MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 1, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Tyler Phillips
Zach Thornton
42.4%
57.6%
+115
-125
+113
-120
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.41
5.21
9.62
o9+100
u8½-109
o9-105
u9-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Jordan Hicks
Drew Rasmussen
46.2%
53.8%
+150
-163
+152
-160
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+127
4.27
4.67
8.94
o7½-103
u7½-115
o7½-105
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Connor Prielipp
Logan Gilbert
47.5%
52.5%
+147
-163
+150
-160
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
5.30
5.55
10.85
o7-115
u7-103
o7½+105
u8-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Braxton Ashcraft
Andrew Abbott
36.4%
63.6%
-119
+108
-115
+110
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-160
3.74
5.17
8.91
o8-110
u8-105
o8-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cristopher Sanchez
Shane Baz
57.5%
42.5%
-143
+130
-139
+135
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+118
+1½-125
5.40
4.62
10.02
o8-117
u8+100
o8½+100
u8+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Jacob deGrom
Ronel Blanco
40.8%
59.2%
-122
+111
-124
+115
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+130
+1½-150
3.68
4.64
8.32
o8½+101
u8+100
o8½-105
u8½-115
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Miles Mikolas
Reynaldo Lopez
40.8%
59.2%
+145
-160
+158
-165
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+120
4.06
5.02
9.08
o9½+100
u9½-119
o9½+100
u9½-120
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kohl Drake
Parker Messick
41.1%
58.9%
+156
-173
+156
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
3.80
4.73
8.53
o8-115
u8-103
o8½-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Max Fried
David Peterson
56.0%
44.0%
+104
-115
+105
+105


4.54
3.92
8.46
o6-115
u6½-120
o6½+105
u6½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Luinder Avila
Ryan Feltner
45.3%
54.7%
+104
-115
+105
-113
+1½-182
-1½+160
+1½-183
-1½+165
4.96
5.44
10.40
o12-105
u12-112
o12-105
u12-115
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Tyler Mahle
Walker Buehler
47.0%
53.0%
+132
-145
+130
-135
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+140
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8-115
u8½-120
o8½-105
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Payton Tolle
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
40.0%
60.0%
+145
-160
+150
-160
+1½-145
-1½+129
+1½-148
-1½+130
4.44
5.50
9.94
o7½-103
u7½-115
o7½-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Robert Gasser
Brent Suter
51.6%
48.4%
-142
+129
-125
+135
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+135
+1½-120
4.80
4.64
9.44
o9-105
u9-110
o9+100
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Framber Valdez
Jack Perkins
37.1%
62.9%
-165
+149
-140
+150
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½+115
+1½-105
3.87
5.22
9.09
o10½-110
u10½-110
o10½-120
u10½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 31, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
40.4%
59.6%
+155
-171
+155
-140
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+143
9.15
o8-109
u8-110
o8-110
u8½-115
4th
TOP
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
37.1%
62.9%
+188
-197
+180
-190
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+122
1
3
-0.42100-0.43510-0.46340
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
32.8%
67.2%
+149
-160
+152
-155
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-134
-1½+120
1
0
-0.92912-0.92889-1.11438
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
53.5%
46.5%
-117
+109
-115
+108
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-155
3
4
-0.75464-0.74790-0.76524
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
46.3%
53.7%
+104
-112
+104
-110

-1½+162
+1½-180
3
2
-0.73126-0.72685-0.76983
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
68.9%
31.1%
-180
+167
-180
+170
-1½-124
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+110
3
4
-0.99932-1.00641-1.16713
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
53.2%
46.8%
+132
-141
+132
-138
+1½-179
-1½+161
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
7
-0.55199-0.55582-0.75980
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.4%
47.6%
-155
+145
-150
+148
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-113
12
3
-0.51371-0.51405-0.64531
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
28.1%
71.9%
+188
-205
+199
-210
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+102
-1½-110
5
7
-0.41647-0.40127-0.32942
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
51.0%
49.0%
-124
+118
-124
+120
-1½+131
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
4
3
-0.60358-0.59946-0.67309
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
47.6%
52.4%
-107
-101
-101
-105

+1½-195
-1½+175
5
3
-0.67911-0.70275-0.74301
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
56.4%
43.6%
+121
-131
+124
-130
+1½-166
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+160
0
10
-0.58663-0.58212-0.82906
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
43.6%
56.4%
+162
-172
+163
-170
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
0
2
-0.47225-0.47244-0.57336
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
49.8%
50.2%
+163
-174
+162
-170
+1½-113
-1½+105
+1½-124
-1½+106
8
2
-0.98214-0.97442-0.69691
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
66.0%
34.0%
-144
+134
-141
+135
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
7
0
-0.54473-0.54657-0.41611
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
28.8%
71.2%
+235
-260
+242
-260
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+118
-1½-120
1
0
-1.22946-1.24414-1.24309
Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.2%
44.8%
-122
+112
-120
+115
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
9
6
-0.61967-0.61667-0.59363
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.68396 
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.68590 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.69697
-0.01301
-0.01107

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.