MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 31, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Paul Skenes
Hunter Greene
36.4%
63.6%
-120
+109
-120
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+137
+1½-155
3.79
5.23
9.02
o7½-115
u8-120
o8+100
u8-115
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Andrew Painter
Brandon Young
57.5%
42.5%
+100
-108
+105
-107
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+185
5.29
4.51
9.80
o8½-120
u8½+103
o9-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Kyle Leahy
Dylan Cease
40.4%
59.6%
+167
-185
+165
-170
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+122
4.07
5.08
9.15
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Janson Junk
Kodai Senga
46.6%
53.4%
+104
-115
+110
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.41
4.76
9.17
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-105
u8½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Erick Fedde
Nick Martinez
46.1%
53.9%
+118
-130
+130
-130
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4.27
4.68
8.95
o8½+100
u8½-119
o8½+100
u8+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Mitch Bratt
Tanner Bibee
41.1%
58.9%
+125
-138
+128
-130
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
3.74
4.68
8.42
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Foster Griffin
Bryce Elder
40.8%
59.2%
+102
-112
+105
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.17
5.13
9.30
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Nathan Eovaldi
Hunter Brown
32.9%
67.1%
+114
-126
+115
-125
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.99
5.76
9.75
o7½-108
u7½-110
o7½-110
u8-115
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael Wacha
Tomoyuki Sugano
45.3%
54.7%
-107
-103
-105
-104
-1½+135
+1½-152

4.96
5.44
10.40
o11-110
u11-107
o11-110
u11-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Shane Drohan
Ryan Johnson
51.6%
48.4%
-163
+147
-150
+146
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
4.80
4.64
9.44
o9-109
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Jeffrey Springs
35.8%
64.2%
-136
+123
-130
+135
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-115
3.78
5.28
9.06
o11+100
u11-115
o10½-120
u10½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Carson Whisenhunt
Bradgley Rodriguez
47.0%
53.0%
+129
-142
+135
-144
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-165
-1½+146
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Zebby Matthews
Bryce Miller
47.5%
52.5%
+142
-157
+158
-157
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-135
-1½+135
5.01
5.28
10.29
o7½-118
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Ranger Suarez
Edgardo Henriquez
40.0%
60.0%
+117
-129
+120
-115
+1½-185
-1½+161

4.46
5.51
9.97
o8½+100
u8½-117
o8½+105
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 30, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
56.0%
44.0%
+147
-163
+150
-160
+1½-135
-1½+121
+1½-139
-1½+140
9.51
o9-101
u8½+100
o9+100
u9-105
8th
TOP
2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
53.3%
46.7%
+184
-192
+181
-195
+1½-114
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½-102
1
5
-0.42886-0.43072-0.76175
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
62.9%
37.1%
-126
+117
-124
+118
-1½+124
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-143
4
5
-0.79290-0.79153-0.99039
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
55.5%
44.5%
-143
+133
-133
+130
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+125
+1½-130
9
5
-0.54771-0.56627-0.58853
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
50.6%
49.4%
+126
-135
+124
-129
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+155
13
1
-0.83218-0.81617-0.68173
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
38.9%
61.1%
-107
-101
-102
-102
+1½-198
-1½+180

5
2
-0.67911-0.69315-0.94446
Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles
62.2%
37.8%
-102
-104
-105
-102

-1½+145
+1½-155
1
3
-0.68838-0.70029-0.97164
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
53.7%
46.3%
-111
+102
-107
+105


2
1
-0.66322-0.66458-0.62241
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.6%
45.4%
-101
-105
-104
-104
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
2
9
-0.68363-0.69315-0.79061
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
36.5%
63.5%
+176
-192
+178
-183
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+122
3
4
-0.43892-0.44230-0.45363
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
54.5%
45.5%
+114
-121
+112
-118
+1½-177
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+163
2
7
-0.61706-0.62672-0.78715
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
39.6%
60.4%
+149
-159
+145
-154
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
6
2
-0.92766-0.91046-0.92553
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
46.8%
53.2%
+132
-142
+135
-141
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
4
2
-0.85923-0.86496-0.75899
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
59.4%
40.6%
+108
-115
+108
-116
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
6
-0.64124-0.63934-0.90157
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
33.6%
66.4%
+192
-210
+193
-206
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-107
1
4
-0.40916-0.41011-0.40914
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
49.8%
50.2%
+160
-168
+161
-169
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+112
4
7
-0.47844-0.47615-0.68892
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.8%
45.2%
+101
-109
+101
-107
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-170
3
5
-0.66984-0.67421-0.79502
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks64-2 (0.667)0-0.64496 
Sportsbooks64-2 (0.667)0-0.64165 
DRatings64-2 (0.667)0-0.57674
0.06822
0.06491

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.