Upcoming Games for September 27, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago White Sox (71-50) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Garrett Crochet Brenan Hanifee | 57.8% 42.2% | +180 -193 +172 -175 | +1½-122 -1½+110 +1½-125 -1½+118 | 4.96 4.14 | 9.10 | o7-110 u7½-120 o7-115 u7+100 | Overall Bet Value Active All Bet Values Active | ||
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Ranger Suarez Trevor Williams | 50.7% 49.3% | -172 +159 -174 +165 | -1½-110 +1½-105 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 4.80 4.73 | 9.53 | o8-120 u8+100 o8-120 u8+100 | |||
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) New York Yankees (69-52) | Jared Jones Carlos Rodon | 32.4% 67.6% | +143 -156 +142 -152 | +1½-145 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+131 | 3.80 5.62 | 9.42 | o7½-114 u7½-105 o7½-105 u7½-110 | |||
Miami Marlins (51-70) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Adam Oller Jose Berrios | 38.7% 61.3% | +191 -212 +195 -210 | +1½-105 -1½-112 +1½-112 -1½-105 | 4.06 5.25 | 9.31 | o8½+100 u8+102 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Ronel Blanco Joey Cantillo | 55.9% 44.1% | +106 -116 +108 -116 | +1½-197 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 4.50 3.87 | 8.37 | o7½-115 u7½+100 o8-105 u8-115 | |||
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Taj Bradley Nick Pivetta | 54.9% 45.1% | +115 -117 +112 -118 | +1½-185 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+170 | 5.41 4.90 | 10.31 | o8-105 u8+100 o8-110 u8-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Brady Singer Max Fried | 33.3% 66.7% | +163 -178 +161 -170 | +1½-133 -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 2.82 4.54 | 7.36 | o7-122 u7½-120 o7½+105 u7½-115 | |||
New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Sean Manaea Frankie Montas | 42.9% 57.1% | -113 +103 -104 +102 | -1½+147 +1½-167 -1½+155 +1½-165 | 3.92 4.66 | 8.58 | o7½-110 u7½-110 o7½-115 u7½-105 | Overall Bet Value Active All Bet Values Active | ||
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Ryan Brasier Cal Quantrill | 60.8% 39.2% | -165 +151 -168 +155 | -1½-117 +1½+100 -1½-118 +1½+105 | 5.65 4.51 | 10.16 | o11-110 u11-105 o11-115 u11½-120 | |||
Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Cade Povich Pablo Lopez | 39.2% 60.8% | +141 -154 +146 -152 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+141 | 4.80 5.93 | 10.73 | o8-110 u8-110 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Jacob deGrom Reid Detmers | 39.3% 60.7% | -146 +134 -142 +133 | -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+117 +1½-130 | 4.91 6.03 | 10.94 | o7-120 u7½-120 o7½+100 u7½-120 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Yu Darvish Merrill Kelly | 62.6% 37.4% | +111 -121 +110 -120 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 4.44 3.14 | 7.58 | o8½-117 u8½+100 o8½-115 u8½+100 | |||
Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | JP Sears Bryan Woo | 52.8% 47.2% | +147 -160 +147 -155 | +1½-155 -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+136 | 4.79 4.50 | 9.29 | o7½+105 u7+100 o7½+100 u7½-115 | |||
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Miles Mikolas Landen Roupp | 40.0% 60.0% | +115 -125 +116 -118 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-185 -1½+175 | 3.65 4.71 | 8.36 | o7-122 u7+105 o7½+100 u7½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Cardinals Miami Marlins | 45.7% 54.3% | -147 +135 -143 +137 | -1½+107 +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-124 | 3 4 | -0.87488-0.87326 | -0.61031 | |
Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates | 58.9% 41.1% | +112 -122 +120 -123 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 0 1 | -0.61967-0.60110 | -0.88858 | |
Detroit Tigers Atlanta Braves | 39.7% 60.3% | +114 -124 +118 -125 | +1½-181 -1½+161 +1½-190 -1½+172 | 0 7 | -0.61201-0.60195 | -0.50541 | |
Kansas City Royals Oakland Athletics | 38.4% 61.6% | -127 +117 -124 +119 | -1½+135 +1½-151 -1½+140 +1½-145 | 5 7 | -0.79483-0.79405 | -0.48388 | |
Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Angels | 51.0% 49.0% | -141 +130 -134 +135 | -1½+115 +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-118 | 6 3 | -0.55568-0.55567 | -0.67315 | |
Los Angeles Dodgers Colorado Rockies | 60.6% 39.4% | -188 +172 -186 +175 | -1½-130 +1½+110 -1½-128 +1½+110 | 11 9 | -0.44674-0.44413 | -0.50101 | |
Houston Astros Chicago White Sox | 48.4% 51.6% | -170 +156 -168 +160 | -1½-115 +1½-104 -1½-115 +1½+100 | 0 2 | -0.96006-0.96693 | -0.66163 | |
New York Mets Texas Rangers | 55.4% 44.6% | -125 +115 -123 +116 | -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 7 6 | -0.60825-0.60941 | -0.59079 | |
San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs | 54.1% 45.9% | +101 -111 +106 -107 | 2 5 | -0.66563-0.66223 | -0.77818 | ||
Tampa Bay Rays Minnesota Twins | 55.8% 44.2% | +166 -182 +170 -180 | +1½-128 -1½+115 +1½-125 -1½+110 | 6 7 | -0.45901-0.45497 | -0.81633 | |
Detroit Tigers Atlanta Braves | 35.9% 64.1% | +148 -162 +146 -155 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+125 | 1 2 | -0.50206-0.51208 | -0.44530 | |
Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays | 46.7% 53.3% | -130 +121 -124 +123 | -1½+140 +1½-153 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 4 3 | -0.58810-0.59336 | -0.76205 | |
Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees | 32.4% 67.6% | +124 -135 +128 -134 | +1½-168 -1½+148 +1½-159 -1½+140 | 2 4 | -0.57499-0.56867 | -0.39190 | |
Arizona Diamondbacks Washington Nationals | 41.1% 58.9% | +109 -119 +117 -118 | +1½-185 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 5 0 | -0.75877-0.77683 | -0.88821 | |
Seattle Mariners Cleveland Indians | 50.3% 49.7% | +123 -134 +126 -128 | +1½-174 -1½+155 +1½-165 -1½+160 | 8 5 | -0.82287-0.81923 | -0.68619 | |
San Diego Padres Philadelphia Phillies | 42.6% 57.4% | +143 -155 +151 -152 | +1½-140 -1½+122 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 3 4 | -0.51701-0.50713 | -0.55488 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 4 | 2-2 (0.500) | 0 | -0.76541 | |
Sportsbooks | 4 | 2-2 (0.500) | 0 | -0.75437 | |
DRatings | 4 | 2-2 (0.500) | 0 | -0.60948 | 0.15593 0.14489 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.