MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+170
+144
+155
+160
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3-115
u3+103
o3+100
u3-110
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+360
-138
+360
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o2¾-124
u3-122
o3+110
u3-120
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+218
+117
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-120
u2¾+105
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+325
-132
+335
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-111
u3-108
o3-110
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+252
+100
+255
-105
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-128
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+179
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-120
u2½+110
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+145
+190
+145
+195
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾+100
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+120
+214
+115
+215
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-138
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+285
-125
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+340
-132
+330
-132
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3+100
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+305
-120
+280
-115
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¼-108
u3¼-109
o3½+115
u3½-135
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC		21.1%
56.7%		22.2%
+565
-215
+525
-235
1
1		-1.69669-1.70887-1.50652
Sporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps		48.1%
26.9%		25.1%
+453
-165
+445
-155
1
2		-0.50407-0.52145-1.31457
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy		34.2%
40.1%		25.6%
+270
-113
+265
-115
2
3		-0.67205-0.67433-0.91347
Houston Dynamo
San Jose Earthquakes		32.0%
42.7%		25.4%
+121
+220
+120
+215
1
0		-0.82075-0.82640-1.14090
Orlando City
Nashville SC		34.1%
34.7%		31.2%
+140
+200
+139
+190
3
0		-0.90666-0.91150-1.07458
Austin FC
FC Dallas		27.7%
44.3%		28.0%
+310
-105
+280
-105
1
3		-0.69507-0.71719-0.81486
D.C. United
Minnesota United		21.6%
54.4%		24.0%
+256
-104
+255
-105
3
2		-1.30376-1.30989-1.53424
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati		34.4%
36.9%		28.6%
+318
-120
+325
-120
1
0		-1.46443-1.48342-1.06575
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union		31.2%
40.8%		28.0%
+480
-168
+475
-180
1
5		-0.49321-0.48493-0.89578
New York City
Atlanta United		34.4%
36.9%		28.6%
+242
+115
+223
+115
2
2		-1.34962-1.37215-1.25089
Montreal Impact
New York Red Bulls		28.4%
44.7%		26.8%
+582
-210
+575
-225
2
2		-1.63322-1.64098-1.31587
Toronto FC
Inter Miami CF		43.3%
29.4%		27.3%
+277
-110
+280
-110
1
3		-0.68138-0.68415-1.22462
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles FC		31.2%
42.1%		26.7%
+270
-105
+290
-105
5
1		-1.34029-1.37940-1.16459
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes		47.4%
28.1%		24.5%
+234
+110
+235
+105
2
1		-1.23746-1.24827-0.74646
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers		24.7%
50.2%		25.2%
+200
+120
+207
+115
0
3		-0.81410-0.80549-0.69005
New York Red Bulls
Colorado Rapids		31.7%
41.2%		27.0%
+273
+105
+265
+100
1
1		-1.36359-1.36156-1.30752
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%