MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 31, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedKansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael Wacha
Tomoyuki Sugano
45.3%
54.7%
-109
-101
-105
-102
-1½+130
+1½-148

4.96
5.44
10.40
o11-115
u11-104
o11-115
u11-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Shane Drohan
Ryan Johnson
51.6%
48.4%
-165
+149
-160
+150
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-113
4.80
4.64
9.44
o9+100
u9-111
o9-110
u9-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Tyler Holton
Jeffrey Springs
35.8%
64.2%
-138
+125
-135
+135
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
3.78
5.28
9.06
o11-105
u11-114
o10½-120
u11-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Carson Whisenhunt
Bradgley Rodriguez
47.0%
53.0%
+133
-147
+135
-144
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Zebby Matthews
Bryce Miller
47.5%
52.5%
+144
-159
+158
-155
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-135
-1½+132
5.03
5.29
10.32
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-115
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Ranger Suarez
Edgardo Henriquez
40.0%
60.0%
+118
-130
+120
-115
+1½-185
-1½+161

4.44
5.50
9.94
o8-113
u8-105
o8-110
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 30, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
36.4%
63.6%
-123
+112
-120
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+137
+1½-155
9.04
o8+100
u8-118
o8+100
u8-115
8th
BOT
7
5
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
57.5%
42.5%
+107
-118
+105
-110
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
9.80
o9-105
u9-114
o9-105
u9-110
6th
BOT
4
2
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
40.4%
59.6%
+169
-188
+170
-170
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+122
9.15
o7½+100
u7½-116
o7½-105
u7½-110
6th
BOT
1
1
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
46.6%
53.4%
+102
-112
+110
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
9.17
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½+100
6th
TOP
5
1
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
46.1%
53.9%
+124
-137
+135
-130
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
8.95
o8½-105
u8½-114
o8½+100
u8+100
6th
BOT
6
1
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
41.1%
58.9%
+121
-133
+125
-131
+1½-173
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
8.42
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
6th
TOP
0
1
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
40.8%
59.2%
+102
-111
+105
-110
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
9.30
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
6th
BOT
1
2
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
32.9%
67.1%
+114
-126
+115
-125
+1½-193
-1½+168
+1½-190
-1½+175
9.75
o7½-107
u7½-105
o7½-105
u8-115
2nd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
35.8%
64.2%
+148
-160
+150
-158
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+126
8
3
-0.92669-0.92862-1.02689
Miami Marlins
Boston Red Sox
40.4%
59.6%
+150
-163
+151
-158
+1½-130
-1½+121
+1½-130
-1½+124
2
5
-0.49799-0.50112-0.51699
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
46.0%
54.0%
-167
+155
-160
+155
-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½+100
+1½-110
11
2
-0.48673-0.49303-0.77729
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
72.7%
27.3%
-271
+245
-260
+245
-1½-160
+1½+150
-1½-156
+1½+145
2
3
-1.25846-1.25037-1.29927
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
42.9%
57.1%
+162
-174
+168
-176
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+125
0
1
-0.47064-0.46067-0.55986
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
44.9%
55.1%
-105
-103
-103
-105
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+182
0
5
-0.69788-0.68844-0.59589
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
27.0%
73.0%
+133
-143
+135
-143
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+160
3
4
-0.54771-0.54412-0.31533
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
33.1%
66.9%
+180
-194
+180
-190
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
0
5
-0.43258-0.43510-0.40145
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
42.3%
57.7%
-110
+101
-109
+105
-1½+135
+1½-150

5
4
-0.66771-0.66027-0.86060
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
38.8%
61.2%
+201
-205
+197
-210
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-108
1
5
-0.40166-0.40348-0.49182
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
41.3%
58.7%
+116
-124
+117
-124
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
0
-0.78651-0.78902-0.88424
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
36.9%
63.1%
+113
-123
+115
-122
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+176
3
5
-0.61582-0.61323-0.45993
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
36.6%
63.4%
+116
-121
+115
-116
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+178
2
0
-0.78054-0.76761-1.00474
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
35.0%
65.0%
+157
-168
+158
-162
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
2
7
-0.48287-0.48665-0.43089
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
36.7%
63.3%
+121
-131
+127
-129
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-192
-1½+180
2
4
-0.58663-0.57775-0.45705
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
65.9%
34.1%
-160
+149
-157
+150
-1½+103
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
5
2
-0.50236-0.50367-0.41682
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.72450 
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.72204 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.62830
0.09620
0.09373

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.