MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Sonny Gray
Jack Flaherty
53.5%
46.5%
-106
-104
+100
-105
+1½-220
-1½+186
+1½-210
-1½+190
5.18
4.81
9.99
o8½-109
u8½-110
o8-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Brandon Young
Eury Perez
41.1%
58.9%
+117
-129
+120
-127
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.38
5.30
9.68
o8½-102
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-105
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Jeffrey Springs
Zack Wheeler
49.2%
50.8%
+143
-158
+149
-155
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
5.00
5.07
10.07
o8-118
u8+100
o8-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Bailey Ober
Miles Mikolas
47.8%
52.2%
-110
+100
-111
+115
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-140
5.22
5.46
10.68
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Nathan Eovaldi
Will Warren
33.9%
66.1%
+151
-167
+170
-170
+1½-130
-1½+118
+1½-120
-1½+115
4.89
6.57
11.46
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Brady Singer
Colin Rea
52.8%
47.2%
+152
-168
+155
-167
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
4.79
4.49
9.28
o8-115
u8-103
o8-110
u8-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joey Cantillo
Cole Ragans
49.3%
50.7%
+124
-137
+126
-130
+1½-182
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.54
4.62
9.16
o7½+102
u7½-120
o7½-105
u8-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-148
+134
-146
+140
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+100
+1½-115
5.41
5.76
11.17
o9½-105
u9½-113
o9½-110
u9½-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Paul Skenes
Michael Soroka
45.6%
54.4%
-120
+109
-120
+122
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-140
4.15
4.61
8.76
o7½-114
u7½-105
o7½-120
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
51.7%
48.3%
-106
-104
-109
+105
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+163
+1½-165
10.05
o9+100
u8½+100
o9-105
u9-110
7th
BOT
2
7
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
52.7%
47.3%
+113
-125
+118
-124
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-178
-1½+160
9.52
o8-104
u8-110
o8+100
u8+100
8th
TOP
0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants
38.9%
61.1%
+146
-161
+145
-155
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+130
0
5
-0.50620-0.51371-0.49325
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.5%
62.5%
+125
-138
+125
-135
+1½-170
-1½+154
+1½-160
-1½+163
1
5
-0.56900-0.57304-0.46968
Boston Red Sox
San Diego Padres
45.3%
54.7%
+140
-155
+147
-153
+1½-140
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+125
10
2
-0.89968-0.91377-0.79244
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
53.0%
47.0%
+114
-126
+112
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+175
2
3
-0.60877-0.62315-0.75445
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
46.6%
53.4%
+184
-205
+190
-210
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
6
-0.42126-0.41146-0.62743
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
-162
+147
-161
+156
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
0
5
-0.92712-0.94745-0.59468
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
43.5%
56.5%
+119
-131
+124
-133
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+158
4
9
-0.59066-0.57778-0.57038
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
39.6%
60.4%
+122
-135
+135
-133
+1½-170
-1½+158
+1½-160
-1½+160
2
3
-0.57893-0.55703-0.50418
Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers
54.3%
45.7%
-118
+107
-115
+111
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
9
1
-0.63790-0.63448-0.61011
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
37.7%
62.3%
-139
+126
-125
+120
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
9
5
-0.56577-0.59784-0.97530
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
54.4%
45.6%
+225
-252
+250
-270
+1½+115
-1½-127
+1½+120
-1½-135
5
6
-0.35753-0.33041-0.78621
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
39.8%
60.2%
-116
+106
-119
+115
-1½+140
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-155
5
1
-0.64392-0.61841-0.92183
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
48.0%
52.0%
+102
-112
+105
-111

-1½+170
+1½-180
5
3
-0.72619-0.73162-0.73439
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
59.8%
40.2%
+114
-124
+108
-115
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
3
-0.61201-0.64124-0.91083
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.9%
41.1%
-115
+104
-119
+110
-1½+148
+1½-168
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
3
-0.73771-0.76132-0.88858
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
39.8%
60.2%
-133
+121
-135
+125
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-135
6
8
-0.81604-0.82968-0.50715
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks179-8 (0.529)0-0.68433 
Sportsbooks1710-7 (0.588)0-0.68900 
DRatings1710-7 (0.588)0-0.68520
-0.00087
0.00380

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.