MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 1, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Quinn Mathews
Kevin Gausman
40.4%
59.6%
+126
-139
+125
-135
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.07
5.08
9.15
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Tyler Phillips
Zach Thornton
42.4%
57.6%
+117
-129
+115
-124
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.32
5.12
9.44
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Jordan Hicks
Drew Rasmussen
46.2%
53.8%
+147
-163
+150
-165
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
4.27
4.67
8.94
o8-112
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Connor Prielipp
Logan Gilbert
47.5%
52.5%
+143
-152
+155
-165
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
5.36
5.63
10.99
o7½+100
u7½-118
o7½+100
u8-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Braxton Ashcraft
Andrew Abbott
36.4%
63.6%
-115
+104
-115
+110
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
3.75
5.18
8.93
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cristopher Sanchez
Shane Baz
57.5%
42.5%
-138
+125
-135
+125
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
5.29
4.51
9.80
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8-120
u8½-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Jacob deGrom
Ronel Blanco
40.8%
59.2%
-118
+108
-124
+115
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
3.68
4.64
8.32
o8½-103
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Miles Mikolas
Reynaldo Lopez
40.8%
59.2%
+160
-177
+170
-185
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
4.10
5.07
9.17
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-120
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kohl Drake
Parker Messick
41.1%
58.9%
+138
-152
+145
-155
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-152
-1½+135
3.80
4.73
8.53
o8-120
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Max Fried
David Peterson
56.0%
44.0%
-113
+103
-110
+105
-1½+155
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-170
4.65
4.02
8.67
o6½-102
u6½-110
o6½+100
u6½-120
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Luinder Avila
Ryan Feltner
45.3%
54.7%
+103
-113
+105
-113
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-183
-1½+165
4.96
5.44
10.40
o12+105
u11½-105
o12-105
u12-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Tyler Mahle
Walker Buehler
47.0%
53.0%
+119
-130
+125
-135
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Payton Tolle
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
40.0%
60.0%
+146
-161
+148
-155
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-150
-1½+130
4.44
5.50
9.94
o8-104
u8-115
o8-110
u8-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Robert Gasser
Jose Soriano
51.6%
48.4%
-118
+107
-118
+110
-1½+138
+1½-158
-1½+135
+1½-155
4.78
4.62
9.40
o8½-105
u8½-107
o9+100
u9-120
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Framber Valdez
Jack Perkins
37.1%
62.9%
-127
+115
-130
+120
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-135
3.87
5.22
9.09
o10½-110
u10½+100
o10½-120
u10½+100
Games for Jul 31, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
35.0%
65.0%
+137
-145
+139
-144
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
1
5
-0.53820-0.53589-0.43080
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
55.5%
44.5%
+100
-109
+105
-107
+1½-195
-1½+176
+1½-190
-1½+184
3
9
-0.67229-0.66458-0.80991
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
50.6%
49.4%
+112
-120
+117
-123
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+173
6
1
-0.76841-0.78704-0.68150
Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves
42.2%
57.8%
-105
-105
-102
-103
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+148
+1½-160
5
3
-0.69315-0.69557-0.86280
Baltimore Orioles
New York Mets
41.9%
58.1%
+145
-155
+146
-150
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
3
-0.51371-0.51730-0.54294
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
47.8%
52.2%
-117
+107
-118
+110
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
1
-0.63974-0.63113-0.73791
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
54.5%
45.5%
+113
-121
+112
-115
+1½-179
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+162
3
2
-0.77297-0.75796-0.60719
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
50.4%
49.6%
-126
+118
-125
+119
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-147
7
8
-0.79542-0.79600-0.70144
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
44.9%
55.1%
+114
-121
+115
-120
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
2
-0.77551-0.77596-0.80171
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.8%
41.2%
+110
-120
+112
-119
+1½-190
-1½+174
+1½-185
-1½+165
2
7
-0.62755-0.62491-0.88576
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Indians
37.4%
62.6%
+165
-179
+175
-180
+1½-135
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+125
2
3
-0.46259-0.44830-0.46804
Texas Rangers
San Francisco Giants
42.9%
57.1%
+134
-144
+135
-140
+1½-165
-1½+151
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
4
-0.54473-0.54782-0.56105
Texas Rangers
San Francisco Giants
41.2%
58.8%
+131
-140
+135
-137
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
3
-0.55511-0.55166-0.53106
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
39.6%
60.4%
+110
-119
+110
-116
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
5
-0.62933-0.63482-0.50430
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
40.8%
59.2%
+162
-175
+165
-169
+1½-119
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+113
5
4
-0.98104-0.98016-0.89693
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
60.0%
40.0%
-126
+117
-128
+125
-1½+120
+1½-136
-1½+117
+1½-130
1
4
-0.79290-0.81676-0.91532
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.70027 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.70228 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.68919
0.01108
0.01309

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.