MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Grayson Rodriguez
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
56.2%
43.8%
+134
-148
+120
-130
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-170
-1½+150
5.49
4.84
10.33
o9+100
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Zack Littell
Jesus Luzardo
43.0%
57.0%
+219
-245
+221
-250
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+102
-1½-120
4.40
5.13
9.53
o9+100
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Sean Manaea
Joey Cantillo
50.2%
49.8%
+131
-145
+135
-137
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.36
4.33
8.69
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
JT Ginn
Brady Singer
49.2%
50.8%
+118
-130
+125
-135
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+150
4.62
4.71
9.33
o9-120
u9½-120
o9-115
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Hunter Dobbins
Ryan Weathers
39.8%
60.2%
+154
-171
+155
-168
+1½-137
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+118
4.07
5.14
9.21
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-120
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Davis Martin
Patrick Sandoval
48.0%
52.0%
+117
-129
+116
-121
+1½-185
-1½+168

5.14
5.35
10.49
o9-105
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Ryan Gusto
Grant Holmes
39.8%
60.2%
+132
-146
+140
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.83
4.90
8.73
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Jared Jones
Logan Henderson
33.2%
66.8%
+145
-160
+150
-157
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
3.57
5.31
8.88
o7½-105
u7½-110
o8+105
u7½+100
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joe Ryan
Randy Dobnak
51.5%
48.5%
-141
+128
-140
+130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
5.31
5.16
10.47
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tarik Skubal
Javier Assad
59.3%
40.7%
-200
+180
-200
+183
-1½-129
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+105
5.32
4.34
9.66
o9+103
u9-120
o9+100
u9-120
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Blake Tidwell
MacKenzie Gore
59.9%
40.1%
+177
-197
+175
-185
+1½-121
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
5.10
4.06
9.16
o8-105
u7½+103
o7½-120
u7½+105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Trey Yesavage
Hayden Wesneski
45.0%
55.0%
+113
-125
+115
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.22
4.75
8.97
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Gabriel Hughes
51.4%
48.6%
-145
+131
-144
+135
-1½+101
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
5.10
4.95
10.05
o11-110
u11-105
o11-110
u11-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Randy Vasquez
Eduardo Rodriguez
60.3%
39.7%
+121
-133
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.67
3.60
8.27
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Emerson Hancock
43.0%
57.0%
+123
-136
+120
-130
+1½-169
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+143
4.15
4.89
9.04
o8-105
u8-110
o8-115
u8-105
Games for Aug 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
59.4%
40.6%
-174
+165
-175
+165
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-122
+1½+105
9
6
-0.46388-0.46283-0.52074
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
44.1%
55.9%
-106
-101
-105
+100
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+175
8
7
-0.68116-0.68102-0.81932
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
63.1%
36.9%
-185
+175
-187
+173
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-117
+1½+110
3
6
-1.02929-1.02898-0.99577
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
36.3%
63.7%
+190
-202
+190
-200
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
3
6
-0.41246-0.41412-0.45152
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
43.5%
56.5%
-113
+105
-110
+104
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
4
-0.73681-0.72732-0.57047
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
57.9%
42.1%
-161
+151
-153
+150
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
3
2
-0.49558-0.50688-0.54669
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
43.5%
56.5%
+123
-128
+120
-127
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
10
11
-0.58611-0.59337-0.57132
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
56.9%
43.1%
-175
+166
-170
+165
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-108
+1½+100
2
7
-0.99482-0.98387-0.84269
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
29.1%
70.9%
+165
-175
+165
-176
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
1
5
-0.46283-0.46178-0.34425
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
48.4%
51.6%
-162
+152
-160
+155
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-105
12
7
-0.49308-0.49166-0.72548
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
42.4%
57.6%
+161
-171
+170
-175
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
8
5
-0.97798-1.00239-0.85757
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
66.3%
33.7%
-155
+145
-156
+152
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-105
+1½-110
6
3
-0.51109-0.50043-0.41149
Tampa Bay Rays
Atlanta Braves
47.4%
52.6%
+140
-146
+142
-149
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
1
2
-0.53031-0.52325-0.64177
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
45.7%
54.3%
-146
+138
-142
+139
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
5
3
-0.53331-0.53755-0.78362
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
40.7%
59.3%
+114
-114
+113
-118
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+173
2
0
-0.76081-0.76766-0.89801
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
36.4%
63.6%
+152
-157
+152
-155
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
4
2
-0.93402-0.93016-1.00989
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks83-5 (0.375)0-0.76690 
Sportsbooks83-5 (0.375)0-0.77244 
DRatings83-5 (0.375)0-0.77703
-0.01012
-0.00459

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.