th
TOP
0
2
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
53.0%
47.0%
-109
-101
-103
+100


8.59
o7½-111
u7½-105
o7½-115
u8½-110
5th
TOP
4
0
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Houston Astros (70-50)
51.3%
48.7%
-211
+189
-200
+185
-1½-137
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+120
8.53
o8½-117
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½+105
2nd
BOT
1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-174
+157
-172
+167
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+110
2
3
-0.96777-0.98894-0.70637
Miami Marlins
Cleveland Indians
45.8%
54.2%
+113
-123
+108
-115
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
4
9
-0.61582-0.64124-0.61194
Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays
38.4%
61.6%
-114
+104
-114
+105
-1½+144
+1½-164

1
2
-0.73560-0.73814-0.48527
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
53.9%
46.1%
-117
+106
-123
+115
-1½+130
+1½-149
-1½+125
+1½-142
3
5
-0.74701-0.78202-0.77510
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
48.6%
51.4%
-147
+133
-140
+135
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-125
8
2
-0.54299-0.54782-0.72132
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
57.5%
42.5%
-177
+160
-187
+180
-1½-124
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+115
5
6
-0.97883-1.03829-0.85569
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
39.6%
60.4%
+129
-142
+137
-146
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
4
1
-0.85174-0.87822-0.92629
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
+176
-196
+180
-193
+1½-113
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-102
11
6
-1.03942-1.04535-0.70251
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
53.9%
46.1%
-134
+122
-136
+126
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
3
4
-0.82034-0.83393-0.77510
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
43.7%
56.3%
+131
-145
+135
-146
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
1
4
-0.54896-0.54056-0.57405
Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays
38.4%
61.6%
+114
-126
+116
-126
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
4
1
-0.78531-0.79039-0.95589
Miami Marlins
Cleveland Indians
45.8%
54.2%
+119
-131
+122
-130
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
13
4
-0.80735-0.81306-0.78154
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
46.8%
53.2%
-124
+113
-120
+115
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
0
8
-0.77892-0.77596-0.63102
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
46.6%
53.4%
-132
+121
-140
+137
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-115
11
1
-0.58515-0.54426-0.76338
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
49.8%
50.2%
+124
-137
+131
-142
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
6
4
-0.83066-0.85675-0.69707
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
+189
-210
+200
-220
+1½-105
-1½-114
+1½-105
-1½-110
6
5
-1.08441-1.11923-0.80276
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.70776 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.71407 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.68574
0.02202
0.02833

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.