MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Grayson Rodriguez
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
56.2%
43.8%
+134
-148
+140
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-158
-1½+143
5.49
4.84
10.33
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Zack Littell
Jesus Luzardo
43.0%
57.0%
+244
-275
+242
-260
+1½+114
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-120
4.40
5.13
9.53
o9+100
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Sean Manaea
Joey Cantillo
50.2%
49.8%
+131
-145
+135
-137
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.36
4.33
8.69
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
JT Ginn
Brady Singer
49.2%
50.8%
+118
-130
+125
-133
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+150
4.62
4.71
9.33
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9-120
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Hunter Dobbins
Ryan Weathers
39.8%
60.2%
+170
-189
+175
-170
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+118
4.07
5.14
9.21
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Davis Martin
Patrick Sandoval
48.0%
52.0%
+117
-129
+116
-121
+1½-180
-1½+168

5.14
5.35
10.49
o9-105
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Ryan Gusto
Grant Holmes
39.8%
60.2%
+132
-146
+140
-149
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.80
4.88
8.68
o9-120
u9½-115
o9-120
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Jared Jones
Logan Henderson
33.2%
66.8%
+147
-163
+150
-157
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+143
3.57
5.31
8.88
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joe Ryan
Randy Dobnak
51.5%
48.5%
-141
+128
-140
+130
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-127
5.31
5.16
10.47
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tarik Skubal
Javier Assad
59.3%
40.7%
-207
+186
-203
+185
-1½-130
+1½+112
-1½-125
+1½+115
5.32
4.34
9.66
o9+103
u9-120
o9+100
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Blake Tidwell
MacKenzie Gore
59.9%
40.1%
+177
-197
+176
-190
+1½-121
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
5.18
4.15
9.33
o8-105
u7½+103
o7½-120
u7½+105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Trey Yesavage
Hayden Wesneski
45.0%
55.0%
+113
-125
+115
-125
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.22
4.75
8.97
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Gabriel Hughes
51.4%
48.6%
-145
+131
-145
+140
-1½+101
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
5.24
5.08
10.32
o11-110
u11-105
o11-110
u11-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Randy Vasquez
Eduardo Rodriguez
60.3%
39.7%
+106
-117
+120
-119
+1½-195
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.67
3.60
8.27
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Emerson Hancock
43.0%
57.0%
+123
-136
+130
-130
+1½-169
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+150
4.16
4.90
9.06
o7½-115
u8-118
o8-110
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
47.1%
52.9%
-152
+145
-146
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+112
+1½-125
5
3
-0.51500-0.52312-0.75283
Colorado Rockies
Oakland Athletics
30.4%
69.6%
+149
-158
+152
-154
+1½-135
-1½+116
+1½-125
-1½+118
8
3
-0.92988-0.92819-1.19198
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
46.1%
53.9%
+166
-173
+170
-177
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
2
10
-0.46381-0.45522-0.61839
Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros
52.8%
47.2%
-145
+137
-142
+137
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
5
2
-0.53623-0.54056-0.63777
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
48.5%
51.5%
-105
+101
-105
-104
-1½+150
+1½-160

4
1
-0.67857-0.69075-0.72328
St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins
48.0%
52.0%
+132
-140
+136
-135
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+135
3
6
-0.55139-0.55274-0.65433
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
41.9%
58.1%
+117
-124
+118
-120
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
5
-0.60446-0.60996-0.54307
New York Mets
Boston Red Sox
56.0%
44.0%
-119
+109
-112
+110
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+131
+1½-145
8
3
-0.63027-0.64236-0.58001
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
53.1%
46.9%
-102
-107
-103
-102

+1½-185
-1½+170
3
4
-0.68126-0.69559-0.75645
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.0%
41.0%
-177
+170
-177
+170
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-120
+1½+110
6
8
-1.00597-1.00597-0.89062
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
51.6%
48.4%
+120
-130
+120
-125
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-164
-1½+155
8
5
-0.81042-0.79964-0.66223
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
47.3%
52.7%
+125
-133
+123
-130
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+145
2
5
-0.57414-0.58268-0.64076
Toronto Blue Jays
Washington Nationals
37.2%
62.8%
+127
-135
+130
-137
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+131
5
1
-0.83695-0.84779-0.98773
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
38.0%
62.0%
+120
-129
+126
-129
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
4
-0.58989-0.57907-0.47736
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
50.7%
49.3%
-112
+105
-114
+110
-1½+135
+1½-150
+1½-210
+1½-155
8
7
-0.65345-0.63817-0.67944
New York Mets
Boston Red Sox
55.6%
44.4%
-118
+109
-113
+110
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+140
+1½-140
7
4
-0.63224-0.64025-0.58620
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks83-5 (0.375)0-0.76690 
Sportsbooks83-5 (0.375)0-0.77244 
DRatings83-5 (0.375)0-0.77703
-0.01012
-0.00459

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.