MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 30, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cole Winn
Shane McClanahan
34.2%
65.8%
+134
-148
+135
-125
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-178
-1½+165
4.09
5.73
9.82
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-105
u7½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Noah Cameron
Bailey Ober
43.5%
56.5%
+123
-136
+130
-136
+1½-165
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+145
4.80
5.48
10.28
o9½-112
u9½-105
o9½-110
u9½-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Ryan Weathers
Sean Burke
47.7%
52.3%
+101
-111
+100
-105
+1½-205
-1½+185

4.77
5.01
9.78
o7½-120
u8-112
o8-110
u8-105
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Javier Assad
Andre Pallante
44.8%
55.2%
+108
-119
+105
-114
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.12
4.66
8.78
o8½-105
u8½-113
o8½-105
u8½-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Yohan Ramirez
Rhett Lowder
36.4%
63.6%
-111
+101
-110
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
3.83
5.26
9.09
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Eury Perez
Nolan McLean
42.4%
57.6%
+117
-126
+120
-127
+1½-193
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.88
4.68
8.56
o7-115
u7-105
o7-115
u7-105
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Jake Irvin
Grant Holmes
40.8%
59.2%
+131
-145
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+135
4.27
5.24
9.51
o9½-115
u9½-105
o9½-115
u9½+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
JP Sears
47.0%
53.0%
+109
-131
+113
-125
+1½-185
-1½+160
+1½-190
-1½+165
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Sonny Gray
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
46.9%
53.1%
-160
+134
-155
+143
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-115
4.96
5.28
10.24
o10½-110
u10½-110
o10½-110
u10½-110
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Bryan Woo
Roki Sasaki
34.4%
65.6%
+133
-145
+140
-148
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
3.89
5.52
9.41
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-105
Games for Jul 29, 2026
Games for Jul 31, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
29.0%
71.0%
+177
-193
+180
-190
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+100
8
2
-1.03837-1.04185-1.23839
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
53.7%
46.3%
-161
+148
-155
+150
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-128
3
6
-0.92814-0.92410-0.76910
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
23.3%
76.7%
+262
-295
+250
-270
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-140
7
1
-1.30930-1.26808-1.45672
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
44.7%
55.3%
-121
+111
-117
+113
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-146
7
5
-0.62358-0.62633-0.80415
Cleveland Indians
Toronto Blue Jays
54.4%
45.6%
+228
-255
+233
-248
+1½+125
-1½-144
+1½+120
-1½-134
5
2
-1.21076-1.21584-0.60893
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
29.1%
70.9%
+145
-155
+146
-152
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+127
2
3
-0.51371-0.51519-0.34434
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.4%
39.6%
-243
+218
-236
+220
-1½-160
+1½+142
-1½-148
+1½+140
13
0
-0.36733-0.36805-0.50473
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
38.7%
61.3%
+141
-151
+151
-152
+1½-135
-1½+121
+1½-135
-1½+125
1
8
-0.52457-0.50713-0.48923
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
52.9%
47.1%
+104
-114
+106
-114
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+165
8
3
-0.73560-0.74068-0.63624
Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants
56.4%
43.6%
+107
-117
+109
-113
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
5
-0.63974-0.64285-0.83018
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
47.2%
52.8%
-146
+136
-142
+133
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-123
3
4
-0.87575-0.86171-0.63961
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
53.1%
46.9%
+148
-158
+147
-153
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+134
3
7
-0.50587-0.51251-0.75698
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
49.2%
50.8%
+152
-165
+156
-160
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+111
1
2
-0.49307-0.49151-0.67700
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
40.4%
59.6%
+154
-166
+152
-160
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+125
2
1
-0.94977-0.93639-0.90632
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
60.4%
39.6%
-158
+148
-155
+150
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-120
3
1
-0.50587-0.50566-0.50392
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
48.4%
51.6%
+134
-144
+138
-143
+1½-145
-1½+126
+1½-145
-1½+132
2
6
-0.54473-0.53883-0.66165
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.69274 
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.69951 
DRatings169-7 (0.562)0-0.65932
0.03341
0.04018

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.