MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 12, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		30.3%
43.7%		26.0%
+150
+165

1.16
1.45		2.61
o2½-118
u2½-102

New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Atlanta United (0-0-0)		34.8%
35.8%		29.4%
+460
-190

1.08
1.09		2.17
o3-115
u3-105

New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		26.8%
46.8%		26.4%
+320
-120

1.03
1.45		2.48
o2½-112
u2½-108

Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		33.8%
38.1%		28.1%
+205
+120

1.13
1.21		2.34
o2¾-118
u2¾-102

FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		35.3%
35.0%		29.7%
+190
+135

1.06
1.06		2.12
o2¾-118
u2¾-102

Austin FC (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		39.8%
32.2%		28.0%
+330
-125

1.24
1.09		2.33
o2½-110
u2½-110

Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.3%
44.4%		29.3%
+320
-125

0.87
1.23		2.10
o2¾-112
u2¾-108

Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		35.7%
35.1%		29.2%
+155
+170

1.10
1.09		2.19
o2½-102
u2½-118

Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.5%
52.5%		23.0%
+240
+105

1.17
1.81		2.98
o2¾-112
u2¾-108

San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)		17.2%
63.8%		19.0%
+500
-210

1.11
2.30		3.41
o3-105
u3-115

Games for Apr 11, 2025
Games for Apr 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC		17.2%
63.8%		19.0%
+1065
-428
+960
-420
1
3		-0.24377-0.25651-0.44920
Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo		43.0%
31.8%		25.2%
+214
+113
+225
+115
1
2		-0.78748-0.79425-1.14599
Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas		33.8%
38.1%		28.0%
+325
-130
+310
-130
1
2		-0.60307-0.61669-0.96420
Colorado Rapids
Austin FC		34.7%
37.2%		28.2%
+236
+105
+200
+110
2
3		-0.74674-0.79118-0.98996
FC Cincinnati
Philadelphia Union		23.5%
50.8%		25.7%
+255
-105
+265
-105
2
1		-1.30122-1.31871-1.44860
Atlanta United
Orlando City		28.5%
44.4%		27.0%
+300
-127
+300
-140
2
1		-1.41989-1.43578-1.25397
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls		39.4%
31.0%		29.6%
+235
+110
+245
+105
3
2		-1.23832-1.26872-0.93138
New York City
Montreal Impact		41.4%
31.4%		27.2%
+123
+225
+125
+216
0
2		-1.20121-1.19227-1.15738
New England Revolution
Inter Miami CF		40.3%
30.7%		29.0%
+585
-250
+580
-265
2
6		-0.36442-0.36609-1.18019
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire		34.0%
35.2%		30.8%
+255
+100
+269
+100
3
0		-1.30122-1.32950-1.07907
Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps		55.4%
22.4%		22.2%
+112
+232
+120
+219
2
1		-0.78550-0.81916-0.59139
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew		28.9%
41.9%		29.2%
+620
-260
+610
-265
0
4		-0.35985-0.36310-0.86955
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers		29.9%
42.7%		27.4%
+515
-210
+510
-210
0
0		-1.67259-1.64995-1.29328
Nashville SC
New York City		29.3%
40.8%		30.0%
+555
-200
+575
-225
1
3		-0.42943-0.41332-0.89742
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes		37.8%
35.4%		26.8%
+131
+190
+128
+195
1
0		-0.86460-0.85760-0.97358
Austin FC
Los Angeles Galaxy		31.2%
42.4%		26.4%
+485
-213
+480
-210
1
2		-0.41925-0.43109-0.85807
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.22125 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.23701 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.11443
0.10681
0.12258

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%