MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+165
+145
+155
+160
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3-105
u3-115
o3+100
u3-110
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+370
-138
+360
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o3+106
u3-122
o3+110
u3-120
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+209
+125
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o3-102
u3-117
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+325
-130
+335
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-110
u3-110
o3-110
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+250
+100
+255
-105
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-122
u3¼-125
o3-128
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+150
+180
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½+100
o2½-120
u2½+110
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+144
+195
+145
+195
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾-102
u2¾-117
o2½-125
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+120
+214
+115
+215
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-113
u2¾-105
o2½-138
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+285
-125
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+340
-130
+330
-132
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-117
u3-102
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+282
-115
+280
-115
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¼-108
u3¼-110
o3½+115
u3½-135
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire		33.0%
39.0%		28.0%
+158
+183
+150
+177
1
2		-1.06659-1.06065-0.94115
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo		38.6%
34.0%		27.4%
+360
-137
+355
-130
1
4		-0.58329-0.60493-1.07946
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami CF		41.8%
30.1%		28.1%
+550
-230
+550
-250
1
3		-0.39155-0.38212-1.20041
New England Revolution
Orlando City		31.5%
40.4%		28.1%
+565
-215
+520
-215
0
3		-0.40686-0.42483-0.90614
Nashville SC
Atlanta United		31.3%
37.7%		31.0%
+368
-145
+365
-145
2
0		-1.57808-1.57930-1.16213
New York City
D.C. United		44.6%
28.1%		27.2%
+175
+148
+170
+145
1
1		-1.35472-1.36594-1.30103
Austin FC
Toronto FC		24.1%
50.6%		25.3%
+310
-108
+285
-110
1
2		-0.67476-0.69293-0.68061
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati		42.9%
27.9%		29.2%
+178
+139
+195
+132
0
0		-1.39107-1.40230-1.23148
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps		45.0%
28.1%		26.9%
+242
+110
+230
+105
0
0		-1.36626-1.39740-1.31145
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo		55.5%
22.5%		22.0%
+307
-109
+290
-110
0
0		-1.35507-1.36759-1.51358
D.C. United
Chicago Fire		26.2%
47.6%		26.1%
+218
+120
+200
+125
2
1		-1.19125-1.14209-1.33819
Seattle Sounders
Columbus Crew		30.4%
40.6%		29.0%
+320
-114
+320
-120
4
0		-1.46192-1.48408-1.19227
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls		36.5%
35.4%		28.1%
+408
-147
+400
-150
1
1		-1.45000-1.46326-1.26805
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers		33.9%
38.4%		27.7%
+208
+135
+210
+130
0
1		-0.88203-0.87508-0.95714
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC		16.5%
64.4%		19.1%
+380
-140
+395
-150
2
0		-1.59258-1.63604-1.80351
Minnesota United
San Jose Earthquakes		47.7%
27.8%		24.6%
+188
+130
+185
+125
2
1		-1.09234-1.09527-0.74087
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks125-2-5 (0.625)0-1.19578 
Sportsbooks125-2-5 (0.625)0-1.18428 
DRatings123-4-5 (0.458)0-1.17091
0.02487
0.01338

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%