MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+150
+163
+175
+140
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3¼-110
u3¼-108
o3+100
u3+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+360
-138
+360
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o2¾-124
u3-122
o3+105
u3-120
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+218
+117
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-120
u2¾+105
o3+105
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+325
-132
+330
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-110
u3-109
o3-111
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+252
+100
+255
-105
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-125
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+179
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½+110
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+144
+190
+145
+197
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾+100
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+137
+195
+133
+215
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-130
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+285
-125
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+330
-132
+330
-132
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3+100
o3-115
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+305
-120
+304
-115
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¼-111
u3¼-108
o3½+115
u3½-120
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Austin FC
Minnesota United		26.2%
47.5%		26.3%
+430
-155
+390
-155
1
0		-1.70172-1.64077-1.34006
New York City
Nashville SC		32.9%
36.0%		31.1%
+183
+155
+175
+163
0
1		-0.96294-1.00428-1.02248
Houston Dynamo
D.C. United		30.5%
42.4%		27.1%
+206
+128
+212
+125
4
1		-1.15204-1.17603-1.18669
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati		40.5%
30.7%		28.8%
+472
-180
+448
-180
2
1		-1.77396-1.74755-0.90454
Chicago Fire
Orlando City		26.2%
48.2%		25.6%
+385
-144
+375
-145
2
4		-0.55586-0.56918-0.72886
Sporting Kansas City
Columbus Crew		28.5%
43.9%		27.6%
+760
-272
+705
-285
0
4		-0.33879-0.35088-0.82367
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls		39.8%
32.8%		27.4%
+410
-145
+393
-145
0
3		-0.55021-0.56823-1.11590
New York City
Los Angeles Galaxy		37.9%
35.6%		26.5%
+257
-107
+251
-110
0
2		-0.69441-0.69511-1.03398
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes		48.2%
27.4%		24.4%
+220
+115
+220
+110
2
1		-1.19040-1.20354-0.73006
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City		25.4%
49.4%		25.2%
+229
+120
+230
+145
4
3		-1.21926-1.18283-1.37212
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo		50.6%
24.7%		24.7%
+333
-109
+310
-105
2
2		-1.32084-1.30608-1.39800
Minnesota United
FC Dallas		34.0%
37.6%		28.4%
+295
-104
+265
+100
3
5		-0.70644-0.73785-0.97896
Los Angeles FC
Austin FC		45.3%
29.1%		25.5%
+110
+251
+100
+240
1
1		-1.36869-1.40442-1.36602
Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati		41.9%
30.1%		27.9%
+387
-138
+394
-145
3
4		-0.57368-0.56488-1.20048
Atlanta United
D.C. United		41.5%
30.3%		28.2%
+285
-110
+280
-115
1
0		-1.37172-1.37607-0.88039
New York Red Bulls
Montreal Impact		36.0%
35.5%		28.5%
+129
+215
+125
+215
2
2		-1.31234-1.29927-1.25485
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%