MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 30, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Yohan Ramirez
Rhett Lowder
36.4%
63.6%
-117
+106
-114
+110
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
4.02
5.44
9.46
o9½-113
u9½-105
o9½-110
u9½-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Eury Perez
Nolan McLean
42.4%
57.6%
+111
-122
+114
-120
+1½-200
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.97
4.78
8.75
o7-115
u7-105
o7-115
u7+105
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Jake Irvin
Grant Holmes
40.8%
59.2%
+136
-150
+140
-150
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+130
4.29
5.26
9.55
o10-108
u10-110
o10-110
u10-110
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Robbie Ray
JP Sears
47.0%
53.0%
+150
-166
+150
-157
+1½-146
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½+100
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-120
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Sonny Gray
Mason Barnett
46.9%
53.1%
-190
+171
-180
+170
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-123
+1½+105
4.96
5.28
10.24
o10-109
u10-110
o10-105
u10-110
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Bryan Woo
Roki Sasaki
34.4%
65.6%
+142
-157
+145
-155
+1½-149
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
3.90
5.53
9.43
o9-105
u8½+105
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 29, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
42.7%
57.3%
+142
-152
+143
-147
+1½-165
-1½+159
+1½-170
-1½+150
8
9
-0.52182-0.52560-0.55610
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
30.3%
69.7%
+125
-135
+130
-134
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+141
3
5
-0.57304-0.56488-0.36034
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
47.7%
52.3%
+105
-112
+106
-111
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
5
-0.65406-0.65377-0.64852
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
43.6%
56.4%
-101
-106
+102
-106
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-208
-1½+185
8
0
-0.70508-0.71266-0.82995
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
33.3%
66.7%
+122
-130
+123
-132
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+144
4
7
-0.58609-0.58118-0.40567
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
66.4%
33.6%
-136
+126
-134
+129
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
0
4
-0.83393-0.83785-1.09053
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
31.4%
68.6%
+105
-115
+107
-113
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
9
3
-0.74028-0.74108-1.15814
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
49.5%
50.5%
+158
-171
+165
-175
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+110
2
1
-0.96622-0.98819-0.70227
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
66.7%
33.3%
-157
+148
-152
+152
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+108
+1½-115
6
1
-0.50687-0.50556-0.40441
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
69.1%
30.9%
+111
-115
+109
-114
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+176
5
4
-0.75547-0.74828-0.36953
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
44.9%
55.1%
+156
-169
+160
-170
+1½-130
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+117
15
5
-0.95870-0.96964-0.80082
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
48.4%
51.6%
+168
-178
+162
-168
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+124
2
5
-0.45917-0.47552-0.66126
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
35.5%
64.5%
-102
-105
-103
+100
+1½-195
-1½+175

4
6
-0.68605-0.70051-0.43792
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
52.0%
48.0%
+147
-157
+144
-150
+1½-144
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
4
-0.50846-0.52062-0.73314
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
44.4%
55.6%
-137
+127
-134
+130
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-132
3
8
-0.83820-0.84033-0.58740
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
45.2%
54.8%
+104
-113
+107
-110
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+197
5
0
-0.73345-0.73443-0.79456
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1310-3 (0.769)0-0.63257 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.63469 
DRatings138-5 (0.615)0-0.63900
-0.00643
-0.00431

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.