MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Grayson Rodriguez
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
56.2%
43.8%
+111
-133
+120
-130
+1½-195
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+150
5.49
4.84
10.33
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-115
u8½-105
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Zack Littell
Jesus Luzardo
43.0%
57.0%
+210
-235
+217
-240
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
4.40
5.13
9.53
o9-105
u8½+100
o9+100
u9-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Sean Manaea
Joey Cantillo
50.2%
49.8%
+127
-140
+130
-137
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
4.34
4.31
8.65
o7½-117
u7½+105
o7½-115
u7½-105
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
JT Ginn
Brady Singer
49.2%
50.8%
+122
-131
+125
-135
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.62
4.71
9.33
o9-108
u9½-115
o9-110
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Ryan Weathers
39.8%
60.2%
+140
-168
+155
-170
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+118
4.07
5.14
9.21
o8½+105
u8½-125
o8½+100
u8½-120
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Davis Martin
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.0%
52.0%
+108
-130
+110
-121
+1½-200
-1½+170
-1½+158
+1½-190
5.14
5.35
10.49
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Grant Holmes
39.8%
60.2%
+117
-140
+130
-140
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
3.86
4.92
8.78
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Jared Jones
Logan Henderson
33.2%
66.8%
+145
-155
+150
-157
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+143
3.57
5.31
8.88
o8+105
u7½+100
o8+105
u7½-100
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joe Ryan
Randy Dobnak
51.5%
48.5%
-140
+127
-140
+130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-130
5.31
5.16
10.47
o9-118
u9½-125
o9-115
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tarik Skubal
Javier Assad
59.3%
40.7%
-200
+180
-198
+183
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+105
5.32
4.34
9.66
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-120
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Blake Tidwell
MacKenzie Gore
59.9%
40.1%
+167
-185
+175
-190
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
5.16
4.13
9.29
o7½-120
u7½+105
o7½-120
u7½+105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Trey Yesavage
Hayden Wesneski
45.0%
55.0%
+113
-125
+115
-125
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.22
4.75
8.97
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Gabriel Hughes
51.4%
48.6%
-135
+125
-135
+125
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
5.24
5.08
10.32
o11-105
u11½-125
o11-110
u11-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Eduardo Rodriguez
60.3%
39.7%
+107
-128
+115
-125
+1½-200
-1½+170
+1½-205
-1½+170
4.67
3.60
8.27
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½-115
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Emerson Hancock
43.0%
57.0%
+130
-155
+125
-135
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-170
-1½+143
4.15
4.89
9.04
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8-120
u8+100
Games for Aug 3, 2026
Games for Aug 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
55.7%
44.3%
-165
+149
-175
+163
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-117
+1½+105
9.71
o11-110
u11½-113
o11½+100
u11½-115
9th
BOT
13
6
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
57.6%
42.4%
-102
-108
+100
-105

+1½-210
-1½+185
8.61
o8½-117
u8½+100
o9+100
u9-115
6th
BOT
0
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.7%
49.3%
-110
+105
-110
+104
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
6
7
-0.72981-0.72732-0.70804
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
30.8%
69.2%
+165
-172
+163
-175
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
6
4
-0.98749-0.98905-1.17762
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
61.4%
38.6%
-165
+161
-165
+160
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-111
+1½+100
3
7
-0.96693-0.96498-0.95124
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
31.2%
68.8%
+210
-222
+215
-230
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-129
1
2
-0.38063-0.37141-0.37423
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
30.0%
70.0%
+145
-145
+145
-150
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-130
-1½+126
5
11
-0.52452-0.51765-0.35723
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
54.5%
45.5%
-113
+110
-115
+111
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-145
7
6
-0.64025-0.63399-0.60625
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
41.1%
58.9%
-196
+185
-194
+190
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-130
+1½+120
2
1
-0.42214-0.41930-0.89011
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
72.1%
27.9%
-175
+170
-179
+167
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
3
1
-0.45730-0.45646-0.32744
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
53.2%
46.8%
+155
-164
+155
-165
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+115
2
6
-0.48690-0.48574-0.75903
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
29.0%
71.0%
+172
-176
+170
-184
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+126
4
2
-1.00791-1.01821-1.23777
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
49.7%
50.3%
+142
-141
+134
-140
+1½-155
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
6
3
-0.88170-0.86273-0.69870
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
47.7%
52.3%
-107
+105
-105
-102
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
6
5
-0.66446-0.68593-0.74020
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
28.5%
71.5%
+167
-177
+170
-180
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
2
4
-0.45850-0.45216-0.33491
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
45.1%
54.9%
+148
-157
+152
-157
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
5
1
-0.92591-0.93402-0.79653
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
55.0%
45.0%
-200
+185
-200
+184
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
8
7
-0.41872-0.41965-0.59735
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.4%
48.6%
-147
+145
-145
+142
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-120
1
5
-0.90015-0.88992-0.72256
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks61-5 (0.167)0-0.82637 
Sportsbooks61-5 (0.167)0-0.83831 
DRatings62-4 (0.333)0-0.79565
0.03072
0.04266

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.