MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+274
-114
+269
-110
0.92
1.70		2.62
o3¼-105
u3¼-110
o3½+120
u3½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders		19.4%
59.0%		21.6%
+938
-345
+950
-320
2
2		-1.86375-1.75043-1.53072
Austin FC
Los Angeles FC		22.3%
54.6%		23.1%
+620
-238
+675
-260
1
1		-1.68341-1.71458-1.46322
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers		27.6%
48.0%		24.4%
+215
+108
+220
+105
2
4		-0.76697-0.75828-0.73476
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake		37.7%
33.4%		28.8%
+367
-132
+352
-135
2
3		-0.59057-0.60203-1.09587
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC		28.6%
42.2%		29.2%
+365
-130
+335
-130
0
1		-0.60037-0.61347-0.86183
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo		32.6%
40.8%		26.6%
+340
-125
+335
-130
1
1		-1.41861-1.42084-1.32418
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City		29.3%
45.3%		25.5%
+185
+135
+189
+130
1
4		-0.88994-0.87266-0.79264
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United		24.8%
49.3%		25.9%
+218
+125
+215
+122
2
1		-1.18564-1.19505-1.39469
Montreal Impact
New England Revolution		23.8%
50.8%		25.4%
+400
-142
+370
-145
2
2		-1.49557-1.49152-1.36920
Inter Miami CF
Atlanta United		27.0%
45.3%		27.7%
+235
+105
+225
+120
2
2		-1.45004-1.42633-1.28305
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC		32.8%
38.5%		28.7%
+137
+200
+130
+225
2
0		-0.89172-0.84922-1.11615
Philadelphia Union
New York City		33.8%
38.1%		28.1%
+340
-135
+335
-140
5
1		-1.51277-1.51700-1.08456
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders		30.2%
43.2%		26.5%
+482
-172
+500
-180
0
2		-0.48928-0.48049-0.83882
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps		34.1%
39.8%		26.1%
+515
-200
+500
-210
0
2		-0.43431-0.43852-0.92070
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy		45.0%
31.1%		23.9%
+141
+176
+145
+175
2
4		-1.04962-1.04594-1.16652
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids		36.9%
35.7%		27.3%
+286
-115
+285
-105
1
2		-0.65726-0.67903-1.02901
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks125-2-5 (0.625)0-1.19578 
Sportsbooks125-2-5 (0.625)0-1.18428 
DRatings123-4-5 (0.458)0-1.17091
0.02487
0.01338

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%