MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Grayson Rodriguez
Cade Povich
56.2%
43.8%
+139
-154
+141
-140
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+143
5.49
4.84
10.33
o9-115
u9-103
o9-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Carson Palmquist
Jesus Luzardo
43.0%
57.0%
+277
-315
+258
-260
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+125
-1½-120
4.40
5.13
9.53
o9+100
u9-120
o9+105
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Sean Manaea
Joey Cantillo
50.2%
49.8%
+117
-129
+127
-130
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+165
4.31
4.30
8.61
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
JT Ginn
Brady Singer
49.2%
50.8%
+120
-132
+125
-129
+1½-172
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
4.62
4.71
9.33
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Hunter Dobbins
Ryan Weathers
39.8%
60.2%
+175
-195
+171
-170
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+118
4.07
5.14
9.21
o8-115
u8-105
o8½+100
u8½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Davis Martin
Patrick Sandoval
48.0%
52.0%
+133
-147
+134
-121
+1½-160
-1½+145

5.14
5.35
10.49
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Ryan Gusto
Grant Holmes
39.8%
60.2%
+130
-143
+130
-140
+1½-156
-1½+136
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.85
4.91
8.76
o9-115
u9-104
o9-120
u9+100
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Jared Jones
Logan Henderson
33.2%
66.8%
+130
-143
+147
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-170
-1½+160
3.57
5.31
8.88
o7½+100
u7½-117
o7½-105
u7½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joe Ryan
Randy Dobnak
51.5%
48.5%
-141
+129
-140
+130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-127
5.31
5.16
10.47
o9-112
u9+100
o9-110
u9-105
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tarik Skubal
Javier Assad
59.3%
40.7%
-185
+167
-185
+183
-1½-120
+1½+101
-1½-115
+1½+105
5.11
4.13
9.24
o9-115
u9-102
o9+100
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Blake Tidwell
MacKenzie Gore
59.9%
40.1%
+174
-193
+176
-190
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
5.18
4.15
9.33
o8-107
u8-110
o7½-120
u8-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Trey Yesavage
Hayden Wesneski
45.0%
55.0%
+114
-126
+115
-125
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.22
4.75
8.97
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Gabriel Hughes
51.4%
48.6%
-168
+152
-145
+152
-1½-110
+1½-108
-1½+110
+1½-105
5.13
4.99
10.12
o11-112
u11-105
o11-110
u11-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Randy Vasquez
Eduardo Rodriguez
60.3%
39.7%
+105
-116
+120
-110
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
4.67
3.60
8.27
o9+100
u9-115
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Troy Melton
Emerson Hancock
43.0%
57.0%
+108
-119
+120
-120
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+165
4.16
4.90
9.06
o7½-111
u7½+100
o7½-110
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
33.3%
66.7%
+135
-145
+140
-145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
6
4
-0.87505-0.88574-1.09829
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
27.4%
72.6%
+160
-168
+163
-170
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
1
7
-0.47621-0.47048-0.32056
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
45.8%
54.2%
+161
-164
+165
-167
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+135
0
1
-0.47959-0.47152-0.61243
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.3%
63.7%
+248
-270
+255
-285
+1½+145
-1½-150
+1½+141
-1½-150
1
8
-0.32685-0.31568-0.45157
New York Yankees
Washington Nationals
47.5%
52.5%
-170
+160
-165
+160
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½+100
+1½-105
4
1
-0.47401-0.47963-0.74412
Washington Nationals
Houston Astros
47.7%
52.3%
+126
-128
+130
-133
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
6
2
-0.81975-0.83938-0.74009
Washington Nationals
Houston Astros
41.7%
58.3%
+163
-168
+164
-175
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+130
7
2
-0.97636-0.99099-0.87349
Houston Astros
Washington Nationals
54.1%
45.9%
-210
+203
-150
+200
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+125
7
1
-0.39499-0.45676-0.61456
Houston Astros
Washington Nationals
51.5%
48.5%
-104
-105
-102
-105
+1½-200
+1½-175
+1½-210
+1½-185
8
1
-0.69555-0.70043-0.66303
Houston Astros
Washington Nationals
53.3%
46.7%
-145
+136
-143
+140
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+120
+1½-130
4
1
-0.53777-0.53461-0.62957
Washington Nationals
Houston Astros
42.9%
57.1%
+166
-176
+161
-170
+1½-125
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+125
12
3
-0.99661-0.97617-0.84581
Washington Nationals
Houston Astros
46.6%
53.4%
+184
-190
+182
-195
+1½-115
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+120
5
4
-1.05420-1.05904-0.76312
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
46.5%
53.5%
+111
-118
+108
-115
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
4
6
-0.62796-0.64044-0.62590
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
55.8%
44.2%
-138
+129
-140
+135
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+120
+1½-125
1
4
-0.84763-0.86488-0.81595
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
51.7%
48.3%
+125
-125
+126
-135
+1½-155
-1½+150
+1½-150
-1½+140
8
3
-0.81094-0.83471-0.66053
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
40.1%
59.9%
+156
-162
+155
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+130
4
7
-0.48800-0.49166-0.51204
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks83-5 (0.375)0-0.76690 
Sportsbooks83-5 (0.375)0-0.77244 
DRatings83-5 (0.375)0-0.77703
-0.01012
-0.00459

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.