MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		40.7%
31.0%		28.3%
+146
+188
+150
+180
1.24
1.05		2.29
o2½-118
u2¾-123
o2½-120
u2½+105
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)		21.1%
56.7%		22.2%
+500
-200
+510
-205
1.08
1.91		2.99
o3-102
u3-110
o3-120
u3+105
Games for Sep 20, 2025
Games for Sep 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire		39.7%
32.9%		27.4%
+266
-110
+252
-105
1
0		-1.33200-1.30372-0.92442
FC Cincinnati
Montreal Impact		32.7%
39.1%		28.2%
+123
+220
+120
+224
3
1		-0.82922-0.82860-1.11884
Atlanta United
Columbus Crew		26.1%
45.9%		28.0%
+340
-137
+330
-140
1
3		-0.58270-0.57784-0.77934
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%
+102
+308
+100
+316
1
1		-1.27830-1.26812-1.36920
Nashville SC
New England Revolution		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+145
+194
+140
+202
3
2		-0.92953-0.91242-1.25952
Orlando City
Colorado Rapids		37.7%
35.0%		27.3%
+138
+191
+135
+190
1
0		-0.90061-0.89637-0.97617
D.C. United
Real Salt Lake		28.2%
44.4%		27.3%
+440
-140
+405
-135
0
2		-0.55736-0.58603-0.81218
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire		34.0%
35.2%		30.8%
+160
+171
+155
+165
2
0		-0.98492-0.98602-1.07907
New York Red Bulls
Austin FC		33.5%
37.3%		29.2%
+220
+141
+230
+130
1
2		-0.90964-0.87560-0.98494
Montreal Impact
Houston Dynamo		37.9%
34.9%		27.2%
+375
-128
+350
-125
3
1		-1.59263-1.55103-0.97112
FC Dallas
Sporting Kansas City		30.6%
42.0%		27.4%
+262
+105
+240
+105
4
2		-1.31330-1.27122-1.18361
Vancouver Whitecaps
Columbus Crew		17.5%
59.4%		23.0%
+231
+114
+215
+115
1
2		-0.79624-0.81018-0.52062
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution		24.2%
49.2%		26.6%
+146
+189
+160
+175
1
0		-0.93382-0.98500-1.42014
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers		20.7%
57.4%		21.9%
+190
+127
+220
+125
1
1		-1.42101-1.37421-1.51928
Atlanta United
New York City		29.7%
42.8%		27.5%
+290
-108
+275
-105
0
4		-0.68695-0.71912-0.84924
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%
+125
+256
+125
+240
0
3		-1.28486-1.25593-1.40141
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks108-1-1 (0.850)0-0.81736 
Sportsbooks108-1-1 (0.850)0-0.81836 
DRatings105-4-1 (0.550)0-1.11730
-0.29993
-0.29893

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%