Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) New York Yankees (69-52) | Paul Skenes Luis Gil | 32.4% 67.6% | +115 -125 +116 -122 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+176 | 3.56 5.37 | 8.93 | o7+100 u7-120 o7-105 u7-115 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Sean Burke Beau Brieske | 57.8% 42.2% | +178 -195 +197 -205 | +1½-128 -1½+108 +1½-113 -1½+100 | 4.96 4.14 | 9.10 | o7½+100 u7½-120 o7½+105 u7½-115 | |||
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Rhett Lowder Kyle Hendricks | 48.9% 51.1% | +116 -126 +112 -120 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 3.88 4.00 | 7.88 | o7-120 u7+100 o7-110 u7+100 | |||
| Miami Marlins (51-70) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Xzavion Curry Yariel Rodriguez | 38.3% 61.7% | +142 -155 +150 -159 | +1½-158 -1½+138 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 4.02 5.24 | 9.26 | o8½-110 u8½-110 o8½-110 u8½-110 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Zack Wheeler MacKenzie Gore | 50.7% 49.3% | -190 +174 -199 +181 | -1½-110 +1½-110 -1½-115 +1½-102 | 4.85 4.78 | 9.63 | o7½-112 u7½-108 o7½-110 u7½-105 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Andre Pallante Tristan Beck | 40.0% 60.0% | +107 -117 +107 -115 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-204 -1½+180 | 3.70 4.75 | 8.45 | o7½+100 u7½-120 o7½+100 u7½-120 | |||
| Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Shane Baz Kutter Crawford | 48.5% 51.5% | +107 -117 +110 -115 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+182 | 4.42 4.58 | 9.00 | o7½-112 u7½-108 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
| Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Justin Verlander Ben Lively | 63.9% 36.1% | +107 -117 +110 -115 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-192 -1½+175 | 4.32 2.86 | 7.18 | o8-120 u8+100 o8-120 u8½-115 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Jose Quintana Jared Koenig | 42.9% 57.1% | -109 -101 -105 -105 | +1½-215 -1½+185 +1½-220 -1½+195 | 4.01 4.75 | 8.76 | o8-118 u8-102 o8½-105 u8½-115 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | UNDEDICED Undecided Zebby Matthews | 39.2% 60.8% | +100 -110 | +1½-210 -1½+190 | 4.76 5.90 | 10.66 | o9+100 u9+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Seth Lugo Reynaldo Lopez | 42.3% 57.7% | +178 -195 +183 -200 | +1½-125 -1½+105 +1½-120 -1½+100 | 4.43 5.23 | 9.66 | o7½-120 u7½+100 o7½-120 u8-115 | |||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Randy Vasquez Eduardo Rodriguez | 60.3% 39.7% | +165 -180 +160 -174 | +1½-127 -1½+107 +1½-128 -1½+110 | 4.67 3.60 | 8.27 | o9-125 u9+105 o9-120 u9+100 | |||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Antonio Senzatela | 59.7% 40.3% | -230 +206 -230 +220 | -1½-155 +1½+135 -1½-155 +1½+140 | 5.98 4.97 | 10.95 | o10½-125 u10½+105 o11-105 u11-115 | |||
| Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Andrew Heaney Griffin Canning | 40.5% 59.5% | -139 +128 -140 +130 | -1½+105 +1½-125 -1½+115 +1½-133 | 4.70 5.70 | 10.40 | o8½+103 u8½-123 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
| Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | Joey Estes Emerson Hancock | 52.8% 47.2% | +126 -137 +130 -137 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 4.93 4.64 | 9.57 | o7½-114 u7½-106 o7½+100 u7½-115 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays | 32.7% 67.3% | -135 +124 -137 +132 | -1½+120 +1½-138 -1½+120 +1½-130 | 9 2 | -0.57499-0.55713 | -1.11880 | |
| Chicago Cubs Cincinnati Reds | 41.5% 58.5% | -128 +118 -126 +118 | -1½+122 +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-140 | 4 2 | -0.59724-0.60037 | -0.88025 | |
| Minnesota Twins Pittsburgh Pirates | 54.7% 45.3% | +106 -116 +106 -114 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-200 -1½+177 | 11 5 | -0.74492-0.74068 | -0.60362 | |
| San Francisco Giants Texas Rangers | 59.9% 40.1% | +137 -149 +142 -148 | +1½-158 -1½+138 +1½-155 -1½+142 | 2 7 | -0.53363-0.52616 | -0.91402 | |
| New York Mets Philadelphia Phillies | 49.6% 50.4% | +130 -142 +134 -140 | +1½-140 -1½+122 +1½-142 -1½+125 | 6 5 | -0.85426-0.86079 | -0.70146 | |
| Houston Astros Los Angeles Angels | 53.8% 46.2% | -173 +158 -173 +167 | -1½-108 +1½-110 -1½-105 +1½-103 | 6 1 | -0.47726-0.46437 | -0.62040 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks San Diego Padres | 33.8% 66.2% | +146 -159 +142 -150 | +1½-151 -1½+135 +1½-160 -1½+141 | 1 13 | -0.50811-0.52396 | -0.41244 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers New York Yankees | 53.4% 46.6% | +103 -113 +105 -111 | +1½-190 -1½+175 +1½-197 -1½+175 | 11 3 | -0.73091-0.73162 | -0.62828 | |
| Cleveland Indians Miami Marlins | 47.9% 52.1% | -159 +146 -158 +151 | -1½+100 +1½-115 -1½+100 +1½-113 | 8 0 | -0.50811-0.50112 | -0.73676 | |
| Colorado Rockies St. Louis Cardinals | 48.1% 51.9% | +182 -200 +190 -194 | +1½-110 -1½-105 +1½-115 -1½+100 | 6 5 | -1.05780-1.06938 | -0.73183 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Detroit Tigers | 55.0% 45.0% | -167 +153 -165 +153 | -1½-105 +1½-115 -1½-105 +1½-105 | 5 4 | -0.48977-0.49153 | -0.59836 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays | 32.7% 67.3% | -133 +122 -128 +120 | -1½+125 +1½-138 -1½+125 +1½-140 | 5 0 | -0.58173-0.59314 | -1.11880 | |
| Seattle Mariners Kansas City Royals | 51.1% 48.9% | -125 +115 -124 +117 | -1½+125 +1½-143 -1½+126 +1½-140 | 4 8 | -0.78592-0.78902 | -0.71570 | |
| Boston Red Sox Chicago White Sox | 45.7% 54.3% | -222 +199 -220 +203 | -1½-142 +1½+130 -1½-140 +1½+130 | 1 6 | -1.11887-1.12596 | -0.61037 | |
| Chicago Cubs Cincinnati Reds | 42.1% 57.9% | +112 -122 +114 -114 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-186 -1½+170 | 3 4 | -0.61967-0.62978 | -0.54688 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Oakland Athletics | 51.2% 48.8% | -158 +145 -151 +148 | -1½+105 +1½-122 -1½+107 +1½-125 | 7 0 | -0.51073-0.51299 | -0.66963 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71342 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71451 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.73488 | -0.02146 -0.02037 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.