Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Postponed | Chicago White Sox (71-50) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Sean Burke Beau Brieske | 57.8% 42.2% | +188 -208 +197 -205 | +1½-110 -1½-110 +1½-113 -1½+100 | 4.96 4.14 | 9.10 | o7½-108 u7½-112 o7½+100 u7½-115 | ||
Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Rhett Lowder Kyle Hendricks | 48.9% 51.1% | +115 -125 +115 -120 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-195 -1½+180 | 3.88 4.00 | 7.88 | o7-115 u7-105 o7-110 u7+100 | |||
Miami Marlins (51-70) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Xzavion Curry Yariel Rodriguez | 38.3% 61.7% | +151 -165 +150 -159 | +1½-140 -1½+120 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 4.02 5.24 | 9.26 | o8½-112 u8½-108 o8½-110 u8½+100 | |||
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Zack Wheeler MacKenzie Gore | 50.7% 49.3% | -192 +175 -199 +181 | -1½-118 +1½-102 -1½-115 +1½-102 | 4.85 4.78 | 9.63 | o7½-112 u7½-108 o7½-110 u7½-105 | |||
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Andre Pallante Tristan Beck | 40.0% 60.0% | +107 -117 +107 -115 | +1½-198 -1½+173 +1½-204 -1½+180 | 3.70 4.75 | 8.45 | o7½-105 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-120 | |||
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Shane Baz Kutter Crawford | 48.5% 51.5% | +107 -117 +110 -115 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+182 | 4.42 4.58 | 9.00 | o7½-113 u7½-107 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Justin Verlander Ben Lively | 63.9% 36.1% | +107 -117 +110 -115 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-192 -1½+175 | 4.32 2.86 | 7.18 | o8-123 u8+103 o8-120 u8½-115 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Jose Quintana Jared Koenig | 42.9% 57.1% | -109 -101 -105 +103 | -1½+145 +1½-165 +1½-220 -1½+200 | 4.01 4.75 | 8.76 | o8½-105 u8½-115 o8½-105 u8½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | UNDEDICED Undecided Zebby Matthews | 39.2% 60.8% | +105 -114 | +1½-192 -1½+175 | 4.76 5.90 | 10.66 | o9-105 u9-110 | |||
Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Seth Lugo Reynaldo Lopez | 42.3% 57.7% | +179 -197 +181 -190 | +1½-123 -1½+103 +1½-120 -1½+110 | 4.43 5.23 | 9.66 | o7½-120 u7½+100 o7½-120 u7½+100 | |||
San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Randy Vasquez Eduardo Rodriguez | 60.3% 39.7% | +161 -176 +160 -174 | +1½-127 -1½+107 +1½-128 -1½+110 | 4.67 3.60 | 8.27 | o9½-103 u9½-117 o9-120 u9+100 | |||
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Antonio Senzatela | 59.7% 40.3% | -230 +206 -220 +220 | -1½-157 +1½+137 -1½-148 +1½+140 | 5.98 4.97 | 10.95 | o10½-120 u10½+100 o11-105 u11-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Andrew Heaney Griffin Canning | 40.5% 59.5% | -139 +128 -140 +130 | -1½+112 +1½-132 -1½+115 +1½-133 | 4.70 5.70 | 10.40 | o8-114 u8-106 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | Joey Estes Emerson Hancock | 52.8% 47.2% | +122 -133 +130 -137 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 4.93 4.64 | 9.57 | o7½-114 u7½-106 o7½+100 u7½-110 |
Games In Progress
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco Giants Texas Rangers | 58.1% 41.9% | +107 -117 +112 -112 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+180 | 3 1 | -0.74957-0.75141 | -0.54251 | |
Minnesota Twins Pittsburgh Pirates | 54.7% 45.3% | -124 +114 -122 +114 | -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+135 +1½-148 | 0 4 | -0.78145-0.77751 | -0.79149 | |
Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals | 52.9% 47.1% | -124 +114 -122 +120 | -1½+130 +1½-148 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 3 7 | -0.78145-0.79255 | -0.75366 | |
Philadelphia Phillies New York Mets | 49.7% 50.3% | -153 +140 -152 +143 | -1½-105 +1½-105 -1½-104 +1½-105 | 7 2 | -0.52415-0.52014 | -0.69826 | |
Toronto Blue Jays Oakland Athletics | 48.3% 51.7% | -170 +156 -165 +153 | -1½-105 +1½-114 -1½+110 +1½-118 | 1 2 | -0.96006-0.94595 | -0.65921 | |
Arizona Diamondbacks San Diego Padres | 36.3% 63.7% | +121 -132 +124 -130 | +1½-183 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+175 | 3 10 | -0.58515-0.58212 | -0.45168 | |
Houston Astros Los Angeles Angels | 52.9% 47.1% | -153 +140 -151 +144 | -1½+105 +1½-125 -1½+107 +1½-125 | 7 1 | -0.52415-0.51955 | -0.63584 | |
Colorado Rockies St. Louis Cardinals | 44.8% 55.2% | +163 -178 +170 -180 | +1½-134 -1½+120 +1½-128 -1½+115 | 5 8 | -0.46614-0.45497 | -0.59437 | |
Seattle Mariners Kansas City Royals | 49.5% 50.5% | -116 +106 -116 +108 | -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+140 +1½-150 | 9 10 | -0.74492-0.75001 | -0.68349 | |
Boston Red Sox Chicago White Sox | 45.7% 54.3% | -102 -108 -103 +102 | +1½-208 -1½+190 +1½-215 -1½+190 | 2 7 | -0.67930-0.70552 | -0.61037 | |
San Francisco Giants Texas Rangers | 58.3% 41.7% | -116 +106 -115 +110 | -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+150 +1½-160 | 5 2 | -0.64392-0.63673 | -0.53979 | |
Cleveland Indians Miami Marlins | 47.9% 52.1% | -107 -103 -106 +100 | -1½+155 +1½-174 -1½+160 +1½-170 | 2 3 | -0.70249-0.70761 | -0.65135 | |
Chicago Cubs Cincinnati Reds | 42.1% 57.9% | +122 -133 +121 -128 | +1½-167 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+160 | 2 3 | -0.58173-0.59111 | -0.54688 | |
Los Angeles Dodgers New York Yankees | 53.4% 46.6% | -153 +140 -143 +143 | -1½+105 +1½-124 -1½+115 +1½-125 | 2 1 | -0.52415-0.53021 | -0.62828 | |
Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays | 31.0% 69.0% | -107 -103 -105 +100 | -1½+150 +1½-168 -1½+155 +1½-165 | 6 3 | -0.68389-0.68116 | -1.17122 | |
Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals | 52.9% 47.1% | -205 +186 -200 +190 | -1½-130 +1½+110 -1½-125 +1½+120 | 1 2 | -1.07236-1.07614 | -0.75366 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71342 | |
Sportsbooks | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71451 | |
DRatings | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.73488 | -0.02146 -0.02037 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
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# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.