MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Unknown
Unknown
46.4%
53.6%




4.32
4.70
9.02


Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.1%
70.9%
+265
-300
+262
-300
+1½+130
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-140
9
2
-1.31841-1.31237-1.23278
Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres
46.7%
53.3%
-103
-107
-102
-105
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
7
8
-0.68389-0.68605-0.62837
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
51.8%
48.2%
-103
-107
-103
-105
+1½-210
-1½+180
-1½+160
+1½-180
1
4
-0.68389-0.68844-0.73023
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
42.1%
57.9%
+104
-115
+108
+100
+1½-195
-1½+175

5
3
-0.73771-0.71294-0.86453
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
51.2%
48.8%
+143
-158
+145
-152
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
1
6
-0.51401-0.51683-0.71826
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
61.3%
38.7%
+102
-111
+105
-115
+1½-195
-1½+183
+1½-185
-1½+190
9
3
-0.72400-0.74028-0.49012
Philadelphia Phillies
Detroit Tigers
55.8%
44.2%
-137
+124
-134
+128
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-145
4
2
-0.57228-0.56867-0.58393
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
39.2%
60.8%
-104
-106
+100
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+185
1
6
-0.68852-0.67015-0.49791
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.9%
39.1%
-141
+128
-125
+130
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+135
+1½-130
2
3
-0.84756-0.82321-0.93951
Cleveland Indians
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
+140
-155
+150
-155
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
4
1
-0.89968-0.92410-0.73676
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
54.0%
46.0%
+121
-133
+127
-137
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
0
-0.81604-0.83820-0.61656
New York Yankees
Washington Nationals
55.1%
44.9%
-188
+169
-180
+170
-1½-120
+1½+101
-1½-115
+1½+102
4
2
-0.45075-0.45497-0.59600
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
+128
-141
+130
-136
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
4
-0.55942-0.56217-0.47931
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
48.4%
51.6%
+161
-179
+160
-174
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
3
5
-0.46825-0.47353-0.66118
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
45.7%
54.3%
+113
-125
+112
-105
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
0
1
-0.61251-0.65281-0.61107
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.9%
39.1%
-101
-109
+110
-118
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+178
6
7
-0.67472-0.63113-0.93951
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.70323 
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.70349 
DRatings169-7 (0.562)0-0.70788
-0.00465
-0.00439

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.