Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) New York Yankees (69-52) | Paul Skenes Luis Gil | 32.4% 67.6% | +116 -126 +116 -124 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-190 -1½+172 | 3.56 5.37 | 8.93 | o7-105 u7-115 o7-105 u7-115 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Sean Burke Undecided Undecided | 57.8% 42.2% | 4.96 4.14 | 9.10 | ||||||
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Rhett Lowder Kyle Hendricks | 48.9% 51.1% | +108 -118 +110 -118 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-210 -1½+184 | 3.88 4.00 | 7.88 | o6½-109 u6½-111 o6½-120 u6½+100 | |||
| Miami Marlins (51-70) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Xzavion Curry Yariel Rodriguez | 38.3% 61.7% | +141 -154 +142 -150 | +1½-155 -1½+135 +1½-152 -1½+135 | 4.02 5.24 | 9.26 | o8½-110 u8½-110 o8½-110 u8½-110 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Zack Wheeler MacKenzie Gore | 50.7% 49.3% | -188 +172 -199 +181 | -1½-110 +1½-110 -1½-115 +1½-102 | 4.85 4.78 | 9.63 | o7½-112 u7½-108 o7½-110 u7½-105 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Andre Pallante Tristan Beck | 40.0% 60.0% | +105 -115 +105 -112 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-204 -1½+180 | 3.70 4.75 | 8.45 | o8+105 u8-125 o8+100 u8-120 | |||
| Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Shane Baz Kutter Crawford | 48.5% 51.5% | +108 -118 +110 -115 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 4.42 4.58 | 9.00 | o7½-110 u7½-110 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
| Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Justin Verlander Ben Lively | 63.9% 36.1% | +104 -114 +110 -115 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-192 -1½+175 | 4.32 2.86 | 7.18 | o8-120 u8+100 o8-120 u8½-115 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Jose Quintana Jared Koenig | 42.9% 57.1% | -105 -105 +100 -105 | +1½-225 -1½+195 +1½-220 -1½+195 | 4.01 4.75 | 8.76 | o8-115 u8-105 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | UNDEDICED Undecided Zebby Matthews | 39.2% 60.8% | 4.76 5.90 | 10.66 | ||||||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Seth Lugo Reynaldo Lopez | 42.3% 57.7% | +158 -173 +155 -165 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+125 | 4.43 5.23 | 9.66 | o7½-117 u7½-103 o7½-110 u7½+100 | |||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Randy Vasquez Eduardo Rodriguez | 60.3% 39.7% | +141 -154 +150 -150 | +1½-148 -1½+128 +1½-138 -1½+130 | 4.67 3.60 | 8.27 | o9-120 u9+100 o9-120 u9+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Antonio Senzatela | 59.7% 40.3% | -235 +210 -240 +220 | -1½-160 +1½+140 -1½-155 +1½+150 | 5.98 4.97 | 10.95 | o10½-128 u10½+108 o11-105 u11-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Andrew Heaney Griffin Canning | 40.5% 59.5% | -140 +129 -140 +130 | -1½+105 +1½-125 -1½+115 +1½-133 | 4.70 5.70 | 10.40 | o8½-105 u8½-115 o8-110 u8½-115 | |||
| Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | Joey Estes Emerson Hancock | 52.8% 47.2% | +133 -145 +138 -137 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 4.93 4.64 | 9.57 | o7-120 u7+100 o7-120 u7½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics San Diego Padres | 47.8% 52.2% | +210 -230 +208 -230 | +1½+100 -1½-110 +1½+100 -1½-105 | 1 6 | -0.38037-0.38243 | -0.64951 | |
| Chicago White Sox Seattle Mariners | 53.9% 46.1% | +183 -202 +186 -195 | +1½-115 -1½+100 +1½-115 -1½+100 | 4 8 | -0.42416-0.42459 | -0.77371 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Milwaukee Brewers | 46.8% 53.2% | +105 -115 +111 -116 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+185 | 1 3 | -0.64814-0.63260 | -0.63074 | |
| New York Yankees Kansas City Royals | 57.5% 42.5% | -108 -102 -108 +100 | -1½+145 +1½-163 -1½+150 +1½-160 | 4 2 | -0.67930-0.67446 | -0.55339 | |
| Colorado Rockies Minnesota Twins | 47.2% 52.8% | +210 -235 +216 -238 | +1½+104 -1½-120 +1½+105 -1½-120 | 0 5 | -0.37834-0.37117 | -0.63921 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays | 35.9% 64.1% | -136 +125 -135 +133 | -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+127 +1½-140 | 5 2 | -0.57167-0.55795 | -1.02312 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers New York Yankees | 53.8% 46.2% | -132 +121 -122 +122 | -1½+132 +1½-150 -1½+138 +1½-145 | 4 6 | -0.81423-0.79751 | -0.77213 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks San Diego Padres | 33.8% 66.2% | +113 -123 +116 -124 | +1½-175 -1½+159 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 9 3 | -0.77696-0.78651 | -1.08480 | |
| Houston Astros Los Angeles Angels | 64.8% 35.2% | -144 +132 -145 +138 | -1½+111 +1½-130 -1½+112 +1½-120 | 7 9 | -0.86254-0.87904 | -1.04441 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Oakland Athletics | 48.3% 51.7% | -132 +121 -127 +119 | -1½+130 +1½-144 -1½+128 +1½-145 | 6 4 | -0.58515-0.59673 | -0.72828 | |
| Colorado Rockies St. Louis Cardinals | 44.8% 55.2% | +151 -165 +154 -163 | +1½-140 -1½+121 +1½-130 -1½+120 | 1 5 | -0.49462-0.49179 | -0.59437 | |
| Boston Red Sox Chicago White Sox | 45.7% 54.3% | -142 +131 -138 +132 | -1½+110 +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-125 | 6 4 | -0.55259-0.55582 | -0.78340 | |
| Seattle Mariners Kansas City Royals | 49.5% 50.5% | +121 -132 +125 -134 | +1½-180 -1½+161 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 6 5 | -0.81423-0.82789 | -0.70289 | |
| Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals | 52.9% 47.1% | -159 +146 -160 +150 | -1½-106 +1½-110 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 5 8 | -0.92037-0.93156 | -0.75366 | |
| Cleveland Indians Miami Marlins | 54.0% 46.0% | -120 +110 -114 +107 | -1½+140 +1½-156 -1½+145 +1½-155 | 6 3 | -0.62755-0.64546 | -0.61685 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Detroit Tigers | 59.2% 40.8% | +150 -164 +153 -165 | +1½-142 -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+132 | 2 10 | -0.49707-0.49153 | -0.89617 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71342 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71451 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.73488 | -0.02146 -0.02037 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.