MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Aaron Nola
43.0%
57.0%
+128
-153
+137
-155
+1½-165
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+135
4.54
5.28
9.82
o9½+105
u9½-125

St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Michael McGreevy
Cam Schlittler
39.8%
60.2%
+164
-182
+165
-180
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
4.20
5.28
9.48
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Bubba Chandler
Brandon Sproat
33.2%
66.8%
+125
-138
+130
-135
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+145
3.57
5.31
8.88
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Matthew Boyd
60.8%
39.2%
-128
+107
-135
+120
-1½+135
+1½-160

5.08
3.95
9.03
o8½-115
u8½-105

San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Logan Webb
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
58.3%
41.7%
-106
-114
-105
-105
-1½+165
+1½-195
-1½+150
+1½-175
5.16
4.30
9.46
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Shane Bieber
Cristian Javier
49.1%
50.9%
+113
-125
+115
-125
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+155
3.95
4.04
7.99
o9-110
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Ian Seymour
Michael Lorenzen
55.7%
44.3%
-155
+140
-153
+145
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
5.04
4.45
9.49
o11½-105
u11½-110
o11½-105
u11½-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Mike King
Brandon Pfaadt
57.6%
42.4%
-108
-102
-105
-102
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.70
3.91
8.61
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Games for Aug 2, 2026
Games for Aug 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
40.0%
60.0%
+161
-178
+162
-160
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
9.98
o8½-105
u8½-107
o8½+100
u8½-105
2nd
BOT
2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
68.5%
31.5%
-208
+195
-200
+195
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-125
+1½+107
2
3
-1.10313-1.09017-1.15401
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
60.0%
40.0%
-219
+205
-213
+200
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-146
+1½+135
1
14
-1.13731-1.11960-0.91722
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
37.6%
62.4%
+145
-151
+147
-151
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+128
3
7
-0.51631-0.51356-0.47165
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
40.5%
59.5%
+155
-161
+154
-160
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
3
-0.49045-0.49292-0.51998
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
46.4%
53.6%
-159
+155
-160
+151
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½-110
12
3
-0.49287-0.49679-0.76815
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
35.3%
64.7%
+155
-155
+155
-162
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+125
5
2
-0.93609-0.94954-1.04211
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
50.3%
49.7%
+155
-155
+150
-160
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
5
-0.49784-0.49809-0.69846
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.3%
59.7%
+170
-172
+167
-172
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+120
2
7
-0.46047-0.46377-0.51619
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
33.0%
67.0%
+155
-160
+151
-155
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
0
7
-0.49166-0.50299-0.40070
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
62.9%
37.1%
-200
+186
-195
+180
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+102
6
1
-0.41778-0.42780-0.46374
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
37.8%
62.2%
+150
-154
+149
-155
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
4
2
-0.92420-0.92412-0.97294
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
51.9%
48.1%
-101
+100
-103
+100
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
5
0
-0.69067-0.68579-0.65674
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
32.3%
67.7%
+170
-175
+175
-180
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
4
5
-0.45728-0.44690-0.39056
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
43.0%
57.0%
+105
-109
+104
-110
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
8
-0.65996-0.66008-0.56140
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
55.5%
44.5%
-138
+130
-133
+130
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-142
2
5
-0.84985-0.83938-0.80975
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
33.5%
66.5%
+150
-157
+152
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+118
1
11
-0.50178-0.49548-0.40747
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1915-4 (0.789)0-0.65541 
Sportsbooks1915-4 (0.789)0-0.65655 
DRatings1912-7 (0.632)0-0.67762
-0.02220
-0.02106

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.