MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+140
+178
+141
+170
1.18
1.20		2.38
o3-102
u3-118
o3+100
u3-115
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		28.5%
44.4%		27.0%
+216
+110
+220
+110
1.05
1.38		2.43
o3-120
u3+102
o3-123
u3+105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		31.7%
40.6%		27.7%
+225
+116
+240
+115
1.10
1.27		2.37
o2½-132
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+115
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		33.3%
36.9%		29.8%
+200
+132
+215
+134
1.03
1.09		2.12
o2½-126
u2¾-110
o2½-120
u2½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+154
+158
+165
+150
1.14
1.12		2.26
o3-112
u3-107
o3-115
u3-105
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		38.4%
33.5%		28.1%
+500
-204
+515
-220
1.21
1.12		2.33
o3-132
u3¼-120
o3-135
u3½-140
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		32.6%
40.8%		26.6%
-110
+270
-110
+275
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¾-125
u3-120
o3+100
u3-120
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		26.0%
49.8%		24.1%
+385
-150
+348
-145
1.15
1.68		2.83
o3-110
u3-105
o3-105
u3-110
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		36.3%
35.9%		27.8%
+385
-157
+370
-155
1.19
1.19		2.38
o3¼-105
u3½-134
o3-135
u3+115
FC Dallas (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		44.5%
29.5%		26.0%
+340
-120
+365
-122
1.46
1.14		2.60
o3¼-105
u3½-135
o3-135
u3+125
Games for May 15, 2026
Games for May 17, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew		25.7%
43.4%		30.9%
+395
-155
+400
-145
1
0		-1.63337-1.63092-1.35736
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United		36.0%
35.1%		28.8%
+182
+150
+179
+155
1
3		-0.95042-0.97982-1.04623
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%
+235
+115
+230
+130
1
1		-1.33568-1.30645-1.36920
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati		43.5%
29.4%		27.1%
+369
-133
+400
-140
1
0		-1.58012-1.65485-0.83264
Montreal Impact
New York Red Bulls		28.4%
44.7%		26.8%
+455
-163
+460
-180
3
0		-1.74841-1.76984-1.25748
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC		26.2%
49.1%		24.7%
+925
-305
+900
-300
0
1		-0.31778-0.33647-0.71145
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers		19.7%
57.7%		22.6%
-140
+335
-130
+330
4
1		-0.57384-0.59528-1.62283
Los Angeles Galaxy
Colorado Rapids		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%
+208
+118
+193
+125
1
4		-0.81218-0.84014-0.84669
Minnesota United
Nashville SC		33.4%
36.1%		30.4%
+420
-156
+417
-165
1
3		-0.53003-0.51871-1.01796
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union		19.8%
58.3%		21.9%
+265
-101
+275
-110
1
0		-1.32708-1.37074-1.62050
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew		23.9%
49.7%		26.3%
+323
-112
+325
-115
0
0		-1.34071-1.31751-1.33378
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United		27.3%
45.8%		26.9%
+253
+115
+220
+125
3
2		-1.28866-1.21295-1.29810
Inter Miami CF
D.C. United		35.2%
34.8%		29.9%
-145
+357
-145
+375
2
1		-0.55928-0.55125-1.04285
Orlando City
New York City		33.5%
38.6%		27.9%
+425
-162
+450
-180
0
5		-0.51619-0.48532-0.95257
Inter Miami CF
Orlando City		23.8%
50.2%		26.0%
-136
+335
-136
+335
4
2		-0.58012-0.57916-1.43511
New York City
Philadelphia Union		30.6%
41.9%		27.4%
+240
+130
+240
+128
2
1		-1.25790-1.26337-1.18365
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%