MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		40.7%
31.0%		28.3%
+152
+180
+150
+180
1.24
1.05		2.29
o2½-120
u2¾-123
o2½-120
u2½+105
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)		21.1%
56.7%		22.2%
+500
-200
+510
-205
1.08
1.91		2.99
o3-125
u3+105
o3-120
u3+105
Games for Sep 20, 2025
Games for Sep 24, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		29.7%
44.3%		26.0%
+149
+164
+150
+175
2.60
o3¼-115
u3¼-102
o3-145
u3½-130
1st H
32:00		2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Montreal Impact
New England Revolution		23.8%
50.8%		25.4%
+365
-140
+340
-135
3
1		-1.57161-1.52625-1.43561
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC		23.7%
54.6%		21.7%
+390
-145
+410
-150
3
3		-1.46855-1.44830-1.52878
Minnesota United
Portland Timbers		32.1%
41.0%		26.9%
+130
+215
+140
+193
1
1		-1.31052-1.29554-1.31312
FC Cincinnati
Real Salt Lake		31.7%
39.7%		28.6%
+283
+100
+270
+100
1
0		-1.37373-1.34877-1.14882
Toronto FC
Nashville SC		35.9%
33.9%		30.2%
+975
-305
+900
-300
0
1		-0.31274-0.33274-1.08291
New York City
Sporting Kansas City		32.6%
40.3%		27.1%
+158
+170
+150
+175
1
1		-1.33617-1.32558-1.30479
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders		19.4%
59.0%		21.6%
+460
-180
+425
-170
2
3		-0.46702-0.49497-0.52775
Philadelphia Union
Houston Dynamo		49.8%
25.2%		25.0%
+221
+131
+220
+140
1
1		-1.27207-1.24681-1.38786
D.C. United
Columbus Crew		18.9%
56.2%		24.9%
+585
-213
+630
-245
1
2		-0.41107-0.38834-0.57615
Orlando City
New England Revolution		32.6%
39.2%		28.2%
+126
+210
+125
+208
2
1		-0.85008-0.85313-1.11991
Chicago Fire
Montreal Impact		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+137
+185
+135
+202
2
0		-0.89823-0.87748-1.03614
Inter Miami CF
New York Red Bulls		28.7%
43.1%		28.2%
+174
+151
+175
+155
5
1		-1.02435-1.04461-1.24772
Austin FC
Los Angeles Galaxy		31.2%
42.4%		26.4%
+316
-118
+285
-112
2
1		-1.45977-1.39155-1.16389
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers		24.7%
50.2%		25.2%
+200
+126
+185
+136
1
0		-1.13355-1.08776-1.39922
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes		44.5%
29.5%		26.0%
+435
-175
+405
-170
2
2		-1.59974-1.57012-1.34823
Colorado Rapids
Seattle Sounders		26.9%
47.7%		25.4%
+410
-148
+400
-143
3
3		-1.46551-1.44286-1.37030
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks97-1-1 (0.833)0-0.80308 
Sportsbooks97-1-1 (0.833)0-0.80454 
DRatings95-3-1 (0.611)0-1.10652
-0.30344
-0.30197

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%