Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Justin Verlander Ben Lively | 63.9% 36.1% | +127 -138 +134 -138 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-165 -1½+150 | 4.32 2.86 | 7.18 | o7½-110 u7½-110 o7½-110 u7½-105 | Overall Bet Value Active All Bet Values Active | ||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Jose Quintana Jared Koenig | 42.9% 57.1% | -110 +100 -105 +104 | -1½+145 +1½-165 +1½-220 -1½+200 | 4.01 4.75 | 8.76 | o8½-105 u8½-115 o8½-105 u8½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Matt Bowman Zebby Matthews | 39.2% 60.8% | +104 -114 +107 -113 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 4.81 5.95 | 10.76 | o8½-105 u8½-115 o8½-105 u8½+100 | |||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Seth Lugo Reynaldo Lopez | 42.3% 57.7% | +202 -225 +195 -210 | +1½-110 -1½-110 +1½-115 -1½+100 | 4.43 5.23 | 9.66 | o7½-102 u7½-118 o7½+100 u7½-115 | |||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Randy Vasquez Eduardo Rodriguez | 60.3% 39.7% | +160 -175 +160 -174 | +1½-125 -1½+105 +1½-126 -1½+110 | 4.67 3.60 | 8.27 | o9½-103 u9½-117 o9-120 u9½-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Antonio Senzatela | 59.7% 40.3% | -235 +210 -220 +220 | -1½-157 +1½+137 -1½-148 +1½+140 | 6.05 5.04 | 11.09 | o11-105 u11-115 o11-105 u11-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Andrew Heaney Griffin Canning | 40.5% 59.5% | -135 +124 -133 +129 | -1½+115 +1½-135 -1½+122 +1½-135 | 4.70 5.70 | 10.40 | o8-114 u8-106 o8-110 u8-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | Joey Estes Emerson Hancock | 52.8% 47.2% | +122 -133 +130 -137 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 4.98 4.68 | 9.66 | o7½-114 u7½-106 o7½+100 u7½-110 |
Games In Progress
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox Chicago Cubs | 55.0% 45.0% | +171 -187 +175 -187 | +1½-116 -1½+100 +1½-115 -1½+105 | 6 7 | -0.44873-0.44346 | -0.79877 | |
| Detroit Tigers Texas Rangers | 48.4% 51.6% | +136 -148 +132 -140 | +1½-153 -1½+135 +1½-151 -1½+140 | 1 9 | -0.53652-0.55326 | -0.66140 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays | 33.3% 66.7% | +101 -111 +103 -110 | +1½-195 -1½+172 +1½-190 -1½+180 | 2 3 | -0.66563-0.66291 | -0.40506 | |
| Minnesota Twins New York Yankees | 38.8% 61.2% | +156 -170 +155 -160 | +1½-128 -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+122 | 5 9 | -0.48268-0.49303 | -0.49027 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Miami Marlins | 55.9% 44.1% | -127 +117 -120 +115 | -1½+140 +1½-152 -1½+140 +1½-157 | 5 3 | -0.60086-0.61667 | -0.58221 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Pittsburgh Pirates | 66.4% 33.6% | +107 -117 +106 -112 | +1½-192 -1½+170 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 6 10 | -0.63974-0.65174 | -1.08999 | |
| New York Mets Washington Nationals | 48.0% 52.0% | -137 +126 -140 +131 | -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+110 +1½-128 | 9 1 | -0.56840-0.55511 | -0.73482 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies | 44.8% 55.2% | +149 -163 +152 -152 | +1½-135 -1½+116 +1½-135 -1½+130 | 0 2 | -0.49956-0.50556 | -0.59484 | |
| San Francisco Giants Arizona Diamondbacks | 62.1% 37.9% | -113 +103 -105 -102 | +1½-215 -1½+192 | 9 3 | -0.65676-0.68605 | -0.47623 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies | 50.2% 49.8% | -144 +132 -138 +129 | -1½+105 +1½-120 -1½+110 +1½-121 | 12 7 | -0.54834-0.56140 | -0.68890 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Houston Astros | 38.7% 61.3% | +134 -146 +138 -146 | +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-154 -1½+140 | 4 2 | -0.87079-0.88068 | -0.95039 | |
| Atlanta Braves Boston Red Sox | 53.0% 47.0% | +101 -111 -104 -103 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 0 9 | -0.66563-0.69551 | -0.75479 | |
| Seattle Mariners Oakland Athletics | 40.9% 59.1% | -154 +141 -150 +142 | -1½+110 +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-126 | 4 3 | -0.52140-0.52396 | -0.89289 | |
| San Francisco Giants Arizona Diamondbacks | 60.5% 39.5% | -101 -109 +105 -114 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 5 8 | -0.67472-0.65009 | -0.92849 | |
| San Diego Padres Los Angeles Angels | 55.3% 44.7% | -105 -105 +100 -104 | 2 4 | -0.69315-0.68349 | -0.80585 | ||
| Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies | 52.3% 47.7% | -124 +114 -122 +115 | -1½+120 +1½-139 -1½+125 +1½-140 | 4 1 | -0.61201-0.61323 | -0.64900 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 6-10 (0.375) | 0 | -0.71781 | |
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 6-10 (0.375) | 0 | -0.71870 | |
| DRatings | 16 | 7-9 (0.438) | 0 | -0.75610 | -0.03829 -0.03740 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.