MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+145
+163
+140
+165
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3¼-112
u3¼-108
o3-135
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+360
-138
+360
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o2¾-118
u2¾+104
o3+105
u3-120
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+218
+117
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-120
u2¾+105
o3+105
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+325
-132
+330
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-110
u3-109
o3-111
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+252
+105
+255
-105
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-125
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+179
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½+105
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+144
+190
+145
+197
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾+100
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+137
+185
+133
+215
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-130
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+285
-125
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+330
-132
+330
-132
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3+100
o3-115
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+305
-120
+304
-115
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¼-108
u3¼-109
o3½+115
u3½-120
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution		27.2%
45.5%		27.3%
+175
+162
+170
+150
0
1		-0.97162-0.95967-0.78779
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC		26.2%
49.1%		24.7%
+840
-290
+800
-295
0
1		-0.32440-0.33251-0.71145
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers		19.8%
57.9%		22.4%
+240
+115
+235
+115
2
2		-1.34136-1.33165-1.49794
Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps		43.7%
30.3%		26.0%
+365
-139
+338
-135
1
2		-0.57615-0.59711-1.19442
Austin FC
Real Salt Lake		33.2%
37.9%		28.9%
+655
-235
+658
-230
1
5		-0.38988-0.39146-0.97032
New England Revolution
Nashville SC		33.3%
34.9%		31.8%
+370
-127
+340
-125
2
1		-1.58231-1.52010-1.09955
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United		32.3%
41.1%		26.6%
+358
-128
+364
-140
1
3		-0.60070-0.57258-0.88989
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire		33.5%
40.7%		25.8%
+203
+125
+200
+125
1
2		-0.84590-0.85106-0.89774
Orlando City
New York Red Bulls		37.9%
33.8%		28.2%
+356
-125
+347
-125
0
1		-0.62179-0.62605-1.08450
Toronto FC
D.C. United		48.5%
25.9%		25.6%
+310
-116
+304
-120
2
2		-1.41108-1.42837-1.36442
Montreal Impact
Philadelphia Union		23.1%
52.4%		24.6%
+535
-200
+480
-200
2
2		-1.61712-1.60654-1.40442
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City		21.1%
56.3%		22.5%
+460
-160
+450
-160
1
5		-0.50501-0.51748-0.57391
Minnesota United
Los Angeles FC		28.4%
47.4%		24.2%
+550
-195
+525
-200
0
2		-0.44212-0.44857-0.74682
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy		35.7%
37.2%		27.1%
+472
-170
+455
-175
1
3		-0.49385-0.50200-0.98784
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders		23.2%
51.7%		25.0%
+358
-135
+385
-120
1
1		-1.45633-1.38794-1.38454
Orlando City
Chicago Fire		39.3%
33.2%		27.5%
+164
+175
+170
+178
1
1		-1.27432-1.24768-1.29073
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%