MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 5, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		22.8%
52.3%		25.0%


0.96
1.61		2.57


New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Atlanta United (0-0-0)		30.2%
41.9%		27.9%


1.05
1.28		2.33


Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		41.5%
30.4%		28.0%


1.27
1.04		2.31


D.C. United (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		21.0%
54.0%		25.0%


0.90
1.61		2.51


Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.3%
26.5%		25.2%


1.57
1.09		2.66


Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.9%
41.4%		28.7%


0.99
1.23		2.22


Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		38.6%
35.7%		25.7%


1.38
1.33		2.71


Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		38.7%
34.1%		27.3%


1.27
1.18		2.45


Austin FC (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		31.2%
42.4%		26.4%


1.17
1.40		2.57


Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		37.8%
35.4%		26.8%


1.29
1.24		2.53


Games for Oct 2, 2024
Games for Oct 6, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+320
-109
+350
-115
0
1		-0.67352-0.65272-0.51943
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+240
+103
+240
+100
1
1		-1.45955-1.43894-1.37729
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+390
+100
+375
-165
0
3		-0.61136-0.52538-0.78697
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+259
+110
+260
+105
1
1		-1.34293-1.30280-1.32054
Orlando City
FC Dallas		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+180
+156
+175
+150
3
1		-1.05039-1.05593-1.05426
Real Salt Lake
Austin FC		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+225
+135
+215
+120
2
2		-1.35437-1.38127-1.26097
San Jose Earthquakes
Montreal Impact		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+312
-115
+325
-135
0
3		-0.64525-0.60378-0.77401
Atlanta United
Philadelphia Union		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+333
-132
+325
-135
1
1		-1.49054-1.49103-1.30556
New York City
New York Red Bulls		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+250
+115
+250
+105
5
1		-1.27011-1.29916-1.01104
Los Angeles FC
FC Cincinnati		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+330
-110
+300
-125
2
1		-1.46811-1.43742-0.74980
Columbus Crew
D.C. United		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+168
+175
+154
+165
2
2		-1.35414-1.33880-1.28558
Nashville SC
New England Revolution		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+247
+112
+240
+110
0
1		-0.77762-0.78891-0.89011
D.C. United
Philadelphia Union		20.4%
55.6%		24.0%
+280
-110
+270
-113
0
4		-0.67704-0.67761-0.58677
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+435
-184
+400
-165
2
4		-0.46825-0.50428-0.64760
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+533
-200
+520
-185
0
2		-0.43624-0.45506-1.08291
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+250
+100
+280
-110
3
3		-1.45861-1.45068-1.30026
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.12482 
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.10968 
DRatings126-1-5 (0.708)0-1.02796
0.09686
0.08172

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%