MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 7, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Unknown
Unknown
43.3%
56.7%




3.48
4.18
7.66


Kansas City Royals (52-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Unknown
Unknown
36.4%
63.6%




4.16
5.59
9.75


Games for Oct 8, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
53.2%
46.8%
+106
-116
+110
-115
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+186
4
5
-0.64392-0.63673-0.75899
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
42.9%
57.1%
+121
-132
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
5
-0.58515-0.59314-0.56112
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
51.2%
48.8%
+129
-140
+138
-142
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
1
-0.84838-0.87402-0.66865
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
34.3%
65.7%
+161
-176
+162
-165
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+128
5
2
-0.97995-0.96748-1.07011
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
47.9%
52.1%
+172
-188
+175
-182
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+120
0
4
-0.44674-0.44690-0.65170
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
47.2%
52.8%
+130
-142
+134
-141
+1½-171
-1½+151
+1½-173
-1½+155
8
4
-0.85426-0.86249-0.75059
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
47.6%
52.4%
+129
-140
+133
-140
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+165
1
0
-0.84838-0.85830-0.74230
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
33.1%
66.9%
+124
-135
+126
-135
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
1
-0.82716-0.83218-1.10612
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
44.1%
55.9%
+266
-305
+250
-280
+1½+152
-1½-172
+1½+150
-1½-143
0
3
-0.30955-0.32768-0.58239
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
44.1%
55.9%
+128
-139
+130
-138
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
8
7
-0.84416-0.84742-0.81771
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees
35.9%
64.1%
+165
-180
+160
-170
+1½-132
-1½+112
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
6
-0.46185-0.47678-0.44432
Kansas City Royals
Atlanta Braves
38.5%
61.5%
+186
-205
+181
-200
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-120
-1½+102
4
2
-1.07236-1.05547-0.95558
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.6%
48.4%
-112
+102
-107
+101
-1½+147
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-170
3
0
-0.66116-0.67421-0.66231
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
39.2%
60.8%
+112
-122
+115
-119
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
2
-0.77245-0.77392-0.93705
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
+202
-225
+210
-229
+1½-106
-1½-114
+1½+100
-1½-113
9
5
-1.12840-1.14986-0.54851
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
+168
-184
+164
-175
+1½-134
-1½+114
+1½-144
-1½+126
4
6
-0.45484-0.46703-0.75027
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.76435 
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.76784 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.76472
-0.00037
0.00313

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.