MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+168
+145
+155
+160
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3-118
u3+103
o3+100
u3-110
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+360
-138
+360
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o3+102
u3-122
o3+110
u3-120
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+218
+120
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-125
u3-117
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+325
-132
+335
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-111
u3-108
o3-110
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+252
+100
+255
-105
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3¼+103
u3¼-122
o3-128
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+179
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-120
u2½+110
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+144
+195
+145
+195
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾+100
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+120
+214
+115
+215
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-138
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+285
-125
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+340
-132
+330
-132
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3-102
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+305
-120
+280
-115
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¼-111
u3¼-108
o3½+115
u3½-135
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New England Revolution
Real Salt Lake		40.7%
31.1%		28.1%
+400
-158
+400
-170
0
2		-0.51973-0.51086-1.16681
Inter Miami CF
Chicago Fire		29.7%
42.6%		27.7%
+167
+159
+170
+155
4
1		-1.00901-1.02910-1.21365
Vancouver Whitecaps
Austin FC		25.3%
48.6%		26.0%
+208
+130
+205
+130
1
0		-1.15420-1.14753-1.37247
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas		30.5%
42.4%		27.1%
+213
+121
+206
+120
3
2		-1.17225-1.15999-1.18712
Nashville SC
Orlando City		28.2%
42.4%		29.4%
+527
-191
+510
-195
0
3		-0.45375-0.46245-0.85908
Montreal Impact
FC Cincinnati		31.4%
40.4%		28.2%
+655
-260
+650
-265
1
4		-0.35812-0.36709-0.90580
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls		38.2%
33.4%		28.4%
+370
-140
+360
-145
2
0		-1.58119-1.57784-0.96137
New York City
Columbus Crew		28.4%
43.2%		28.4%
+380
-153
+375
-155
2
4		-0.53763-0.54752-0.83938
D.C. United
Toronto FC		19.6%
57.5%		22.9%
+231
+123
+225
+120
3
1		-1.22119-1.21423-1.62867
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union		33.3%
36.9%		29.8%
+197
+138
+192
+150
1
0		-1.11535-1.09467-1.10000
Atlanta United
Los Angeles Galaxy		35.0%
38.2%		26.8%
+350
-140
+315
-140
0
2		-0.56639-0.58927-0.96302
San Jose Earthquakes
Real Salt Lake		28.0%
46.9%		25.1%
+725
-280
+715
-275
2
0		-2.13462-2.12897-1.27207
Orlando City
Sporting Kansas City		33.9%
38.8%		27.2%
+150
+185
+150
+180
0
3		-1.07937-1.06028-0.94621
Austin FC
Nashville SC		27.3%
42.2%		30.5%
+223
+130
+225
+130
2
0		-1.19439-1.20254-1.29909
Toronto FC
Houston Dynamo		51.6%
24.4%		24.0%
+535
-175
+485
-170
1
0		-1.87347-1.79903-0.66138
New England Revolution
Montreal Impact		41.9%
30.5%		27.6%
+271
+106
+260
+105
5
0		-1.33956-1.32336-0.87098
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.22618 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.20633 
DRatings41-1-2 (0.500)0-1.20614
0.02003
0.00019

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%