MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		36.0%
35.5%		28.5%
+121
+226
+120
+215
1.15
1.13		2.28
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-135
u3-140
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)		28.1%
43.7%		28.2%
+700
-285
+675
-300
0.97
1.29		2.26
o3½-103
u3½-112
o3½+105
u3½-120
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		28.2%
42.4%		29.4%
+260
+102
+265
-105
0.92
1.20		2.12
o3+103
u3-122
o3+100
u3-115
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		31.1%
40.7%		28.2%
+445
-176
+450
-190
1.05
1.25		2.30
o3-113
u3-105
o3-120
u3+100
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		48.8%
26.2%		25.0%
+238
+115
+233
+110
1.59
1.10		2.69
o2¾-105
u2¾-112
o2½-125
u2½+110
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		20.3%
57.2%		22.5%
-104
+267
+100
+235
1.02
1.86		2.88
o3¼-105
u3¼-112
o3-140
u3½-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		27.3%
47.1%		25.6%
+207
+123
+210
+120
1.10
1.52		2.62
o3-110
u3-108
o3-110
u3-110
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		30.5%
42.4%		27.1%
+214
+119
+215
+115
1.10
1.35		2.45
o3¼+105
u3¼-115
o3-115
u3+110
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		29.7%
44.3%		26.0%
+147
+164
+150
+160
1.14
1.46		2.60
o3¼-107
u3¼-110
o3-125
u3+105
Games for Sep 19, 2025
Games for Sep 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo		34.1%
40.0%		25.9%
+245
+108
+225
+110
2
1		-1.27225-1.22007-1.07596
Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
-128
+345
-120
+340
1
1		-1.42180-1.40874-1.32456
New York City
FC Cincinnati		39.9%
31.6%		28.5%
+203
+130
+210
+125
1
0		-1.14307-1.16661-0.91887
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew		28.9%
41.9%		29.2%
+455
-180
+450
-190
2
1		-1.74681-1.75331-1.24264
Inter Miami CF
D.C. United		35.2%
34.8%		29.9%
+161
+175
+150
+210
1
1		-1.29091-1.33972-1.20651
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union		25.9%
48.7%		25.4%
+332
-132
+315
-130
0
4		-0.59904-0.61828-0.72005
Austin FC
Montreal Impact		34.1%
37.2%		28.7%
+132
+210
+130
+210
2
3		-1.16610-1.16970-0.98773
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+390
-142
+380
-145
1
1		-1.44515-1.43527-1.32396
Nashville SC
New York City		29.3%
40.8%		30.0%
+175
+153
+180
+150
1
2		-0.96275-0.95062-0.89742
Sporting Kansas City
Orlando City		31.1%
42.2%		26.7%
+530
-225
+525
-230
1
3		-0.40332-0.40737-0.86251
FC Cincinnati
Portland Timbers		24.4%
49.8%		25.7%
+174
+167
+165
+170
3
2		-1.04103-1.01976-1.40854
Atlanta United
Colorado Rapids		33.5%
38.9%		27.6%
+185
+130
+185
+125
1
3		-0.86676-0.86138-0.94335
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United		34.3%
37.9%		27.8%
+200
+138
+195
+135
0
1		-0.90167-0.89585-0.96919
FC Dallas
Austin FC		35.8%
34.4%		29.8%
+315
-115
+300
-115
1
1		-1.38498-1.40145-1.21120
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC		32.8%
38.5%		28.7%
-112
+310
-115
+300
1
1		-1.36975-1.37200-1.24716
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls		38.2%
33.4%		28.4%
+172
+166
+175
+160
0
1		-1.01041-0.98892-1.09673
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.44852 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.47077 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.89578
-0.44726
-0.42501

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%