MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+168
+145
+175
+140
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3-122
u3¼-122
o3+100
u3+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+360
-138
+360
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o2¾-124
u3-122
o3+110
u3-120
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+218
+117
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-120
u2¾+105
o3+100
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+325
-132
+330
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-111
u3-108
o3-111
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+252
+100
+255
-105
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-128
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+179
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-120
u2½+110
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+144
+190
+145
+190
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾+100
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+120
+214
+115
+215
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-138
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+285
-125
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+330
-132
+330
-132
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3+100
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+305
-120
+280
-115
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¼-111
u3¼-108
o3½+115
u3½-135
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union		26.5%
47.0%		26.5%
+130
+200
+130
+185
0
0		-1.36579-1.37868-1.32973
D.C. United
Orlando City		20.6%
55.2%		24.2%
+380
-155
+360
-144
0
5		-0.54542-0.57754-0.59421
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew		31.1%
40.7%		28.2%
+765
-280
+700
-295
0
4		-0.33140-0.33663-0.89934
Inter Miami CF
FC Cincinnati		31.6%
38.9%		29.5%
+420
-155
+415
-155
1
6		-0.52591-0.53447-0.94412
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy		45.0%
31.1%		23.9%
+117
+218
+110
+206
2
1		-0.80278-0.79356-0.79884
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids		36.3%
36.6%		27.1%
+475
-175
+450
-175
1
2		-0.47477-0.48469-1.00395
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas		34.3%
37.1%		28.6%
+168
+162
+156
+160
2
3		-0.98099-0.99520-0.99177
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake		26.9%
47.6%		25.5%
+336
-130
+321
-130
2
3		-0.60547-0.62194-0.74248
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United		20.0%
57.4%		22.6%
+200
+130
+190
+130
3
1		-1.12942-1.11267-1.60699
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire		39.7%
32.9%		27.4%
+265
+100
+256
+105
3
4		-0.72761-0.74589-1.11139
Atlanta United
New England Revolution		28.9%
43.3%		27.8%
+199
+138
+190
+135
1
2		-0.89529-0.90515-0.83626
Montreal Impact
New York City		24.5%
50.4%		25.1%
+645
-258
+655
-275
0
2		-0.35598-0.35355-0.68568
FC Cincinnati
D.C. United		35.3%
35.0%		29.7%
+148
+200
+145
+170
3
2		-0.91507-0.94727-1.04194
Orlando City
Toronto FC		31.2%
42.1%		26.6%
+186
+137
+185
+130
2
1		-1.07218-1.09497-1.16411
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew		25.7%
43.4%		30.9%
+655
-230
+640
-225
0
2		-0.39396-0.40081-0.83501
Minnesota United
Portland Timbers		32.1%
41.0%		26.9%
+338
-135
+315
-135
2
3		-0.58904-0.60378-0.89238
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%