MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 31, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Foster Griffin
Bryce Elder
40.8%
59.2%
+102
-111
+105
-110
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.17
5.13
9.30
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Nathan Eovaldi
Hunter Brown
32.9%
67.1%
+117
-128
+115
-120
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.99
5.76
9.75
o7½-105
u7½-113
o7½-105
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael Wacha
Tomoyuki Sugano
45.3%
54.7%
-107
-103
-105
-104
-1½+135
+1½-152

4.96
5.44
10.40
o11-105
u11-104
o11-110
u11-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Shane Drohan
Ryan Johnson
51.6%
48.4%
-165
+149
-155
+146
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-113
4.80
4.64
9.44
o9-105
u9-111
o9-110
u9-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Tyler Holton
Jeffrey Springs
35.8%
64.2%
-139
+126
-135
+135
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
3.78
5.28
9.06
o11-103
u11-110
o10½-120
u11-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Carson Whisenhunt
Bradgley Rodriguez
47.0%
53.0%
+134
-148
+135
-144
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Zebby Matthews
Bryce Miller
47.5%
52.5%
+144
-159
+158
-155
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-135
-1½+132
5.03
5.29
10.32
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-115
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Ranger Suarez
Edgardo Henriquez
40.0%
60.0%
+118
-130
+120
-115
+1½-185
-1½+161

4.44
5.50
9.94
o8-115
u8½-120
o8½+105
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 30, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
36.4%
63.6%
-123
+112
-120
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+137
+1½-155
9.04
o8+100
u8-118
o8+100
u8-115
3rd
BOT
3
3
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
57.5%
42.5%
+107
-118
+105
-110
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
9.80
o9-105
u9-114
o9-105
u9-110
1st
TOP
2
0
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
40.4%
59.6%
+169
-188
+170
-170
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+122
9.15
o7½+100
u7½-116
o7½-105
u7½-110
1st
BOT
0
0
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
46.6%
53.4%
+102
-112
+110
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
9.17
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½+100
1st
BOT
0
0
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
46.1%
53.9%
+124
-137
+135
-130
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
8.95
o8½-105
u8½-114
o8½+100
u8+100
1st
BOT
1
0
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
41.1%
58.9%
+121
-133
+125
-131
+1½-173
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
8.42
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
1st
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
37.8%
62.2%
-157
+149
-155
+149
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
5
6
-0.92470-0.92168-0.47459
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
42.8%
57.2%
+106
-115
+106
-113
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
1
-0.74282-0.73854-0.84812
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
44.5%
55.5%
+107
-114
+106
-115
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-192
-1½+175
4
7
-0.64546-0.64582-0.58848
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
32.8%
67.2%
+190
-202
+192
-205
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½+100
1
3
-0.41577-0.41180-0.39753
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
38.0%
62.0%
+118
-128
+120
-122
+1½-160
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+147
6
3
-0.79924-0.79255-0.96861
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
35.1%
64.9%
-105
-103
+104
-105
+1½-230
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+208
4
1
-0.68844-0.71533-1.04762
Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays
37.9%
62.1%
+131
-141
+133
-140
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+160
2
6
-0.55384-0.55144-0.47636
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
65.9%
34.1%
-175
+170
-170
+171
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-115
+1½+111
2
6
-0.99997-0.99558-1.07514
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
42.8%
57.2%
+103
-105
+102
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+194
3
0
-0.71284-0.72177-0.84840
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.8%
42.2%
+106
-115
+109
-114
+1½-205
-1½+176
+1½-200
-1½+180
4
3
-0.74282-0.74828-0.54879
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
50.2%
49.8%
-105
-105
-104
-104
+1½-205
-1½+175

2
3
-0.69315-0.69315-0.69709
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
45.4%
54.6%
-142
+134
-138
+137
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
7
4
-0.54714-0.54678-0.78988
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
43.3%
56.7%
+112
-119
+116
-120
+1½-210
-1½+184
+1½-206
-1½+195
6
2
-0.76638-0.77849-0.83593
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
54.0%
46.0%
-150
+141
-145
+140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-140
2
13
-0.89446-0.88394-0.77570
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
25.9%
74.1%
+175
-191
+181
-186
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+109
11
6
-1.03139-1.03939-1.35085
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
39.6%
60.4%
+154
-166
+162
-162
+1½-166
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+148
1
3
-0.48911-0.48075-0.50466
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.70398 
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.70226 
DRatings53-2 (0.600)0-0.61294
0.09104
0.08932

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.