Upcoming Games for September 27, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Undecided Undecided Jameson Taillon | 51.6% 48.4% | +127 -152 | +1½-180 -1½+150 | 3.94 3.77 | 7.71 | o6½-105 u6½-115 | |||
Chicago White Sox (71-50) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Garrett Crochet Undecided Undecided | 57.8% 42.2% | +140 -168 | +1½-145 -1½+125 | 4.96 4.14 | 9.10 | o7½+100 u7½-120 | |||
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Ranger Suarez Trevor Williams | 50.7% 49.3% | -173 +158 -173 +160 | -1½-105 +1½-115 -1½-105 +1½-113 | 4.80 4.73 | 9.53 | o8-115 u8-103 o8-120 u8+100 | |||
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) New York Yankees (69-52) | Jared Jones Carlos Rodon | 32.4% 67.6% | +148 -180 | +1½-130 -1½+110 | 3.80 5.62 | 9.42 | o8-120 u8+100 | |||
Miami Marlins (51-70) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Adam Oller Jose Berrios | 38.7% 61.3% | +165 -180 +173 -184 | +1½-130 -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+115 | 4.06 5.25 | 9.31 | o8-120 u8+100 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Ronel Blanco Joey Cantillo | 55.9% 44.1% | +108 -118 +114 -121 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-188 -1½+180 | 4.50 3.87 | 8.37 | o8+100 u7½-102 o8+100 u8-115 | |||
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Taj Bradley Nick Pivetta | 54.9% 45.1% | +120 -130 +120 -130 | +1½-185 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 5.41 4.90 | 10.31 | o8-108 u8-110 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Brady Singer Max Fried | 33.3% 66.7% | +174 -190 +176 -190 | +1½-125 -1½+105 +1½-123 -1½+110 | 2.82 4.54 | 7.36 | o7½-110 u7½-105 o7½-105 u7½-110 | |||
New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Sean Manaea Frankie Montas | 42.9% 57.1% | -123 +113 -120 +112 | -1½+137 +1½-157 -1½+140 +1½-155 | 3.92 4.66 | 8.58 | o7½-113 u7½-105 o7½-115 u7½+100 | |||
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Undecided Undecided Cal Quantrill | 60.8% 39.2% | -185 +153 | -1½-135 +1½+115 | 5.65 4.51 | 10.16 | o11½-115 u11½-105 | |||
Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Cade Povich Pablo Lopez | 39.2% 60.8% | +142 -172 | +1½-140 -1½+115 | 4.81 5.95 | 10.76 | o8½-115 u8½-105 | |||
Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Jacob deGrom Reid Detmers | 39.3% 60.7% | -160 +147 -160 +150 | -1½+105 +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-118 | 4.91 6.03 | 10.94 | o7½-105 u7½-110 o7½-115 u7½-105 | |||
San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Yu Darvish Merrill Kelly | 62.6% 37.4% | +108 -130 | +1½-185 -1½+155 | 4.44 3.14 | 7.58 | o9-105 u9-115 | |||
Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | JP Sears Undecided Undecided | 52.8% 47.2% | +141 -170 | +1½-160 -1½+130 | 4.79 4.50 | 9.29 | o7½-105 u7½-115 | |||
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Miles Mikolas Landen Roupp | 40.0% 60.0% | +119 -129 +112 -120 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-195 -1½+175 | 3.63 4.69 | 8.32 | o7½-105 u7½-113 o7½-115 u7½-105 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seattle Mariners Tampa Bay Rays | 40.8% 59.2% | -124 +114 -121 +116 | -1½+134 +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 3 11 | -0.78145-0.78054 | -0.52351 | |
Philadelphia Phillies Detroit Tigers | 55.8% 44.2% | -113 +103 -112 +104 | -1½+148 +1½-168 -1½+150 +1½-160 | 1 4 | -0.73091-0.73126 | -0.81577 | |
Cleveland Indians Baltimore Orioles | 53.7% 46.3% | +139 -152 +144 -150 | +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+130 | 10 8 | -0.89265-0.90177 | -0.62228 | |
Chicago Cubs San Francisco Giants | 38.1% 61.9% | -112 +102 -109 +102 | -1½+155 +1½-169 -1½+155 +1½-165 | 4 5 | -0.72619-0.71953 | -0.47957 | |
Washington Nationals San Diego Padres | 41.3% 58.7% | +167 -183 +176 -181 | +1½-130 -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+117 | 6 7 | -0.45692-0.44629 | -0.53328 | |
Oakland Athletics Los Angeles Angels | 49.9% 50.1% | +126 -137 +129 -135 | +1½-166 -1½+146 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 1 5 | -0.56840-0.56539 | -0.69111 | |
Texas Rangers Milwaukee Brewers | 38.8% 61.2% | +155 -169 +158 -167 | +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 3 6 | -0.48503-0.48224 | -0.49106 | |
Miami Marlins Kansas City Royals | 48.2% 51.8% | +220 -248 +221 -245 | +1½+112 -1½-125 +1½+117 -1½-125 | 1 4 | -0.36361-0.36373 | -0.65776 | |
Los Angeles Dodgers Chicago White Sox | 52.6% 47.4% | -110 +100 -108 +100 | -1½+142 +1½-162 -1½+141 +1½-160 | 3 0 | -0.67015-0.67446 | -0.64205 | |
Atlanta Braves St. Louis Cardinals | 51.8% 48.2% | -125 +115 -120 +117 | -1½+130 +1½-148 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 3 4 | -0.78592-0.78100 | -0.73023 | |
Toronto Blue Jays Boston Red Sox | 47.0% 53.0% | +148 -162 +151 -148 | +1½-142 -1½+125 | 6 7 | -0.50206-0.51139 | -0.63418 | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds | 36.4% 63.6% | +124 -135 +125 -131 | +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+160 | 5 11 | -0.57499-0.57869 | -0.45190 | |
Seattle Mariners Tampa Bay Rays | 39.2% 60.8% | +101 -111 +100 -105 | +1½-215 -1½+195 +1½-210 -1½+190 | 3 4 | -0.66563-0.68116 | -0.49791 | |
Philadelphia Phillies Detroit Tigers | 61.1% 38.9% | -174 +159 -174 +162 | -1½-113 +1½-105 -1½-112 +1½-105 | 8 1 | -0.47499-0.47064 | -0.49266 | |
Cleveland Indians Baltimore Orioles | 53.7% 46.3% | -101 -109 +101 -104 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+185 | 3 2 | -0.71192-0.70542 | -0.62228 | |
New York Mets Chicago Cubs | 51.1% 48.9% | -102 -108 +100 -102 | +1½-213 -1½+183 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 5 2 | -0.70719-0.69808 | -0.67080 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 9 | 5-4 (0.556) | 0 | -0.69779 | |
Sportsbooks | 9 | 5-4 (0.556) | 0 | -0.69287 | |
DRatings | 9 | 6-3 (0.667) | 0 | -0.61119 | 0.08660 0.08168 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
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# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.