MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+170
+144
+155
+160
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3-115
u3+103
o3+100
u3-110
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+360
-138
+360
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o2¾-124
u3-122
o3+110
u3-120
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+218
+117
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-120
u2¾+105
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+325
-132
+335
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-111
u3-108
o3-110
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+252
+100
+255
-105
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-128
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+179
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-120
u2½+110
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+144
+190
+145
+195
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾+100
u2¾-120
o2½-125
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+120
+214
+115
+215
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-138
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+285
-125
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+340
-132
+330
-132
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3+100
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+305
-120
+280
-115
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¼-108
u3¼-109
o3½+115
u3½-135
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Dallas
D.C. United		42.1%
29.6%		28.3%
+400
-140
+390
-140
4
3		-1.63630-1.62298-0.86446
Chicago Fire
New York City		27.4%
46.5%		26.1%
+495
-182
+500
-185
2
2		-1.55647-1.55870-1.34362
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami CF		31.4%
39.0%		29.5%
+290
-112
+295
-120
0
2		-0.66629-0.64777-0.94104
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United		34.3%
37.9%		27.8%
+169
+165
+165
+165
3
2		-1.01606-1.01033-1.07049
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy		38.7%
35.1%		26.2%
+220
+105
+230
+100
2
3		-0.75228-0.73900-1.04794
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+235
+116
+213
+120
4
3		-1.23670-1.18231-1.11761
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders		35.7%
38.0%		26.3%
+231
+125
+220
+135
3
0		-1.22635-1.18267-1.02974
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids		28.7%
45.2%		26.2%
+243
+105
+250
+100
2
3		-0.75173-0.73251-0.79460
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United		21.0%
57.0%		22.0%
+440
-180
+425
-165
0
2		-0.47345-0.49717-0.56291
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls		28.7%
43.3%		28.0%
+332
-120
+300
-120
1
3		-0.63578-0.65362-0.83716
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union		27.8%
42.6%		29.6%
+450
-158
+435
-150
0
3		-0.51163-0.53011-0.85334
Toronto FC
Montreal Impact		45.0%
29.1%		25.9%
+201
+125
+200
+130
1
0		-1.13131-1.13280-0.79842
New York City
Orlando City		31.0%
41.6%		27.4%
+283
-102
+260
+100
1
1		-1.38318-1.34519-1.29642
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United		37.4%
32.7%		30.0%
+125
+190
+125
+195
1
2		-1.09733-1.11170-1.11844
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami CF		34.3%
36.9%		28.8%
+312
-120
+295
-120
1
2		-0.63207-0.65066-0.99699
FC Dallas
New England Revolution		29.4%
42.2%		28.4%
+250
+118
+246
+115
1
1		-1.29273-1.32246-1.25952
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%