MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Aaron Nola
43.0%
57.0%
+126
-150
+137
-145
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+140
4.54
5.28
9.82
o9½+105
u9½-125
o9-120
u9+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Michael McGreevy
Cam Schlittler
39.8%
60.2%
+173
-190
+178
-190
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
4.20
5.28
9.48
o7½-120
u8-115
o8-110
u8-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Bubba Chandler
Brandon Sproat
33.2%
66.8%
+125
-138
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
3.57
5.31
8.88
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Matthew Boyd
60.8%
39.2%
-125
+113
-120
+111
-1½+140
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-155
5.08
3.95
9.03
o8+105
u8-110
o8-105
u8½-125
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Logan Webb
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
58.3%
41.7%
-106
-103
-105
-105
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+158
+1½-180
5.16
4.30
9.46
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Shane Bieber
Cristian Javier
49.1%
50.9%
+115
-127
+116
-125
+1½-170
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+150
3.95
4.04
7.99
o9-110
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Ian Seymour
Michael Lorenzen
55.7%
44.3%
-155
+140
-153
+145
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
5.04
4.45
9.49
o11½-105
u11½-115
o11½-105
u11½-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Mike King
Brandon Pfaadt
57.6%
42.4%
-103
-105
-109
+101
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.70
3.91
8.61
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 2, 2026
Games for Aug 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
35.9%
64.1%
+150
-154
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+135
0
6
-0.50559-0.51368-0.44438
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
65.9%
34.1%
-180
+175
-182
+175
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
6
1
-0.44690-0.44493-0.41674
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
33.9%
66.1%
+155
-164
+152
-158
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
0
6
-0.48690-0.49793-0.41464
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
42.7%
57.3%
+180
-188
+175
-190
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-104
2
6
-0.43414-0.43731-0.55626
Minnesota Twins
Chicago Cubs
52.2%
47.8%
+110
-115
+105
-114
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+176
0
1
-0.63611-0.64921-0.73825
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
54.8%
45.2%
+120
-123
+121
-126
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
14
-0.60055-0.59327-0.79445
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
63.6%
36.4%
-210
+205
-210
+200
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+130
15
6
-0.39338-0.39744-0.45322
Arizona Diamondbacks
Houston Astros
44.1%
55.9%
+165
-173
+165
-172
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
6
3
-0.98932-0.98749-0.81821
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
41.3%
58.7%
+150
-152
+148
-155
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+131
5
9
-0.50818-0.50698-0.53316
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
36.3%
63.7%
+145
-150
+145
-152
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
7
-0.51765-0.51498-0.45099
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
62.6%
37.4%
-190
+185
-190
+185
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+110
2
1
-0.42750-0.42750-0.46834
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
60.2%
39.8%
-215
+205
-210
+200
-1½-158
+1½+140
-1½-145
+1½+135
6
5
-0.38960-0.39744-0.50790
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
45.3%
54.7%
-107
+105
-106
+101


7
8
-0.72268-0.71033-0.60252
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
64.5%
35.5%
-215
+205
-210
+205
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-132
+1½+125
1
0
-0.38960-0.39338-0.43860
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
58.8%
41.2%
-165
+159
-158
+152
-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½+105
+1½-110
15
2
-0.48083-0.49794-0.53110
Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds
50.7%
49.3%
+120
-122
+115
-118
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
7
-0.60239-0.61975-0.70816
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1511-4 (0.733)0-0.68569 
Sportsbooks1511-4 (0.733)0-0.68283 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.66560
0.02009
0.01723

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.