MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 2, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%
+248
-103

0.97
1.46		2.43
o3-113
u3-107

Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		32.6%
39.7%		27.6%
+350
-143

1.12
1.27		2.39
o3-111
u3-109

New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%
+136
+200

1.05
1.55		2.60
o2¾+100
u2¾-120

Montreal Impact (0-0-0)
Atlanta United (0-0-0)		26.7%
47.1%		26.2%
+387
-166

1.04
1.47		2.51
o3¼-112
u3¼-108

Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		21.8%
51.3%		27.0%


0.83
1.44		2.27


New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		48.3%
25.9%		25.8%
+507
-199

1.51
1.04		2.55
o3+104
u3-124

D.C. United (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		23.0%
48.7%		28.2%
+210
+121

0.82
1.33		2.15
o3+100
u3-120

Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%
+220
+102

1.27
1.52		2.79
o3¾-103
u3¾-117

Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		40.7%
32.0%		27.4%
+248
-106

1.30
1.12		2.42
o3¼-116
u3¼-104

Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%
+179
+150

1.60
1.04		2.64
o2¾-103
u2¾-117

FC Dallas (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		44.5%
29.5%		26.0%
+163
+157

1.46
1.14		2.60
o3-102
u3-118

Austin FC (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		25.8%
47.8%		26.4%
+328
-141

1.00
1.46		2.46
o3¼-105
u3¼-115

Games for Oct 1, 2024
Games for Oct 5, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Orlando City
D.C. United		43.5%
30.0%		26.5%
+128
+229
+135
+220
1
0		-0.85444-0.88194-0.83266
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution		34.2%
35.4%		30.4%
+361
-146
+375
-145
0
1		-0.57980-0.55886-1.03798
Inter Miami CF
FC Cincinnati		32.6%
37.8%		29.5%
+185
+161
+180
+180
3
2		-1.07931-1.05137-1.11933
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City		26.1%
52.1%		21.9%
+650
-220
+617
-215
0
3		-0.40557-0.42057-0.65293
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes		44.9%
30.9%		24.2%
+248
+100
+255
+100
2
0		-1.28674-1.31487-0.80024
Nashville SC
Real Salt Lake		35.6%
33.2%		31.2%
+175
+175
+180
+175
0
0		-1.04874-1.06811-1.06796
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids		28.2%
48.7%		23.1%
+521
-193
+485
-135
1
3		-0.45858-0.50924-0.71939
FC Dallas
Minnesota United		32.2%
40.5%		27.3%
+280
+111
+242
+115
0
1		-0.74351-0.80015-0.90323
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union		29.7%
44.0%		26.3%
+229
+122
+235
+120
0
1		-0.83683-0.83455-0.82025
Montreal Impact
Atlanta United		29.9%
44.1%		26.0%
+410
-143
+410
-148
0
1		-0.56061-0.56121-0.81948
Austin FC
Los Angeles Galaxy		33.0%
40.7%		26.3%
+231
+112
+245
+110
0
2		-0.78119-0.75786-0.90015
Toronto FC
New York City		35.4%
37.0%		27.6%
+390
-145
+430
-155
1
1		-1.08870-1.11144-1.01620
Chicago Fire
D.C. United		37.9%
34.0%		28.0%
+205
+135
+195
+160
0
1		-0.88288-0.96077-1.07760
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes		46.2%
29.8%		24.0%
+176
+155
+166
+165
1
0		-1.04112-1.02057-0.77226
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United		25.8%
52.2%		21.9%
+475
-175
+450
-160
0
1		-0.48067-0.50969-0.64942
Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo		44.9%
30.4%		24.6%
+225
+115
+210
+120
0
1		-0.79815-0.82860-1.18935
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.12482 
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.10968 
DRatings126-1-5 (0.708)0-1.02796
0.09686
0.08172

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%