MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		32.6%
40.1%		27.3%
+209
+125
+205
+127
1.14
1.30		2.44
o2¾-105
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+115
D.C. United (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		33.4%
39.7%		26.9%
+223
+115
+215
+115
1.19
1.32		2.51
o3-118
u3+105
o3-120
u3+102
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)		43.3%
29.4%		27.3%
+690
-258
+693
-260
1.34
1.06		2.40
o3-112
u3-107
o3-105
u3-110
Games for Apr 5, 2025
Games for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Cincinnati
New York City		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%
+204
+138
+200
+130
1
3		-0.88992-0.87414-0.71978
Los Angeles Galaxy
Colorado Rapids		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%
+138
+180
+134
+175
4
1		-0.88240-0.89336-1.14000
Minnesota United
Real Salt Lake		40.7%
32.0%		27.4%
+257
+108
+245
+110
5
4		-1.30682-1.28500-0.89997
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew		24.5%
48.0%		27.5%
+345
-130
+350
-140
1
0		-1.52056-1.54679-1.40646
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+410
-128
+400
-118
4
5		-0.60829-0.63422-0.51943
New York City
FC Cincinnati		39.9%
31.6%		28.5%
+296
-110
+296
-110
0
1		-0.67885-0.68874-1.15309
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC		16.5%
64.2%		19.3%
+465
-185
+495
-200
1
2		-0.46684-0.44973-0.44334
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy		34.2%
40.1%		25.6%
+565
-215
+540
-235
0
5		-0.40055-0.39993-0.91347
Atlanta United
Inter Miami CF		36.7%
33.7%		29.6%
+775
-325
+760
-300
1
2		-0.30150-0.33787-1.08699
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+110
+225
+100
+238
0
5		-1.21322-1.26270-1.34258
Atlanta United
Montreal Impact		38.2%
33.7%		28.1%
+178
+159
+180
+155
5
4		-1.04959-1.06804-0.96184
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders		30.8%
42.1%		27.1%
+415
-164
+410
-155
1
1		-1.55832-1.53856-1.30601
Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake		26.8%
47.4%		25.8%
+360
-145
+363
-120
1
2		-0.55549-0.59479-0.74556
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC		17.2%
63.8%		19.0%
+1065
-428
+960
-420
1
3		-0.24377-0.25651-0.44920
Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo		43.0%
31.8%		25.2%
+214
+113
+225
+115
1
2		-0.78748-0.79425-1.14599
Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas		33.8%
38.1%		28.0%
+325
-130
+310
-130
1
2		-0.60307-0.61669-0.96420
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks96-0-3 (0.833)0-0.87395 
Sportsbooks96-0-3 (0.833)0-0.87294 
DRatings93-3-3 (0.500)0-1.12706
-0.25312
-0.25412

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%