MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 31, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Will Warren
Shota Imanaga
56.0%
44.0%
+139
-154
+135
-145
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-157
-1½+140
5.07
4.44
9.51
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Paul Skenes
Hunter Greene
36.4%
63.6%
-130
+118
-125
+115
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
3.83
5.26
9.09
o8-105
u8-113
o7½-120
u8-115
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Brandon Young
57.5%
42.5%
-101
-119
+105
-114
-1½+160
+1½-185
+1½-190
-1½+175
5.33
4.53
9.86
o9-105
u9-115
o9+100
u9-115
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Kyle Leahy
Dylan Cease
40.4%
59.6%
+150
-166
+155
-166
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+127
4.07
5.08
9.15
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Janson Junk
Freddy Peralta
46.6%
53.4%
+114
-126
+120
-126
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+163
4.69
5.05
9.74
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Erick Fedde
Nick Martinez
46.1%
53.9%
+132
-144
+135
-145
+1½-166
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+148
4.27
4.68
8.95
o8½+100
u8½-119
o8-120
u8+105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Mitch Bratt
Tanner Bibee
41.1%
58.9%
+120
-132
+125
-131
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
3.72
4.66
8.38
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Foster Griffin
Bryce Elder
40.8%
59.2%
+103
-113
+110
-114
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.17
5.13
9.30
o9-110
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Nathan Eovaldi
Hunter Brown
32.9%
67.1%
+114
-126
+115
-125
+1½-188
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.99
5.76
9.75
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-115
u8-115
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael Wacha
Tomoyuki Sugano
45.3%
54.7%
-105
-105
-105
-105

-1½+135
+1½-155
4.96
5.44
10.40
o11-115
u11-103
o11-110
u11-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Shane Drohan
Ryan Johnson
51.6%
48.4%
-163
+147
-160
+150
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-113
4.80
4.64
9.44
o9-105
u9-105
o9-110
u9-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Casey Mize
Jeffrey Springs
35.8%
64.2%
-155
+140
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-113
3.89
5.38
9.27
o10½-120
u10½+105
o10½-120
u10½+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Carson Whisenhunt
Bradgley Rodriguez
47.0%
53.0%
+133
-147
+135
-145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+146
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Zebby Matthews
Bryce Miller
47.5%
52.5%
+160
-177
+165
-180
+1½-136
-1½+120
+1½-134
-1½+115
5.01
5.28
10.29
o7½-120
u7½+105
o8+100
u8-115
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Ranger Suarez
Edgardo Henriquez
40.0%
60.0%
+107
-118
+110
-111


4.46
5.51
9.97
o8½-120
u8½+105
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 30, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
66.2%
33.8%
-160
+148
-158
+152
-1½-105
+1½-109
-1½-105
+1½-110
3
2
-0.50395-0.49956-0.41314
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
32.2%
67.8%
+155
-163
+154
-161
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
3
-0.49027-0.49362-0.38793
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
38.4%
61.6%
+108
-117
+109
-117
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+163
4
8
-0.63747-0.63522-0.48457
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
65.3%
34.7%
-195
+180
-191
+180
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+125
7
8
-1.04762-1.04305-1.05725
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
39.5%
60.5%
+133
-141
+132
-138
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+134
6
5
-0.86003-0.85238-0.92801
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
48.3%
51.7%
+120
-129
+122
-123
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
7
8
-0.59162-0.59700-0.65954
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
50.3%
49.7%
+127
-137
+130
-136
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
1
-0.83820-0.84390-0.68709
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
46.1%
53.9%
+103
-112
+103
-107
-1½+162
+1½-180

0
1
-0.65878-0.66935-0.61748
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
63.6%
36.4%
-129
+121
-130
+124
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
0
10
-0.80867-0.81805-1.01192
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.8%
69.2%
+148
-158
+145
-153
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+125
3
5
-0.50587-0.51577-0.36883
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
50.6%
49.4%
+172
-180
+172
-176
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
8
9
-0.45229-0.45523-0.70475
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
38.9%
61.1%
+116
-126
+118
-124
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
6
-0.60453-0.60358-0.49269
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
71.2%
28.8%
-230
+209
-231
+225
-1½-162
+1½+145
-1½-160
+1½+150
4
8
-1.14857-1.18424-1.24598
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
35.4%
64.6%
+118
-124
+117
-123
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
1
2
-0.60358-0.60732-0.43723
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
31.6%
68.4%
+165
-177
+172
-180
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
3
6
-0.46409-0.45229-0.38040
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
41.9%
58.1%
+120
-127
+122
-130
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+146
4
3
-0.80236-0.81306-0.86986
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks107-3 (0.700)0-0.62931 
Sportsbooks107-3 (0.700)0-0.62811 
DRatings107-3 (0.700)0-0.58993
0.03939
0.03818

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.