MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Grayson Rodriguez
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
56.2%
43.8%
+119
-142
+120
-130
+1½-180
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
5.49
4.84
10.33
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Zack Littell
Jesus Luzardo
43.0%
57.0%
+214
-240
+217
-240
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-120
4.40
5.13
9.53
o9-105
u8½-105
o9-105
u9-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Sean Manaea
Joey Cantillo
50.2%
49.8%
+131
-142
+130
-137
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
4.34
4.31
8.65
o7½-117
u7½+105
o7½-115
u7½-105
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
JT Ginn
Brady Singer
49.2%
50.8%
+122
-131
+125
-135
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+150
4.62
4.71
9.33
o9-108
u9½-115
o9-110
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Hunter Dobbins
Ryan Weathers
39.8%
60.2%
+154
-168
+150
-170
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+115
4.07
5.14
9.21
o8½+105
u8-105
o8½+100
u8½-120
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Davis Martin
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
48.0%
52.0%
+108
-130
+110
-121
+1½-200
-1½+170
-1½+158
+1½-190
5.14
5.35
10.49
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Ryan Gusto
Grant Holmes
39.8%
60.2%
+124
-137
+130
-140
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+150
3.85
4.91
8.76
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Jared Jones
Logan Henderson
33.2%
66.8%
+143
-155
+150
-157
+1½-172
-1½+155
+1½-155
-1½+143
3.57
5.31
8.88
o7½-115
u7½-105
o8+105
u7½-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joe Ryan
Randy Dobnak
51.5%
48.5%
-140
+127
-140
+130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-130
5.31
5.16
10.47
o9-118
u9½-125
o9-115
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tarik Skubal
Javier Assad
59.3%
40.7%
-200
+180
-200
+183
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+105
5.32
4.34
9.66
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-120
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Blake Tidwell
MacKenzie Gore
59.9%
40.1%
+167
-185
+175
-190
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+110
5.18
4.15
9.33
o7½-120
u7½+105
o7½-120
u7½+105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Trey Yesavage
Hayden Wesneski
45.0%
55.0%
+113
-125
+115
-125
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.22
4.75
8.97
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Gabriel Hughes
51.4%
48.6%
-135
+125
-135
+125
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
5.24
5.08
10.32
o11-105
u11½-125
o11-110
u11-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Eduardo Rodriguez
60.3%
39.7%
+107
-128
+115
-125
+1½-200
-1½+170
+1½-205
-1½+170
4.67
3.60
8.27
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½-115
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Emerson Hancock
43.0%
57.0%
+130
-155
+125
-135
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+143
4.00
4.73
8.73
o8½+105
u8½-125
o8-120
u8+100
Games for Aug 3, 2026
Games for Aug 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
57.6%
42.4%
-102
-108
+100
-105

+1½-210
-1½+185
8.61
o8½-117
u8½+100
o9+100
u9-115
8th
TOP
1
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.4%
48.6%
-147
+145
-145
+142
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-120
1
5
-0.90015-0.88992-0.72256
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
71.1%
28.9%
-164
+160
-165
+162
-1½-115
+1½-101
-1½-106
+1½+105
7
4
-0.48080-0.47726-0.34125
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
33.3%
66.7%
+230
-245
+231
-244
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+122
-1½-140
1
11
-0.35160-0.35155-0.40450
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
63.6%
36.4%
-165
+160
-162
+155
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-108
+1½-105
15
3
-0.47963-0.48926-0.45281
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
45.9%
54.1%
-126
+125
-127
+120
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
3
2
-0.58602-0.59337-0.77973
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
49.6%
50.4%
-128
+125
-120
+116
-1½+130
+1½-142
-1½+131
+1½-145
4
3
-0.58254-0.61389-0.70061
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
38.2%
61.8%
+101
+100
-101
-105
-1½+160
+1½-165

2
8
-0.69065-0.68349-0.48119
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
39.8%
60.2%
+185
-196
+186
-200
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
1
8
-0.42214-0.41778-0.50783
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
68.9%
31.1%
-195
+185
-195
+195
-1½-130
+1½+130
-1½-130
+1½+120
10
5
-0.42301-0.41397-0.37247
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
51.6%
48.4%
+120
-126
+118
-125
+1½-175
-1½+155

5
6
-0.59513-0.60071-0.72610
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
26.8%
73.2%
+260
-290
+270
-300
+1½+145
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-150
3
10
-0.31075-0.30128-0.31177
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
54.4%
45.6%
-132
+130
-130
+130
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
4
12
-0.83723-0.83292-0.78550
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.4%
66.6%
+136
-138
+137
-143
+1½-145
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+137
2
11
-0.54809-0.53911-0.40722
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
46.2%
53.8%
+156
-164
+155
-162
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
2
4
-0.48566-0.48926-0.62073
Baltimore Orioles
Philadelphia Phillies
43.0%
57.0%
+190
-199
+180
-198
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-105
11
4
-1.07987-1.06028-0.84483
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
42.7%
57.3%
+157
-167
+160
-170
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
9
6
-0.96281-0.97421-0.85008
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks72-5 (0.286)0-0.77942 
Sportsbooks72-5 (0.286)0-0.78547 
DRatings73-4 (0.429)0-0.76553
0.01389
0.01994

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.