MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 2, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%
+248
-103
+250
-105
0.97
1.46		2.43
o3-113
u3-107
o3-115
u3-105
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		32.6%
39.7%		27.6%
+350
-143
+345
-140
1.12
1.27		2.39
o3-111
u3-109
o3-115
u3-105
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%
+136
+200
+140
+195
1.05
1.55		2.60
o2¾+100
u2¾-120
o2½-130
u2½+110
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)
Atlanta United (0-0-0)		26.7%
47.1%		26.2%
+387
-166
+385
-165
1.04
1.47		2.51
o3¼-112
u3¼-108
o3½+115
u3½-135
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		21.8%
51.3%		27.0%
+230
+110
+195
+135
0.83
1.44		2.27
o3-104
u3-116
o3+115
u3-135
New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		48.3%
25.9%		25.8%
+507
-199
+510
-200
1.51
1.04		2.55
o3+104
u3-124
o3+105
u3-125
D.C. United (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		23.0%
48.7%		28.2%
+210
+121
+210
+120
0.82
1.33		2.15
o3+100
u3-120
o3+100
u3-120
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%
+220
+102
+215
+105
1.27
1.52		2.79
o3¾-103
u3¾-117
o3½-125
u3½+105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		40.7%
32.0%		27.4%
+248
-106
+245
-105
1.30
1.12		2.42
o3¼-116
u3¼-104
o3½+110
u3½-130
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%
+179
+150
+180
+150
1.60
1.04		2.64
o2¾-103
u2¾-117
o2½-130
u2½+110
FC Dallas (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		44.5%
29.5%		26.0%
+163
+157
+165
+155
1.46
1.14		2.60
o3-102
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Austin FC (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		25.8%
47.8%		26.4%
+328
-141
+325
-140
1.00
1.46		2.46
o3¼-105
u3¼-115
o3½+120
u3½-140
Games for Oct 1, 2024
Games for Oct 5, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
D.C. United
New England Revolution		25.9%
49.6%		24.5%
+620
-200
+625
-200
0
1		-0.43286-0.44457-0.70146
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United		28.9%
46.0%		25.0%
+370
-127
+375
-115
2
1		-1.56533-1.55670-1.24050
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United		31.8%
41.2%		27.0%
+252
+105
+265
+103
1
3		-0.75230-0.73735-0.88615
Inter Miami CF
Philadelphia Union		27.6%
46.8%		25.6%
+265
+105
+245
+110
2
1		-1.31935-1.27687-1.28667
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC		32.6%
42.2%		25.1%
+315
-120
+325
-125
1
1		-1.04682-1.04866-0.99082
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes		42.2%
31.9%		25.9%
+230
+125
+225
+120
1
3		-0.83589-0.83529-1.14169
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC		24.6%
54.8%		20.6%
+315
-115
+455
-120
2
2		-1.04993-1.12010-1.00203
Montreal Impact
Nashville SC		28.7%
43.0%		28.3%
+510
-150
+525
-170
2
2		-1.16160-1.19324-1.04564
FC Cincinnati
New York City		28.5%
45.3%		26.2%
+720
-260
+675
-250
0
5		-0.35949-0.37888-0.79189
Orlando City
Sporting Kansas City		34.7%
38.1%		27.2%
+260
+105
+255
+102
1
1		-1.02772-1.01764-1.01207
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps		45.3%
29.7%		25.0%
-141
+360
-140
+360
0
1		-1.57426-1.57552-1.21281
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew		31.7%
39.7%		28.6%
+322
-115
+309
-115
0
0		-1.06192-1.06214-1.03706
Los Angeles Galaxy
Inter Miami CF		35.8%
36.9%		27.3%
+455
-167
+440
-175
3
2		-1.74870-1.73161-1.02817
FC Cincinnati
Nashville SC		28.6%
41.7%		29.8%
+440
-125
+430
-125
2
2		-1.16240-1.15726-1.06420
New England Revolution
Chicago Fire		37.6%
34.3%		28.1%
+180
+146
+175
+147
2
2		-0.99824-1.00314-1.02475
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas		32.4%
40.6%		27.0%
+225
+123
+245
+116
0
0		-1.02366-1.03066-1.01422
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.06654 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.04583 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.94836
0.11818
0.09747

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%