MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 1, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Luinder Avila
Ryan Feltner
45.3%
54.7%
+113
-124
+115
-120
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+158
4.96
5.44
10.40
o11½-115
u11½-105
o12-105
u11½-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Tyler Mahle
Walker Buehler
47.0%
53.0%
+131
-145
+130
-135
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-157
-1½+140
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½+100
u8+100
o8½-105
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Payton Tolle
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
40.0%
60.0%
+156
-173
+153
-160
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+130
4.45
5.51
9.96
o7-115
u7+105
o7-115
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Robert Gasser
Brent Suter
51.6%
48.4%
-145
+131
-125
+135
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+135
+1½-120
4.80
4.64
9.44
o9-105
u9-110
o9+100
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Framber Valdez
Jack Perkins
37.1%
62.9%
-178
+161
-140
+160
-1½-120
+1½+107
-1½+115
+1½+105
3.87
5.22
9.09
o10½+100
u10½-110
o10½-110
u10½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 31, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
36.4%
63.6%
-120
+109
-112
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
8.99
o8-110
u8+100
o8-115
u8½-115
3rd
TOP
3
0
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
57.5%
42.5%
-147
+133
-140
+135
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+118
+1½-125
9.80
o8-115
u8-103
o8½+100
u8+100
2nd
TOP
0
0
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
40.8%
59.2%
-122
+111
-124
+115
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
8.32
o8½+105
u8-105
o8½+105
u8½-115
1st
BOT
0
0
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
40.8%
59.2%
+151
-167
+158
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+125
9.11
o9½-110
u9½-105
o9½+100
u9½-110
1st
BOT
0
2
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
41.1%
58.9%
+156
-173
+156
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
8.53
o8-105
u8-103
o8½-105
u8½-115
1st
BOT
0
0
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
56.0%
44.0%
+107
-118
+113
+105


8.15
o6-110
u6½-125
o6½+105
u6½-120
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
57.7%
42.3%
-120
+113
-115
+114
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-140
1
8
-0.77096-0.76297-0.86071
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.8%
62.2%
+135
-143
+138
-143
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
5
-0.54412-0.53883-0.47461
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
41.4%
58.6%
+145
-150
+145
-147
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
5
2
-0.90421-0.89938-0.88095
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
53.2%
46.8%
-175
+161
-174
+163
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+110
7
5
-0.47130-0.46922-0.63200
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
31.4%
68.6%
+153
-165
+160
-170
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
2
-0.49153-0.47678-0.37634
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
66.5%
33.5%
-157
+149
-155
+155
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-110
7
2
-0.50526-0.49784-0.40801
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
37.8%
62.2%
+125
-133
+128
-130
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
5
-0.57583-0.57435-0.47482
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
51.0%
49.0%
-116
+113
-112
+110
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+165
+1½-175
2
1
-0.62818-0.64257-0.67313
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
42.9%
57.1%
+100
-107
+105
-110
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+175
0
2
-0.67666-0.65817-0.56010
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
38.0%
62.0%
+135
-142
+141
-147
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+140
2
16
-0.54535-0.52899-0.47816
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
47.2%
52.8%
+176
-190
+175
-185
+1½-122
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
7
1
-1.03257-1.02427-0.75139
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
39.5%
60.5%
-105
-103
+100
-102
+1½-215
-1½+185

4
3
-0.68844-0.69808-0.92857
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
28.5%
71.5%
+196
-210
+192
-210
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-108
-1½-105
6
2
-1.10033-1.09127-1.25499
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
50.4%
49.6%
-111
+104
-114
+107
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-159
2
1
-0.65846-0.64546-0.68492
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
36.2%
63.8%
+180
-194
+180
-190
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
8
2
-1.04648-1.04185-1.01705
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.6%
62.4%
+133
-140
+137
-141
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
6
1
-0.85830-0.86986-0.97742
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.63102 
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.62962 
DRatings117-4 (0.636)0-0.69317
-0.06215
-0.06355

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.