MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 31, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Paul Skenes
Hunter Greene
36.4%
63.6%
-123
+112
-120
+115
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+137
+1½-155
3.79
5.23
9.02
o8+100
u8-118
o8+100
u8-115
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Andrew Painter
Brandon Young
57.5%
42.5%
+100
-110
+105
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
5.29
4.51
9.80
o9-105
u8½+107
o9-105
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Kyle Leahy
Dylan Cease
40.4%
59.6%
+167
-185
+165
-170
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+122
4.07
5.08
9.15
o7½-104
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Janson Junk
Kodai Senga
46.6%
53.4%
+104
-115
+110
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.41
4.76
9.17
o8½-111
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Erick Fedde
Nick Martinez
46.1%
53.9%
+120
-132
+130
-130
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4.27
4.68
8.95
o8½-101
u8+100
o8½+100
u8+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Mitch Bratt
Tanner Bibee
41.1%
58.9%
+125
-138
+128
-130
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
3.74
4.68
8.42
o8½-117
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Foster Griffin
Bryce Elder
40.8%
59.2%
+102
-112
+105
-110
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.17
5.13
9.30
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Nathan Eovaldi
Hunter Brown
32.9%
67.1%
+113
-125
+115
-120
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.99
5.76
9.75
o7½-105
u7½-112
o7½-105
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael Wacha
Tomoyuki Sugano
45.3%
54.7%
-107
-103
-105
-104
-1½+135
+1½-152

4.96
5.44
10.40
o11-110
u11-107
o11-110
u11-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Shane Drohan
Ryan Johnson
51.6%
48.4%
-163
+147
-155
+146
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½-115
4.80
4.64
9.44
o9-109
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Tyler Holton
Jeffrey Springs
35.8%
64.2%
-139
+126
-138
+135
-1½+105
+1½-122
-1½+105
+1½-115
3.78
5.28
9.06
o11+100
u11-117
o10½-120
u10½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Carson Whisenhunt
Bradgley Rodriguez
47.0%
53.0%
+129
-142
+135
-144
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-165
-1½+146
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Zebby Matthews
Bryce Miller
47.5%
52.5%
+142
-157
+158
-155
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-135
-1½+135
5.01
5.28
10.29
o7½-118
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Ranger Suarez
Edgardo Henriquez
40.0%
60.0%
+117
-129
+120
-115
+1½-185
-1½+165

4.46
5.51
9.97
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+105
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 30, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.3%
69.7%
+174
-189
+176
-190
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+108
3
2
-1.02672-1.03257-1.19432
Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants
50.5%
49.5%
+146
-155
+150
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
8
1
-0.91442-0.91629-0.68393
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.5%
55.5%
-113
+104
-110
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
5
6
-0.73345-0.72940-0.58895
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
38.2%
61.8%
-106
-101
-105
-103
+1½-190
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
3
-0.70508-0.69788-0.48177
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
34.5%
65.5%
+150
-162
+152
-159
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+127
5
10
-0.49890-0.49860-0.42333
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
39.9%
60.1%
+147
-155
+145
-152
+1½-144
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+131
1
5
-0.51046-0.51683-0.50914
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
+113
-119
+114
-122
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-176
-1½+165
3
4
-0.62273-0.61535-0.66916
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
43.8%
56.2%
+151
-164
+152
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
10
7
-0.93971-0.93639-0.82535
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
38.8%
61.2%
+126
-135
+129
-136
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+146
11
6
-0.83218-0.84142-0.94672
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
52.9%
47.1%
+101
-109
+104
-111


17
3
-0.71701-0.72909-0.63697
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
43.4%
56.6%
+141
-151
+142
-150
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-145
-1½+131
1
5
-0.52457-0.52396-0.56837
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
44.8%
55.2%
-131
+125
-126
+120
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-140
3
5
-0.82241-0.80044-0.59470
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
61.2%
38.8%
-163
+152
-165
+156
-1½-115
+1½-104
-1½-112
+1½+100
4
7
-0.94071-0.95319-0.94621
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
35.1%
64.9%
+146
-156
+146
-153
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-145
-1½+135
5
6
-0.51108-0.51413-0.43171
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.5%
47.5%
-169
+156
-165
+160
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-105
6
2
-0.48352-0.48102-0.64360
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.0%
67.0%
+175
-185
+175
-182
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+120
4
9
-0.44482-0.44690-0.40097
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-3 (0.571)0-0.68548 
Sportsbooks74-3 (0.571)0-0.68307 
DRatings75-2 (0.714)0-0.57724
0.10823
0.10583

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.