MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 2, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%
+248
-103
+250
-105
0.97
1.46		2.43
o3-113
u3-107
o3-115
u3-105
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		32.6%
39.7%		27.6%
+350
-143
+345
-140
1.12
1.27		2.39
o3-111
u3-109
o3-115
u3-105
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%
+136
+200
+140
+196
1.05
1.55		2.60
o2¾+100
u2¾-120
o2½-130
u2½+110
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)
Atlanta United (0-0-0)		26.7%
47.1%		26.2%
+387
-166
+385
-165
1.04
1.47		2.51
o3¼-112
u3¼-108
o3½+115
u3½-135
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		21.8%
51.3%		27.0%

+195
+135
0.83
1.44		2.27

o3+115
u3-135
New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		48.3%
25.9%		25.8%
+507
-199
+510
-200
1.51
1.04		2.55
o3+104
u3-124
o3+105
u3-125
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		23.0%
48.7%		28.2%
+210
+121
+210
+120
0.82
1.33		2.15
o3+100
u3-120
o3+100
u3-120
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%
+220
+102
+215
+105
1.27
1.52		2.79
o3¾-103
u3¾-117
o3½-125
u3½+105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		40.7%
32.0%		27.4%
+248
-106
+245
-105
1.30
1.12		2.42
o3¼-116
u3¼-104
o3½+110
u3½-130
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%
+179
+150
+180
+150
1.60
1.04		2.64
o2¾-103
u2¾-117
o2½-130
u2½+110
FC Dallas (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		44.5%
29.5%		26.0%
+163
+157
+165
+155
1.46
1.14		2.60
o3-102
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Austin FC (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		25.8%
47.8%		26.4%
+328
-141
+325
-140
1.00
1.46		2.46
o3¼-105
u3¼-115
o3½+120
u3½-140
Games for Oct 1, 2024
Games for Oct 5, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps		41.6%
32.5%		25.9%
-110
+277
-105
+265
1
0		-0.68375-0.70457-0.87628
Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle Sounders		30.0%
46.1%		23.9%
+554
-222
+550
-200
0
3		-0.39576-0.43604-0.77353
Inter Miami CF
Nashville SC		28.4%
41.4%		30.2%
+382
-122
+380
-124
0
0		-1.11264-1.11892-1.07052
D.C. United
San Jose Earthquakes		34.4%
38.7%		26.8%
+320
-105
+342
-115
1
4		-0.69449-0.67227-0.94848
Austin FC
Minnesota United		29.5%
44.4%		26.1%
+297
-105
+300
-105
1
0		-1.40230-1.41473-1.22041
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas		34.8%
36.7%		28.6%
+290
-107
+282
+105
1
4		-0.68051-0.72058-1.00297
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City		27.8%
46.6%		25.5%
+610
-205
+610
-200
0
3		-0.42954-0.43719-0.76303
New York City
Philadelphia Union		32.4%
40.2%		27.4%
+177
+155
+170
+151
2
0		-1.03643-1.04248-1.12738
Atlanta United
New England Revolution		31.1%
41.2%		27.7%
+330
-115
+340
-125
1
2		-0.65452-0.63951-0.88644
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo		50.5%
28.0%		21.5%
+126
+196
+155
+190
1
1		-0.97714-0.98730-0.97784
Columbus Crew
Montreal Impact		42.2%
30.3%		27.6%
+127
+200
+130
+210
0
0		-0.99422-1.00248-1.02916
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake		39.2%
33.7%		27.2%
+175
+156
+170
+150
1
3		-0.97532-0.96703-1.08910
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls		33.0%
39.6%		27.4%
+235
+114
+225
+110
0
2		-0.79206-0.79125-0.92556
New York Red Bulls
Los Angeles Galaxy		34.4%
39.3%		26.3%
+261
+105
+250
+100
2
3		-0.74211-0.74421-0.93367
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers		25.7%
52.6%		21.7%
+255
+115
+270
+120
1
2		-0.78900-0.78353-0.64164
Austin FC
Colorado Rapids		31.9%
41.1%		27.0%
+425
-145
+420
-130
3
1		-1.67296-1.64891-1.14159
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.12482 
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.10968 
DRatings126-1-5 (0.708)0-1.02796
0.09686
0.08172

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%